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Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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The desk on PLTR

What this diary said about Palantir Technologies Inc., what it holds and what would change its view — in its own words, dated. Investment diary, not advice.

What we said

What we hold

BookPositionSinceResult
AI Buildout 100 shares · average entry $143.35 28 May 2026 +32.6%
Hypergrowth 100 shares · average entry $143.35 28 May 2026 +32.6%
Derivatives short 1 put · $150 strike · 17 Jun 2027 · sold at $19.74, now $14.45 29 May 2026 +26.8%
AI Cycle 2030 (wikifolio) ↗ 15 shares · average entry €109.82 — —
Closelooknet (wikifolio) ↗ 60 shares · average entry €140.66 — —

Model books as of 1 Oct 2026; wikifolio positions from the official wikifolio data, entries in euros. Results are unrealised, before any exit. A record of what the diary does, not a recommendation to do the same.

What would change our view

12 months from now
Higher, in our view, in a band set by the valuation rather than by the business. If the company reports growth above 70% in the September and December quarters and US commercial keeps above 100%, the $199 December high and the record close at $207.18 are the first objectives, 3% and 8% above Thursday's close, and the market will be paying for 2027 growth by the spring. If growth slows faster than the forecast implies, or the 10-year keeps rising, the multiple can compress again even with the business intact; $165 — the floor of the August–September range — and the 200-day average near $152 are the levels that decide whether the twelve-month view survives. A diary view, not advice.
The next few weeks
The stock sits at the top of its rising channel and $6 under the $199 line where the decline began in December, with the short-term indicators overbought after six rising days. The first test is $199: a close above it leaves only the $207.18 record overhead, and a break of the record would take the stock out of the whole 2026 structure. A pause or a pullback from here is the more usual path and would not change the read as long as the old $188 ceiling holds; a close back under $188 says the break failed, and the channel midline near $165 — with the 50-day at $163 — is where the diary would reassess. The September-quarter report in early November is the next hard test.

From the Chart Pick of 25 Sept 2026, scored publicly.

Our record on PLTR

Every scored call, pick and trade this diary has made on Palantir Technologies Inc., with the outcome where it is known.

Charts from the desk on PLTR

The charts this diary drew or picked on Palantir Technologies Inc., as published — each dated and linked to the piece that explains it.

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for PLTR, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Versus its index Agentic Winners 40 — the name, its sleeve and the index over day, week and month

Versus its index

The name against its Closelooknet index and its own sleeve — equal-weight, nightly closes.

Agentic Winners 40 · as of 2026-10-01

DayWeekMonth3 months
PLTR+1.6%−1.3%+5.6%+47.0%
Control Plane+1.4%−0.2%−6.7%—
Agentic Winners 40+0.7%−1.5%−4.7%—

Against the index: 0.2 pts ahead on the week, 10.3 pts ahead on the month; against its Control Plane sleeve 12.3 pts ahead on the month.

Returns from the index workers’ nightly closes; equal-weight sleeves. A relative reading from the research diary, not advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 19 pieces · newest: Chart Pick, “The AI software company whose sales grew 93% while its stock fell by half: back within 7% of its record after breaking a two-month range — at 83 times next year's earnings” (2026-09-25)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where PLTR appears in the diary — 19 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Go deeper

Long reads

101 and glossary

  • Work-as-a-Service: The Post-SaaS Business Model101Key Companies CRM Salesforce Agentforce — success credit model pioneer PLTR Palantir AIP — outcome-based pricing for enterprise AI NOW ServiceNow Agent-based workflow completion pricing SNOW Snowflake Consumption-based model template

Dailies

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 53/100 · S&P 500 fund at 45, above its 200-day averageEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-30
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 99th percentile of the window, +10.1% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-30
  • Sector × region Technology in US: +1.6% week · +7.8% month · +9.7% quarter · +43.0% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLK.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-10-02
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.58 · down 0.32 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-10-01
How it trades on rate days beta 0.45 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How PLTR has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.45 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Palantir Technologies Inc. moved 0.45% on average · correlation 0.07 · higher than 44% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 1.56 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −0.24% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +0.42% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Data and decision platforms · 4 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Data and decision platforms

Curated competitor set — who the market prices this name against, not just who shares its sector.

Compared against PLTR on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Palantir Technologies Inc.

PLTR in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Palantir builds software platforms that help governments and companies pull scattered data together so they can act on it faster. Gotham serves defence and intelligence users, giving them a shared operational picture and flagging threats for a response. Foundry gives commercial organisations one place to combine and work with their own data. Apollo manages how that software is deployed and kept current across different environments. Its newer platform lets both staff and AI agents draw on a customer's data using large language models.
Where it sits in the stack
Palantir carries no seat in Rubin, our index for the AI build-out stack, so it sits outside that layer structure entirely. Within our universe it belongs to the Agentic Winners 40, the sleeve tracking software companies that sell agentic AI tools directly to enterprises and governments rather than build the infrastructure beneath them.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet groups it with data and decision platforms — Snowflake, ServiceNow, Microsoft and C3.ai — the set the market prices it against on enterprise data handling and AI tooling rather than by sector classification alone.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Palantir holds a seat in the Agentic Winners 40 and in the Nasdaq-100. It carries a Closelooknet score built from several modules, with quality showing strongest and valuation showing weakest. The diary has covered it across an Agentic Winners dossier, a mapping piece on agentic software displacing incumbents, and a Weekly Signal on its chart breaking a descending channel.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether commercial adoption of the AI platform broadens revenue beyond government and defence contracts, and whether the valuation gap to its peer group narrows or widens as growth is tested.

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) trades on US exchanges, classified under Technology. Constituent of Agentic Winners 40.

The Closelooknet company score reads 64/100 composite (momentum 78, quality 91, valuation 11) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: PLTR news on the tape · index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 2 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by UBS, 2026-09-15

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for PLTR from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target UBS — target 250 from 220 Target raised to $250 from $220 (+44.3% to spot) 2026-09-15
  • Price target DA Davidson — target 250 from 200 Target raised to $250 from $200 (+48.8% to spot) 2026-09-11

2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return no distribution in twelve months · buybacks 75 m USD in FY2025

Dividends and capital return

What PLTR pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Distributions No cash distribution recorded in the price series over the last three years
  • Buybacks, FY2025 75 m USD 0.0% of today's market value
  • Share count +4.7% in FY2025 684 m USD of stock-based compensation in the year
  • Capital returned 75 m USD · 4% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-02

Quick answers

What is Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)?

Palantir Technologies Inc. trades as PLTR on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Technology in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-10-02.

Is PLTR in a Closelooknet index?

Yes — Palantir Technologies Inc. is a constituent of Agentic Winners 40, as of 2026-10-02.

What is Palantir Technologies Inc.'s Closelooknet composite score?

64 out of 100, with momentum 78, quality 91 and valuation 11 sub-scores, as of 2026-10-02. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

What is Palantir Technologies Inc.'s earnings print record?

Across the 10 prints Closelooknet covers, Palantir Technologies Inc. beat EPS estimates 10 times and revenue estimates 9 times; the three-day reactions split 5 up, 0 flat and 5 down (moves beyond ±3%), as of the 2026-07-31 card. The full print-record card carries the per-print history.

Where does PLTR trade against its moving averages?

Trending: Above its 20-, 50- and 200-day — still in an uptrend. As of 2026-09-30 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How is PLTR doing against its Closelooknet index?

Over the past month Palantir Technologies Inc. is +5.6% against −4.7% for the Agentic Winners 40 — 10.3 points ahead of its index, as of 2026-10-01. Its Control Plane sleeve is −6.7% over the same month. The “Versus its index” table on this page carries the day, the week and the month for the name, its sleeve and the index.

How does Palantir Technologies Inc. trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Palantir Technologies Inc. had a beta of 0.45 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 44% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −0.24% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

Where has Closelooknet written about Palantir Technologies Inc.?

Palantir Technologies Inc. appears in 19 Closelooknet pieces, most recently Chart Pick: The AI software company whose sales grew 93% while its stock fell by half: back within 7% of its record after breaking a two-month range — at 83 times next year's earnings (2026-09-25); Daily Pulse: From Silicon Scarcity to Software Scarcity: The Next AI Bottleneck Is Permission to Act, and the Market Graded It This Week (2026-09-03); Daily Pulse: Options Diary — Everything Got More Time, Except the One That Didn’t (2026-08-15). What Closelooknet said most recently: Context; state and memory; systems of record SNOW, Databricks, MDB, SAP, CRM, ORCL, PLTR 2 · Permit controlled action Can it act with the correct authority through real workflows? (Daily Pulse, 2026-09-03). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

Does Closelooknet hold Palantir Technologies Inc.?

Yes — AI Buildout: 100 shares · average entry $143.35 since 2026-05-28, +32.6% unrealised; Hypergrowth: 100 shares · average entry $143.35 since 2026-05-28, +32.6% unrealised; Derivatives: short 1 put · $150 strike · 17 Jun 2027 · sold at $19.74, now $14.45 since 2026-05-29, +26.8% unrealised; AI Cycle 2030 (wikifolio): 15 shares · average entry €109.82; Closelooknet (wikifolio): 60 shares · average entry €140.66. A record of what the diary does, not a recommendation to do the same.

What would change Closelooknet's view on Palantir Technologies Inc.?

12 months from now: Higher, in our view, in a band set by the valuation rather than by the business. If the company reports growth above 70% in the September and December quarters and US commercial keeps above 100%, the $199 December high and the record close at $207.18 are the first objectives, 3% and 8% above Thursday's close, and the market will be paying for 2027 growth by the spring. If growth slows faster than the forecast implies, or the 10-year keeps rising, the multiple can compress again even with the business intact; $165 — the floor of the August–September range — and the 200-day average near $152 are the levels that decide whether the twelve-month view survives. A diary view, not advice. The next few weeks: The stock sits at the top of its rising channel and $6 under the $199 line where the decline began in December, with the short-term indicators overbought after six rising days. The first test is $199: a close above it leaves only the $207.18 record overhead, and a break of the record would take the stock out of the whole 2026 structure. A pause or a pullback from here is the more usual path and would not change the read as long as the old $188 ceiling holds; a close back under $188 says the break failed, and the channel midline near $165 — with the 50-day at $163 — is where the diary would reassess. The September-quarter report in early November is the next hard test. From the Chart Pick of 2026-09-25, scored publicly.

What does Palantir Technologies Inc. do?

Palantir builds software platforms that help governments and companies pull scattered data together so they can act on it faster. Gotham serves defence and intelligence users, giving them a shared operational picture and flagging threats for a response. Foundry gives commercial organisations one place to combine and work with their own data. Closelooknet groups it with data and decision platforms — Snowflake, ServiceNow, Microsoft and C3.ai — the set the market prices it against on enterprise data handling and AI tooling rather than by sector classification alone.

Where does Palantir Technologies Inc. sit in the AI build-out?

Palantir carries no seat in Rubin, our index for the AI build-out stack, so it sits outside that layer structure entirely. Within our universe it belongs to the Agentic Winners 40, the sleeve tracking software companies that sell agentic AI tools directly to enterprises and governments rather than build the infrastructure beneath them. Palantir holds a seat in the Agentic Winners 40 and in the Nasdaq-100. It carries a Closelooknet score built from several modules, with quality showing strongest and valuation showing weakest. The diary has covered it across an Agentic Winners dossier, a mapping piece on agentic software displacing incumbents, and a Weekly Signal on its chart breaking a descending channel.

Does Palantir Technologies Inc. pay a dividend?

No cash distribution shows in Palantir Technologies Inc.’s price series over the last three years. In fiscal 2025 the company bought back 75 m USD of its own shares, 4% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count rose 4.7% over the fiscal year. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Palantir Technologies Inc. recently?

The most recent analyst action on Palantir Technologies Inc. on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by UBS on 2026-09-15 (target 250 from 220). 2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for PLTR, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

same Closelooknet index seat first, then Software - Infrastructure. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.