Systematic Market Intelligence
Intelligence, signals, portfolios — for global tech investing.
closelook.net is an independent intelligence and signal platform for global technology investing. It publishes proprietary frameworks, functional indices, regime monitors, live model portfolios and a real-time pattern-hit signal scanner. Closelook sits between a Bloomberg terminal and an investment newsletter — quant-desk methods packaged as a subscription for retail investors, boutique advisers and family offices.
Eight surfaces, one flow: Pulse reads the market daily. Intel publishes the frameworks. Tracker runs the proprietary indices. Lab monitors regime and patterns. Signal flags hits after every close. Portfolios put it into practice — every position published, skin in the game. Tape captures the day's price action. Predictions closes the loop — structured forecasts scored on accuracy, not opinion.
Money Temperature live
Composite temperature across 8 macro instruments · updated nightly.
Temperature lab →Live channel STREAMING
Just happened on closelook
- NEWSLETTER Risk-On Broadens — Memory Leads the Build-Out
- WEEKLY TLT: The Crowded Trade
- NEWSLETTER Global Risk-On Broadens — Bond Vol Declined +5%
- PULSE Pattern 03 cohort — NVIDIA equity deployments as Rubin Build-Out leading indicator
- PULSE Rubin surges as vol complex splits and Europe extends gains
- HERESY Build a Barbell — Closelook Heresy III
Rubin · Functional Index LIVE
Rubin Build-Out 100 — the AI-infrastructure tape
Closelook's flagship functional index — 100 names across 18 sub-sectors of the AI data-centre build-out, from lithography and memory to power and cloud. Three weighting variants (equal, cap, momentum) and a live sector heatmap so the dominant rotation is visible at a glance. Recomputed every US close.
Lead Indicators · macro · signal · lab
- MacroABR Regime58.4Risk-On broadening+0.4 W/WOpen →
- SignalPattern Engine5patterns activescanning post-closeOpen →
- Lab · Lead Live this weekAgentic Lead-Time Index—Live this weekToken consumption vs equity gapRead concept →
- Lab · Lead Live this weekGPU Compute Tightness—Live this weekUsed-GPU rental yield indexRead concept →
About closelook.net
What Closelook is.
closelook.net is an independent intelligence, signal and transaction platform for global technology investing. It publishes short-form and long-form editorial reads, proprietary frameworks, functional indices, regime monitors, live model portfolios and a real-time pattern-hit signal scanner.
Eight sections, one spine.
closelook.net is organised around eight connected sections — Pulse, Signal, Indices, Intel, Lab, Portfolios, Tape and Predictions ↗. Every section draws from the same data spine: the proprietary indices, the Money Temperature pipeline, the Pattern Engine and the Cointegration Monitor. Editorial contextualises moves; analysis produces the underlying scores; portfolios and predictions convert those scores into verifiable positions.
Closelook sits between a Bloomberg terminal and an investment newsletter — quant-desk methods packaged as free access and premium subscription for retail investors, boutique advisers and family offices.
What Closelook is → Browse the 101 series → Compare C+ tiers →
Pulse · Editorial AUTO
Latest editorial
Editorial cards that translate analysis into language: the Daily Pulse — a short pre-market summary published 08:30 New York; Heresies — short-form opinion against the consensus; the Weekly Signal — a Sunday trade call with full reasoning and invalidation; Reports — long-form structural research; the Newsletter — the Substack + LinkedIn long-form companion; and On That Day in Markets — a twice-weekly finance-history quiz.
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Pattern 03 cohort — NVIDIA equity deployments as Rubin Build-Out leading indicator
Pattern 03 admits a public-equity name when NVIDIA discloses a corporate equity stake (Tier 1) or admits the company to a named NVIDIA architecture layer (Tier 3 — NVLink Fusion, Spectrum-X, DSX, AI-RAN, Vera/Rubin, Blu…
3 min -
TLT: The Crowded Trade
WEEKLY SIGNAL · TLT · KW 21 Sunday, May 25, 2026 TLT — The Crowded Trade Hold 83 on a monthly close and long-duration Treasuries may be carving a major bottom. Break it decisively and the message flips to a durabl…
7 min -
Pattern 03 — NVIDIA Strategic Authority Investment
A formal Lab Read companion to the Weekly Signal of 2026-05-10. The four-tier signal hierarchy, the 16-event timeline (2023-07-12 → 2026-05-12), the Rubin Build-Out sector overlay, and the forward calendar.
10 min
Pulse · Newsletter
Newsletter family
The long-form companion to the site — a Substack hub plus LinkedIn newsletters tailored to audience-specific frames: global stock markets, US stock markets and hypergrowth. Subscribe on the platform you already read.
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Closelooknet
Investment research across the US and global markets. Technical analysis, Elliott Wave timing, and structural research mapping the AI buildout — from semiconductors to software. Hypergrowth stocks, global ETFs, and country-level supply chain intelligence.
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Closelook@US Stock Markets
Technical analysis of the US stock markets, trading signals and macro insights.
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Closelook@Hypergrowth
Building diversified portfolios of hypergrowth stocks for different risk levels and investment strategies.
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Closelook@Global Stock Markets
Global stock markets, ETFs, trading signals and macro insights.
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Signal · Live signal log LIVE
Latest signals
Live: every Add, Reduce, Roll and Exit across the Closelook model portfolios, logged with the reasoning in plain English. SSR-seeds with the static fallback for first paint, then replaces with the freshest rows from /api/signals/trades. The Pattern Engine feed (proprietary patterns from the Directional Alpha framework) joins this page when the signal-ticker worker ships.
Indices LIVE
Functional indices
Proprietary indices built to uncover the narratives that drive markets beneath the surface — sector rotation, supply-chain shifts, smart-money positioning. Structured by function, not by SIC classification. Each index is recomputed nightly and evolves as the dominant themes change.
Intel · Reads / 101 / Glossary AUTO
Frameworks and briefs
The substance layer: plain-English 101 entries that explain the concepts behind our signals, glossary terms a quant desk would assume you know, and deep-research briefs on single themes. Every scoring decision on the site traces back to a framework documented here.
Lab · Quant dashboards LIVE
Lab status
Live quantitative dashboards — such as the Money Temperature gauge tracking macro regime shifts, the Cointegration Monitor flagging pair-trading breaks, and rotation trackers across our index families. Each tool publishes its raw data so you can reconstruct the score.
Money Temperature —
Cointegration —
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Open →Pattern Engine mock
NVDA support confluence · DAX cointegration break · Asia overnight pivot.
Coming soon →AW25 · Agentic —
Euro-AI sovereignty rotation dominant in AW25 basket.
Open →Lab · Sector Engine LIVE
Global sector heatmap
11 GICS sectors across 4 regions, refreshed daily. Cross-region spreads, cyclical-defensive rotation, and region-weighted globals — the decomposition that tells you whether a global sector move was actually global, or just one region carrying the average.
Leading sector globally —
Region-weighted across the 4-region matrix · 1-month window
Open →Lagging sector globally —
Region-weighted across the 4-region matrix · 1-month window
Open →Risk-on regime —
Strongest cyclical − defensive spread across regions · 1-month
Open →Portfolios · Model LIVE
Live model portfolios
Live reference portfolios — active discretionary baskets covering tech equities, thematic buildouts, global ETFs and derivatives, plus systematic Rubin trackers (Equal Weight, Momentum, Sector Rotation). Every position is visible daily, every change is logged. Skin in the game, scored against the same benchmarks you would use — no opaque sleeves, no hidden bets.
- Global Tech 50 48 positions Return +10.64%
- AI Buildout 32 positions Return +21.76%
- Hypergrowth 38 positions Return +11.41%
- Global ETFs 46 positions Return +6.25%
- Derivatives 12 positions Return +6.75%
- Rubin EW 102 positions Return +81.34%
- Rubin MW 102 positions Return +85.54%
- Rubin Sector 61 positions Return +2.71%
Tape · Live channel LIVE
Latest tape
Price-action news for the Closelook universe — surfaced from the noise. Bellwether multi-day flow, PEAD signals, watchpoint events and macro cards, posted continuously across the trading day.
Predictions · Expert forecasts COMING SOON
Calibrated forecasts, not prediction markets.
Structured forecasts scored on accuracy, not opinion. Community, experts and AI each make their call — the scoreboard is public, the methodology transparent. Predictions closes the loop between intelligence, signal and outcome — it is where Closelook keeps itself honest.
Invited experts forecast binary finance questions — FOMC decisions, earnings beats,
macro moves, crypto levels. Scoring is Brier + log-loss, not cash. Runs on
predictions.closelook.net with its own Cloudflare worker and D1
database. Metaculus model, finance-vertical focus.
live
FAQ · Frequently asked
What Closelook is, in plain questions.
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What is closelook.net?
- closelook.net is an independent research and signal platform for global technology investing. It publishes proprietary frameworks, functional indices such as the Rubin Build-Out 100, HALO Growth 100 and Euro-AI Sovereign 50, a Money Temperature regime monitor, a cointegration dashboard, five live model portfolios and a real-time pattern-hit signal ticker. Closelook sits between a Bloomberg terminal and an investment newsletter — quant-desk methods packaged as a subscription for retail investors, boutique advisers and family offices.
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Who is closelook.net for?
- closelook.net is built for three audiences: clever retail investors who manage their own book, boutique advisers running client portfolios, and single or multi-family offices allocating across public tech equity. The common denominator is an investor who wants the transparency of systematic methods without the cost and complexity of a full trading desk. The site is in English with occasional German source material, and the tier structure is designed so that the free layer covers most self-directed users while paid tiers add real-time signals and deeper pattern detail.
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What is the Money Temperature?
- Money Temperature is a regime monitor computed daily from eight macro instruments — US and German yield curves, the DXY dollar index, gold, oil, copper, credit spreads and implied volatility. Each instrument is scored on trend, cointegration stability and cross-market consistency using Engle-Granger and Hurst statistics. The composite score lands on a 0–100 scale and is rendered as one of three states: 🟢 calm, 🟡 transition or 🔴 stress. The pipeline runs at 23:05 UTC on GitHub Actions and writes its output to a Cloudflare R2 bucket. Live dashboard: Money Temperature lab.
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What are functional indices?
- A functional index is a rules-based basket constructed around a specific economic function rather than a sector label. The Rubin Build-Out 100 tracks the equity expression of the AI data-centre build-out across 18 sub-sectors with a deliberate Asian weighting. HALO Growth 100 captures functional growth compounders across twelve sectors. Euro-AI Sovereign 50 isolates the European AI sovereignty theme. Because each index is constructed from a function rather than a market-cap float filter, the constituent list can cross traditional index boundaries and is rebalanced on disclosed rules.
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How does the signal ticker work?
- The signal ticker is an agentic feed. A Cloudflare worker scans the proprietary data sources — the Money Temperature output, the four functional indices, the cointegration monitor and a live pattern library of 51 directional-alpha patterns — every few minutes. When a pattern fires on an instrument in the Closelook universe, an Anthropic-powered agent composes a short signal bite with confidence, temperature context and index weight. Bites are written to Cloudflare KV, exposed via
/api/signals, and rendered both as a scrolling strip and as a filterable feed. - The signal ticker is an agentic feed. A Cloudflare worker scans the proprietary data sources — the Money Temperature output, the four functional indices, the cointegration monitor and a live pattern library of 51 directional-alpha patterns — every few minutes. When a pattern fires on an instrument in the Closelook universe, an Anthropic-powered agent composes a short signal bite with confidence, temperature context and index weight. Bites are written to Cloudflare KV, exposed via
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How is closelook.net different from Bloomberg, Reuters or a typical newsletter?
- Bloomberg and Reuters are horizontal — they cover everything at news-wire depth. Closelook is vertical: it covers one stack (global tech investing) with proprietary indices, proprietary patterns and its own regime models. A typical newsletter offers opinion without a data spine. Closelook offers both: every editorial piece links back to the data that justifies it, and every data view links forward to the editorial that contextualises it. Pricing reflects the positioning — a C+ Premier subscription at $89 per month sits between a newsletter and an institutional data contract.
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Free updates land in your inbox — the subscriber tier opens up the portfolio detail, real-time trade log, and full weekly commentary.