Market Structure · Beta Instability
The chart can be fine while participation breaks down underneath. The X-Ray measures it directly — upside beta (on up-days), downside beta (on down-days), asymmetry and instability — across the key structure pairs and 343 names in our indices. Detecting the rotation before price makes it obvious.
Updated daily · data as of 2026-07-15 · Participation fragile — fragility rising beneath the surface
Latest read The Generals Have Followed Their Troops — the breadth warning becomes price confirmation →
Each pair, decomposed on up-days and down-days separately. These are the published "Troops Leaving Before the Generals" set — now confirmed by price in "The Generals Have Followed Their Troops".
Semiconductor leadership vs Nasdaq
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 1.20 | 1.72 | 1.71 | 1.67 |
| down β | 2.58 | 2.12 | 2.00 | 1.92 |
Equal-weight semis vs Nasdaq
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 1.78 | 1.78 | 1.82 | 1.89 |
| down β | 2.59 | 2.57 | 2.21 | 2.11 |
Equal-weight semis vs market
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 3.04 | 2.74 | 2.37 | 2.45 |
| down β | 1.34 | 3.00 | 2.29 | 2.42 |
Small-cap participation
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 0.10 | 0.83 | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| down β | 0.60 | 1.05 | 1.07 | 1.14 |
S&P 500 equal-weight participation
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 0.53 | 0.62 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| down β | 0.95 | 0.77 | 0.81 | 0.75 |
Credit confirmation
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 0.08 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| down β | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 0.18 |
Speculative-growth appetite
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 1.99 | 1.40 | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| down β | 0.56 | 1.05 | 1.25 | 1.44 |
Want a specific name? Open the X-Ray Directory → — search, sort and open any of 2736 names on the full toolbox vs SPY & Nasdaq.
For each pair (asset vs benchmark), returns are split into the benchmark's up-days and down-days. Upside β is participation in rallies; downside β is vulnerability in selloffs; asymmetry (up − down) and the participation ratio (up ÷ down) say whether an asset captures more upside than downside. Read across 21 / 63 / 126 / 252 days: a sharp drop at the short horizon while the long looks fine is the early warning.
For information and discussion only — a reading of market internals, not investment advice. Scores are relative and descriptive. Cross-read with the Money Temperature regime.