Market Structure · Beta Instability
The chart can be fine while participation breaks down underneath. The X-Ray measures it directly — upside beta (on up-days), downside beta (on down-days), asymmetry and instability — across the key structure pairs and 343 names in our indices. Detecting the rotation before price makes it obvious.
Updated daily · data as of 2026-07-10 · Participation fragile — fragility rising beneath the surface
Latest read The Generals Have Followed Their Troops — the breadth warning becomes price confirmation →
Each pair, decomposed on up-days and down-days separately. These are the published "Troops Leaving Before the Generals" set — now confirmed by price in "The Generals Have Followed Their Troops".
Semiconductor leadership vs Nasdaq
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 1.44 | 1.65 | 1.71 | 1.68 |
| down β | 2.80 | 2.15 | 2.01 | 1.93 |
Equal-weight semis vs Nasdaq
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 1.88 | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.90 |
| down β | 2.68 | 2.61 | 2.23 | 2.11 |
Equal-weight semis vs market
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 3.06 | 2.40 | 2.36 | 2.47 |
| down β | 0.92 | 3.09 | 2.26 | 2.40 |
Small-cap participation
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 0.57 | 0.83 | 1.12 | 1.30 |
| down β | 0.59 | 1.05 | 1.11 | 1.13 |
S&P 500 equal-weight participation
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 0.45 | 0.56 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| down β | 1.00 | 0.74 | 0.84 | 0.75 |
Credit confirmation
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| down β | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 0.18 |
Speculative-growth appetite
| horizon | 21d | 63d | 126d | 252d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| up β | 1.73 | 1.39 | 1.52 | 1.37 |
| down β | 0.54 | 1.02 | 1.24 | 1.45 |
Want a specific name? Open the X-Ray Directory → — search, sort and open any of 2734 names on the full toolbox vs SPY & Nasdaq.
For each pair (asset vs benchmark), returns are split into the benchmark's up-days and down-days. Upside β is participation in rallies; downside β is vulnerability in selloffs; asymmetry (up − down) and the participation ratio (up ÷ down) say whether an asset captures more upside than downside. Read across 21 / 63 / 126 / 252 days: a sharp drop at the short horizon while the long looks fine is the early warning.
For information and discussion only — a reading of market internals, not investment advice. Scores are relative and descriptive. Cross-read with the Money Temperature regime.