Breadth 2026-07-10
The market is broadening out
The advance is broadening: the typical S&P 500 stock is up +10.4% this year and 68% of names are above their long-term trend, so the gains no longer depend on a handful of giants. Underneath, the leaders are changing hands: materials has started to slip, while tech, industrials and real estate are quietly turning up. Broad participation like this tends to make a move more durable than a narrow, top-heavy one.
Indices 2026-07-09
The rally still belongs to the AI build-out
Measured from the market's low at the end of March, our four house baskets have pulled sharply apart. Rubin (our read on the AI build-out) leads, up +71%, while HALO (our broad-growth basket) trails at +6%. Euro-AI +29% and AW40 +7% sit in between. In plain terms, almost all the money that has come back into the market since spring has gone to the companies building out artificial intelligence rather than to the broad market — the same narrow leadership our breadth read keeps flagging. A move this concentrated usually has to broaden out or it wobbles; it rarely just keeps running on so few names.
Sectors 2026-07-10
Leadership is rotating out of the old winners
The groups that led this year are losing steam: materials has slipped below its short-term trend even though it remains above the long-term one — the first sign a leader is tiring. At the same time tech, industrials, real estate, household staples, utilities, healthcare, banks and financials and consumer names now trade above their short, medium and long-term trends together, the look of money quietly moving in. When leadership changes hands like this, the next leg of the market often looks very different from the last one.
Breadth 2026-07-10
New highs are outpacing new lows
Across the S&P 500, 11 stocks are sitting at fresh one-year highs while 0 have just made new one-year lows. More names making new highs than new lows tells you the strength is reasonably broad — a healthier backdrop than a market carried by only its biggest stocks, and the kind of participation that tends to keep a move going. It is one of the simplest, oldest reads on whether a market move has the troops marching behind it.
Reads 2026-07-10
One Year to Beat Forty
New on Worth a Read, our pick of outside writers worth your time — this one from undefined. Tom's Hardware on Samsung's chip division expecting 2026 alone to out-earn its entire 40-year history — a ₩89.4T quarter that passed Nvidia's profit, and a stock that fell on the print anyway. As always, we read the piece, sum up the idea in our own words and link straight to the original so you can judge it for yourself. We feature it for the thinking, not as our own call — one of several independent voices we follow on the markets and technology we cover.
Reads 2026-07-10
The Discount Goes to Market
New on Worth a Read, our pick of outside writers worth your time — this one from undefined. CNBC on SK Hynix's record $26.5B Nasdaq debut as a live test of the Korea discount — the HBM leader at 4.8x forward earnings against Micron's 6.6x, with analysts split on whether US access closes a gap that performance alone never did. As always, we read the piece, sum up the idea in our own words and link straight to the original so you can judge it for yourself. We feature it for the thinking, not as our own call — one of several independent voices we follow on the markets and technology we cover.