Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) — Technical state

As of 2026-09-16 — re-computed nightly across the coverage universe. Closelook diary readings, not advice.

-1.4% at the close

Holding 11.1% off its 52-week high.

Ranked #42 on today’s Directional Flow — Rising fastest list (scan of 2026-09-16).

The moving-average stack

vs 20-day-1.2%
vs 50-day+6.6%
vs 200-day+13.7%
52-week band11.1% off the high · +40.4% off the low
Streak2 consecutive down sessions
Stochastic%K 37.2 · %D 42.8 · down cross

Analyst consensus (context)

Target 553 (+12.9% vs the baked price) · Buy · 66 buy / 16 hold / 0 sell. Third-party consensus, shown for context — not a Closelook view.

Continue: the MSFT chart & overview · quality & forensics · the earnings record · the signal board

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-16

Quick answers

What is the current Closelook signal on MSFT?

-1.4% at the close — Holding 11.1% off its 52-week high. As of 2026-09-16; the signal board re-computes across the coverage universe nightly. A research diary reading, not advice.

Is MSFT above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

As of 2026-09-16, Microsoft Corporation trades +6.6% above its 50-day and +13.7% above its 200-day average, with the 20-day -1.2% away.

How far is MSFT from its 52-week high?

11.1% below the 52-week high and 40.4% above the 52-week low, as of 2026-09-16.

What is the analyst consensus on Microsoft Corporation?

Consensus target 553 (+12.9% vs the baked price), rating Buy, with 66 buy / 16 hold / 0 sell recommendations — third-party consensus data, shown for context, not a Closelook view.

Mentioned on Closelook

Where MSFT appears in the diary — 28 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Go deeper

Long reads

The Agentic Winners 25Dossier · $49 · 31 Mar 2026Bellwethers — large, liquid names like Microsoft, Salesforce, and Intuit whose price action telegraphs sector sentiment before mid-caps move.
NVIDIA 2030Dossier · $49 · 24 Mar 2026The historical analogy chain — Microsoft (Windows monopoly) → Apple (consumer computing platform) → AWS (global cloud utility) → NVIDIA (global intelligence utility) — frames the scale of what is happening.
Agentic Application Software: The SaaSpocalypse MapDossier · $39 · 27 Feb 2026Palantir (PLTR) · ServiceNow (NOW) · SAP (partial — ERP data locked in) Productivity & Collaboration Adapt or die — copilots vs replacement Microsoft owns the distribution channel: 365 + Copilot captures the vast majority of enterprise…
AI Economy — Three Futures for 2030, and the One the Model Leaves OutReport · 14 Sept 2026Microsoft’s chief executive welcomed deliberate pacing.
Google and RSI — The Loop Nobody Has ClosedReport · 13 Sept 2026
Magnificent Seven — The Seven at the ShelfWeekly Signal · 30 Aug 2026The Magnificent Seven fund was +2.66% on the week against the flat index, Microsoft led the board at +6.3%, and six of the seven were green.
Pattern 03 — NVIDIA Strategic Authority InvestmentReport · 12 May 2026Three rhythmic series run alongside the dated events: Hyperscaler earnings (MSFT / GOOGL / META / AMZN, quarterly) — capex disclosures set NVIDIA's tape.
The SaaS Litmus Test: Is The March Bottom Real?Weekly Signal · 19 Apr 2026

101 and glossary

Agentic AI Adoption Curve: Where We Are and What Comes Next101The 'Cannibalize or Die' companies that pivoted early (Microsoft Copilot, Salesforce Agentforce) start showing agent-platform revenue.
The CapEx Cliff Question: When Does AI Infrastructure Spending Peak?101Hyperscalers (Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta) are spending over $200 billion annually on AI infrastructure.

Dailies

Rates — the Fed hikes and the 10-year closes above 5%: the belly sold, the relief unwound, chips back under $505Morning 10 · 17 Sept 2026The other three on the hike: Agentic Winners 40 −1.3% to 921.21 — Applications −1.5%, UiPath −4.2%, CoStar −3.8%, Duolingo −3.7%, Intuit −3.4%, Adobe −2.8%, ServiceNow −1.5%, Microsoft −1.4%, Oracle +2.0%; HALO −0.3% to 1,005.06, Energy…
Fed day — relief before the decision: 10-year 4.96%, Brent under $107.63, chips reclaim $505, Nasdaq-100 above $708.69Midday 10 · 16 Sept 2026Software is the laggard: the software ETF flat at $105.41, Microsoft −0.5%, ServiceNow −0.8%; the security names hold, Palo Alto +1.2%.
AI trade — sellers of compute sold, buyers bought: chips −5.6%, software +5%, SoftBank +7% in TokyoMorning 10 · 15 Sept 2026Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta — the three that buy the most compute — closed up 2% to 3%.
Rates — the 10-year hits 5.01%: Dow −0.9%, Russell −1.2%, the AI sort pauses, Oracle and Adobe hold their linesMidday 10 · 15 Sept 2026The security group keeps its bid — CrowdStrike +2.9%, SentinelOne +2.3%, Zscaler +1.8% — and the buyers of compute give some back: Alphabet −1.6%, Amazon −1.5%, Apple −1.0%, Microsoft −0.8%.
Chips lead the market down as oil tops $105 and the 10-year hits 4.92%: Micron −4%, Intel −4%, Nvidia −2.5% — while software posts its first up day in six and Apple gains 3%Midday 10 · 10 Sept 2026On Wednesday five names with headlines rallied inside a falling fund; today the fund is up 0.5% while the names without news are the ones rising — ServiceNow +2.1% at $134 after a week of selling, Salesforce +0.6%, Datadog +0.5%, Shopify…
Chips up again, software down again — Friday's split is turning into a trendMidday 10 · 8 Sept 2026Shopify is down about 7.2%, Intuit 5.7%, Workday 5.6%, Booking 5.8%, ServiceNow 4.3%, Salesforce 3.5%, Adobe 3.3%, MongoDB 2.7%, Datadog 2.3%, Palantir 1.7% and Microsoft 1.4%.
Chips jump 3% while software falls 2% — the hot jobs report has split the tech trade in twoMidday 10 · 4 Sept 2026Nvidia and Caterpillar are the strongest shares in the Dow, Apple and Microsoft the weakest.
From Silicon Scarcity to Software Scarcity: The Next AI Bottleneck Is Permission to Act, and the Market Graded It This WeekDaily Pulse · 3 Sept 2026Identity and policy; orchestration NOW, SAP, CRM/MuleSoft, MSFT, OKTA, PLTR 3 · Scale trusted autonomy Can thousands of actions be evaluated, secured and reversed?