Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) — the earnings record
As of the 2026-07-23 card — updated after each print. An investment research diary, not advice.
The record at a glance
Reactions across the covered prints span -12.1% to +10.4% — the beat column and the reaction column frequently disagree, which is the whole reason the record scores them separately. The street carries est revenue ~$87.6B into the next print.
Print by print
| Date | EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | 2026-04-29 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jan 26 | 2026-01-28 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Oct 25 | 2025-10-29 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jul 25 | 2025-07-30 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Apr 25 | 2025-04-30 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jan 25 | 2025-01-29 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Oct 24 | 2024-10-30 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jul 24 | 2024-07-30 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Apr 24 | 2024-04-25 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jan 24 | 2024-01-30 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
The per-print reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read live on the full MSFT print-record card — free registration.
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-07-23
Quick answers
How often does Microsoft Corporation beat earnings estimates?
Across the last 10 covered prints (as of the 2026-07-23 card), Microsoft Corporation beat EPS estimates 10 of 10 times and revenue estimates 10 of 10 times, with 10 double beats.
How does MSFT stock react to earnings?
Measured close-of-print-day to the close three sessions later: 2 of the last 10 prints resolved up (beyond +3%), 3 flat, 5 down — reactions spanning -12.1% to +10.4%. Beat-or-miss and reaction are scored separately because they frequently disagree.
What was MSFT's biggest earnings reaction?
-12.1% over the three sessions after the Jan 26 print (2026-01-28).
When does Microsoft Corporation report earnings next?
2026-07-29 (est EPS $4.21 · est revenue ~$87.6B). The full print-record card — reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read — updates after each print; registration is free. An investment research diary, not advice.
Mentioned on Closelook
Where MSFT appears in the diary — 27 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Go deeper
Long reads
- The Agentic Winners 25
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- NVIDIA 2030
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- Agentic Application Software: The SaaSpocalypse Map
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- AI Economy — Three Futures for 2030, and the One the Model Leaves Out
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- Magnificent Seven — The Seven at the Shelf
The Magnificent Seven fund was +2.66% on the week against the flat index, Microsoft led the board at +6.3%, and six of the seven were green.
- Pattern 03 — NVIDIA Strategic Authority Investment
Three rhythmic series run alongside the dated events: Hyperscaler earnings (MSFT / GOOGL / META / AMZN, quarterly) — capex disclosures set NVIDIA's tape.
- The SaaS Litmus Test: Is The March Bottom Real?
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- Agentic AI Adoption Curve: Where We Are and What Comes Next
The 'Cannibalize or Die' companies that pivoted early (Microsoft Copilot, Salesforce Agentforce) start showing agent-platform revenue.
- The CapEx Cliff Question: When Does AI Infrastructure Spending Peak?
Hyperscalers (Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta) are spending over $200 billion annually on AI infrastructure.
Dailies
- Fed day — relief before the decision: 10-year 4.96%, Brent under $107.63, chips reclaim $505, Nasdaq-100 above $708.69
Software is the laggard: the software ETF flat at $105.41, Microsoft −0.5%, ServiceNow −0.8%; the security names hold, Palo Alto +1.2%.
- AI trade — sellers of compute sold, buyers bought: chips −5.6%, software +5%, SoftBank +7% in Tokyo
Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta — the three that buy the most compute — closed up 2% to 3%.
- Rates — the 10-year hits 5.01%: Dow −0.9%, Russell −1.2%, the AI sort pauses, Oracle and Adobe hold their lines
The security group keeps its bid — CrowdStrike +2.9%, SentinelOne +2.3%, Zscaler +1.8% — and the buyers of compute give some back: Alphabet −1.6%, Amazon −1.5%, Apple −1.0%, Microsoft −0.8%.
- Chips lead the market down as oil tops $105 and the 10-year hits 4.92%: Micron −4%, Intel −4%, Nvidia −2.5% — while software posts its first up day in six and Apple gains 3%
On Wednesday five names with headlines rallied inside a falling fund; today the fund is up 0.5% while the names without news are the ones rising — ServiceNow +2.1% at $134 after a week of selling, Salesforce +0.6%, Datadog +0.5%, Shopify…
- Chips up again, software down again — Friday's split is turning into a trend
Shopify is down about 7.2%, Intuit 5.7%, Workday 5.6%, Booking 5.8%, ServiceNow 4.3%, Salesforce 3.5%, Adobe 3.3%, MongoDB 2.7%, Datadog 2.3%, Palantir 1.7% and Microsoft 1.4%.
- Chips jump 3% while software falls 2% — the hot jobs report has split the tech trade in two
Nvidia and Caterpillar are the strongest shares in the Dow, Apple and Microsoft the weakest.
- From Silicon Scarcity to Software Scarcity: The Next AI Bottleneck Is Permission to Act, and the Market Graded It This Week
Identity and policy; orchestration NOW, SAP, CRM/MuleSoft, MSFT, OKTA, PLTR 3 · Scale trusted autonomy Can thousands of actions be evaluated, secured and reversed?
- Decision Time for the Semi Complex
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