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Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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The desk on LITE

What this diary said about Lumentum Holdings Inc, what it holds and what would change its view — in its own words, dated. Investment diary, not advice.

What we said

What we hold

BookPositionSinceResult
Hypergrowth 20 shares · average entry $935.75 — +16.0%
AI Cycle 2030 (wikifolio) ↗ 3 shares · average entry €724.98 — —

Model books as of 2 Oct 2026; wikifolio positions from the official wikifolio data, entries in euros. Results are unrealised, before any exit. A record of what the diary does, not a recommendation to do the same.

Our record on LITE

Every scored call, pick and trade this diary has made on Lumentum Holdings Inc, with the outcome where it is known.

Charts from the desk on LITE

The charts this diary drew or picked on Lumentum Holdings Inc, as published — each dated and linked to the piece that explains it.

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for LITE, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Versus its index Rubin Build-Out 100 — the name, its sleeve and the index over day, week and month

Versus its index

The name against its Closelooknet index and its own sleeve — equal-weight, nightly closes.

Rubin Build-Out 100 · as of 2026-10-02

DayWeekMonth3 months
LITE+3.8%+15.3%+24.7%+48.4%
High-Speed Interconnects+4.1%+8.5%+19.6%—
Rubin Build-Out 100+2.8%+5.9%+14.6%—

Against the index: 9.4 pts ahead on the week, 10.1 pts ahead on the month; against its High-Speed Interconnects sleeve 5.1 pts ahead on the month.

Returns from the index workers’ nightly closes; equal-weight sleeves. A relative reading from the research diary, not advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 24 pieces · newest: Morning 10, “Jobs day — futures +0.3% before payrolls; Nike −8.7% after hours, Accenture holds +15.8%” (2026-10-02)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where LITE appears in the diary — 24 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Long reads

101 and glossary

Dailies

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 57/100 · S&P 500 fund at 60, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-10-02
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 99th percentile of the window, +10.3% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-10-02
  • Sector × region Technology in US: +1.8% week · +9.0% month · +9.0% quarter · +44.5% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLK.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-10-02
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.59 · down 0.12 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-10-02
How it trades on rate days beta −0.05 to TLT · on the worst bond days it fell more than the market

How it trades on rate days

How LITE has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year −0.05 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Lumentum Holdings Inc moved −0.05% on average · correlation 0.00 · higher than 7% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.72 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −1.78% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days −0.85% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Optical components and lasers · 4 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Optical components and lasers

Curated competitor set — who the market prices this name against, not just who shares its sector.

  • COHRCoherent Inc
    day
    +10.9%
    vs 50d
    +7.6%
    off high
    −27.5%
    score
    40

    flow: losing force

  • AAOIApplied Opt
    day
    +8.1%
    vs 50d
    −3.4%
    off high
    −54.1%
    score
    34

    flow: losing force

  • CIENCiena Corp
    day
    +3.2%
    vs 50d
    +4.6%
    off high
    −38.6%
    score
    —
  • FNFabrinet
    day
    +6.4%
    vs 50d
    +0.5%
    off high
    −39.7%
    score
    42

    flow: getting weaker

Compared against LITE on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Lumentum Holdings Inc

LITE in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Lumentum makes optical and photonic components: laser chips, laser sub-assemblies, wavelength management systems, optical modules, optical circuit switches and industrial lasers. These parts serve cloud, AI and machine-learning networks, telecoms, consumer and industrial customers. It is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Where it sits in the stack
In our Rubin Build-Out 100 index, Lumentum sits in Layer 5, Connectivity & Materials, in the High-Speed Interconnects sleeve — the optical fabric that links separate GPUs into working clusters. It is a supplier that cluster builders depend on to keep bandwidth ahead of accelerator counts.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group prices it against other optical-component and laser makers — Coherent, Applied Optoelectronics, Ciena and Fabrinet; the market also compares it with Infinera.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
It is a Rubin Build-Out 100 constituent and carries a Closelooknet score, with momentum the strongest module and valuation the weakest. It has appeared in a report on optical-interconnect drawdowns, in a Heresy piece's barbell portfolio, and in a report on Nvidia's investment pattern where its capacity-access rights rode alongside a supplier's purchase commitments.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether capacity-access arrangements tied to large buyers keep translating into shipped volume, and whether the growth read holds against a persistently weak valuation module.

Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE) trades on US exchanges, classified under Technology, and sits in Layer 5 of the build-out stack. Constituent of Rubin Build-Out 100.

The Closelooknet company score reads 60/100 composite (momentum 91, quality 44, valuation 21) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 2 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Bernstein, 2026-09-30

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for LITE from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Bernstein — target 1,220 Target set to $1220 (+25.3% to spot) 2026-09-30
  • Price target Deutsche Bank — target 1,200 Target set to $1200 (+31.2% to spot) 2026-08-31

2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return no distribution in twelve months · buybacks 102 m USD in FY2026

Dividends and capital return

What LITE pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Distributions No cash distribution recorded in the price series over the last three years
  • Buybacks, FY2026 102 m USD 0.1% of today's market value
  • Share count +7.2% in FY2026 170 m USD of stock-based compensation in the year
  • Capital returned 102 m USD · 34% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-03

Quick answers

What is Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)?

Lumentum Holdings Inc trades as LITE on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Technology in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-10-03.

Is LITE in a Closelooknet index?

Yes — Lumentum Holdings Inc is a constituent of Rubin Build-Out 100, as of 2026-10-03.

What is Lumentum Holdings Inc's Closelooknet composite score?

60 out of 100, with momentum 91, quality 44 and valuation 21 sub-scores, as of 2026-10-03. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

What is Lumentum Holdings Inc's earnings print record?

Across the 11 prints Closelooknet covers, Lumentum Holdings Inc beat EPS estimates 11 times and revenue estimates 8 times; the three-day reactions split 6 up, 2 flat and 3 down (moves beyond ±3%), as of the 2026-08-14 card. The full print-record card carries the per-print history.

Where does LITE trade against its moving averages?

Up 7.7% at the close: Above both trend lines; one of the day's strongest moves. As of 2026-10-01 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How is LITE doing against its Closelooknet index?

Over the past month Lumentum Holdings Inc is +24.7% against +14.6% for the Rubin Build-Out 100 — 10.1 points ahead of its index, as of 2026-10-02. Its High-Speed Interconnects sleeve is +19.6% over the same month. The “Versus its index” table on this page carries the day, the week and the month for the name, its sleeve and the index.

How does Lumentum Holdings Inc trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Lumentum Holdings Inc had a beta of −0.05 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 7% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −1.78% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

Where has Closelooknet written about Lumentum Holdings Inc?

Lumentum Holdings Inc appears in 24 Closelooknet pieces, most recently Morning 10: Jobs day — futures +0.3% before payrolls; Nike −8.7% after hours, Accenture holds +15.8% (2026-10-02); Midday 10: Jobs-day rally fades — weak payrolls lift stocks at the open, then yields turn up and the Dow goes flat (2026-10-02); Midday 10: AI comeback — Accenture +18%, Synopsys +8%, optics +9% while all three US indices slip (2026-10-01). What Closelooknet said most recently: Coherent closed at 319.19 and Lumentum at 1,045.78 (+7.7%). (Morning 10, 2026-10-02). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

Does Closelooknet hold Lumentum Holdings Inc?

Yes — Hypergrowth: 20 shares · average entry $935.75, +16.0% unrealised; AI Cycle 2030 (wikifolio): 3 shares · average entry €724.98. A record of what the diary does, not a recommendation to do the same.

What does Lumentum Holdings Inc do?

Lumentum makes optical and photonic components: laser chips, laser sub-assemblies, wavelength management systems, optical modules, optical circuit switches and industrial lasers. These parts serve cloud, AI and machine-learning networks, telecoms, consumer and industrial customers. It is headquartered in San Jose, California. Closelooknet's peer group prices it against other optical-component and laser makers — Coherent, Applied Optoelectronics, Ciena and Fabrinet; the market also compares it with Infinera.

Where does Lumentum Holdings Inc sit in the AI build-out?

In our Rubin Build-Out 100 index, Lumentum sits in Layer 5, Connectivity & Materials, in the High-Speed Interconnects sleeve — the optical fabric that links separate GPUs into working clusters. It is a supplier that cluster builders depend on to keep bandwidth ahead of accelerator counts. It is a Rubin Build-Out 100 constituent and carries a Closelooknet score, with momentum the strongest module and valuation the weakest. It has appeared in a report on optical-interconnect drawdowns, in a Heresy piece's barbell portfolio, and in a report on Nvidia's investment pattern where its capacity-access rights rode alongside a supplier's purchase commitments.

Does Lumentum Holdings Inc pay a dividend?

No cash distribution shows in Lumentum Holdings Inc’s price series over the last three years. In fiscal 2026 the company bought back 102 m USD of its own shares, 34% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count rose 7.2% over the fiscal year. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Lumentum Holdings Inc recently?

The most recent analyst action on Lumentum Holdings Inc on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Bernstein on 2026-09-30 (target 1,220). 2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for LITE, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

same Closelooknet index seat first, then Communication Equipment. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.