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Walmart Inc. (WMT) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

The Closelooknet read

Walmart operates large-format discount stores, supermarkets and warehouse clubs across the United States and internationally, alongside e-commerce sites such as walmart.com and Flipkart. It reports through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International and Sam's Club U.S., selling groceries, health and wellness products, general merchandise and fuel.

Detail below: the desk's view, the earnings record, peers and the company snapshot; daily prices on the price-history tab. Agents can buy the score depth per call over HTTP 402 — see the catalogue. Research diary readings, not advice.

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The desk on WMT

What this diary said about Walmart Inc., what it holds and what would change its view — in its own words, dated. Investment diary, not advice.

What we said

What would change our view

Next 2–4 weeks
Overbought after nine up days in twelve: a pause or pullback toward $114 is the likely next step; holding above it keeps the turn intact.
Into 19 November
The report decides whether $122 breaks. Same-store sales above 3% would confirm the trade-down story; another 2.6% would cap the stock under $122.
12 months
With the five-year channel intact and the downtrend broken, a close above $122 opens the way back to the record zone near $134; a defensive grower that also uses AI should hold its premium while growth slows.

From the Chart Pick of 16 Oct 2026, scored publicly.

Our record on WMT

Every scored call, pick and trade this diary has made on Walmart Inc., with the outcome where it is known.

Charts from the desk on WMT

The charts this diary drew or picked on Walmart Inc., as published — each dated and linked to the piece that explains it.

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for WMT, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Versus its index AI Users — the name, its sleeve and the index over day, week and month

Versus its index

The name against its Closelooknet index and its own sleeve — equal-weight, nightly closes.

AI Users · as of 2026-11-06

DayWeekMonth3 months
WMT−1.7%+1.6%+13.5%+11.4%
Supply Chain & Fulfilment−1.8%−0.9%−1.3%—
AI Users−0.7%+0.7%+6.6%—

Against the index: 0.9 pts ahead on the week, 6.9 pts ahead on the month; against its Supply Chain & Fulfilment sleeve 14.8 pts ahead on the month.

Returns from the index workers’ nightly closes; equal-weight sleeves. A relative reading from the research diary, not advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 12 pieces · newest: Midday 10, “AI Trade — Chips Bounce 3% Before AMD; Apple, Palantir and Shopify Slip After Their Reports” (2026-11-03)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where WMT appears in the diary — 12 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Long reads

Dailies

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 47/100 · S&P 500 fund at 48, above its 200-day averageEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-11-06
  • Factor regime Defensive rotation — low-vol leading, regime-change watchMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): below its 50-day trend, 60th percentile of the window, -22.8% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-11-06
  • Sovereign pressure Index -1.91 · down 2.45 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-11-06
How it trades on rate days beta 0.44 to TLT · on the worst bond days it moved with the market

How it trades on rate days

How WMT has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.44 — tends to move with bonds for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Walmart Inc. moved 0.44% on average · correlation 0.16 · higher than 35% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 1.03 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −0.60% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days −2.66% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Hyperscalers and platforms · 5 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Hyperscalers and platforms

Curated competitor set — who the market prices this name against, not just who shares its sector.

Compared against WMT on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Walmart Inc.

WMT in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Walmart operates large-format discount stores, supermarkets and warehouse clubs across the United States and internationally, alongside e-commerce sites such as walmart.com and Flipkart. It reports through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International and Sam's Club U.S., selling groceries, health and wellness products, general merchandise and fuel. It also runs payment, lending and advertising services built around its retail footprint. It is headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas.
Where it sits in the stack
Walmart sits on the user side of AI, in our AI Users index, Supply Chain & Fulfilment section, which covers forecasting, inventory, purchasing, routing and delivery. By March 2024 it documented route-planning AI removing 30 million unnecessary miles and bypassing 110,000 inefficient paths; by August 2024 it disclosed LLMs creating or improving over 850 million catalogue data points, avoiding roughly 100 times the headcount; by November 2025 it reported adjusted SG&A leverage with over 40% of new code AI-generated or assisted. Customer-care agents, documented from May 2025, route and increasingly resolve requests on their own rather than only assisting staff.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group places Walmart against the hyperscalers and platforms it is priced alongside — Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Oracle and Alibaba; the market also compares it directly with Costco.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Walmart holds seats in the Nasdaq-100 and Dow Jones Industrial Average and in our AI Users index, under Supply Chain & Fulfilment. It carries a Closelooknet score with one module scored so far, still being built. The diary has quoted its route-planning mileage savings and included it in retail chart and sector coverage.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether headcount stays flat near 2.1 million through 2028 as Walmart states, and whether agentic commerce inside ChatGPT, announced in October 2025, converts into measurable volume.

Walmart Inc. (WMT) trades on US exchanges, classified under Consumer Defensive.

The Closelooknet company score reads 45/100 composite (momentum 62, quality 43, valuation 24) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-10-25. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: WMT news on the tape · index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 16 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Jefferies, 2026-08-21

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for WMT from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Jefferies — target 120 from 150 Target cut to $120 from $150 (+15.7% to spot) 2026-08-21
  • Price target Deutsche Bank — target 113 from 120 Target cut to $113 from $120 (+9.9% to spot) 2026-08-21
  • Price target Wolfe Research — target 115 Target set to $115 (+10.7% to spot) 2026-08-21

16 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 downgrade, 15 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 0.58%, semi-annual · buybacks 8.09 bn USD in FY2026

Dividends and capital return

What WMT pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 0.73 USD per share · a 0.58% yield on the 2026-11-06 close 3 distributions, paid twice a year 2026-11-06
  • Change on the year −19.9% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 0.91 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.25 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-08-21
  • By calendar year 2024: 0.83 USD (partial) · 2025: 0.94 USD · 2026: 0.50 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2024-03-14
  • Dividends paid, FY2026 7.51 bn USD 35% of earnings
  • Buybacks, FY2026 8.09 bn USD 0.8% of today's market value
  • Share count −0.7% in FY2026
  • Capital returned 15.6 bn USD · 105% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-11-07

Quick answers

What is Walmart Inc. (WMT)?

Walmart Inc. trades as WMT on the US exchange and is classified under Consumer Defensive in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-11-07.

Is WMT in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Walmart Inc. is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-11-07.

What is Walmart Inc.'s Closelooknet composite score?

45 out of 100, with momentum 62, quality 43 and valuation 24 sub-scores, as of 2026-11-07. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

What is Walmart Inc.'s earnings print record?

Across the 10 prints Closelooknet covers, Walmart Inc. beat EPS estimates 9 times and revenue estimates 9 times; the three-day reactions split 1 up, 9 flat and 0 down (moves beyond ±3%), as of the 2026-08-19 card. The full print-record card carries the per-print history.

Where does WMT trade against its moving averages?

Walmart Inc. trades 11.6% above its 50-day and 5.9% above its 200-day moving average (4.1% above its 20-day). As of 2026-11-06 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How is WMT doing against its Closelooknet index?

Over the past month Walmart Inc. is +13.5% against +6.6% for the AI Users — 6.9 points ahead of its index, as of 2026-11-06. Its Supply Chain & Fulfilment sleeve is −1.3% over the same month. The “Versus its index” table on this page carries the day, the week and the month for the name, its sleeve and the index.

How does Walmart Inc. compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Hyperscalers and platforms), Walmart Inc. (WMT) sits 7.1% below its 52-week high, 11.6% above its 50-day average; Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) is 9.4% below, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is 4.2% below, Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) is 30.8% below, as of 2026-11-06. Put any of them next to WMT in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does Walmart Inc. trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Walmart Inc. had a beta of 0.44 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it tends to move with bonds, higher than 35% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −0.60% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. As of 2026-11-06; The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

Where has Closelooknet written about Walmart Inc.?

Walmart Inc. appears in 12 Closelooknet pieces as of 2026-11-07, most recently Midday 10: AI Trade — Chips Bounce 3% Before AMD; Apple, Palantir and Shopify Slip After Their Reports (2026-11-03); Midday 10: Sell-Off — Nasdaq −3%, Chips −8%, Bitcoin −4%, Gold −3%; Only Bonds, Oil and Defensives Hold (2026-10-30); Report: AI Users — Builders Up 66%, the Companies Using AI Flat (2026-10-25). What Closelooknet said most recently: Among the AI users that led the month, Accenture falls 2.5% and Walmart 2.3%, while Eli Lilly holds a 0.5% gain. (Midday 10, 2026-11-03). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

What would change Closelooknet's view on Walmart Inc.?

Next 2–4 weeks: Overbought after nine up days in twelve: a pause or pullback toward $114 is the likely next step; holding above it keeps the turn intact. Into 19 November: The report decides whether $122 breaks. Same-store sales above 3% would confirm the trade-down story; another 2.6% would cap the stock under $122. 12 months: With the five-year channel intact and the downtrend broken, a close above $122 opens the way back to the record zone near $134; a defensive grower that also uses AI should hold its premium while growth slows. From the Chart Pick of 2026-10-16, scored publicly.

What does Walmart Inc. do?

Walmart operates large-format discount stores, supermarkets and warehouse clubs across the United States and internationally, alongside e-commerce sites such as walmart.com and Flipkart. It reports through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International and Sam's Club U.S., selling groceries, health and wellness products, general merchandise and fuel. It also runs payment, lending and advertising services built around its retail footprint. Closelooknet's peer group places Walmart against the hyperscalers and platforms it is priced alongside — Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Oracle and Alibaba; the market also compares it directly with Costco. (Company snapshot of 2026-10-25.)

Where does Walmart Inc. sit in the AI build-out?

Walmart sits on the user side of AI, in our AI Users index, Supply Chain & Fulfilment section, which covers forecasting, inventory, purchasing, routing and delivery. By March 2024 it documented route-planning AI removing 30 million unnecessary miles and bypassing 110,000 inefficient paths; by August 2024 it disclosed LLMs creating or improving over 850 million catalogue data points, avoiding roughly 100 times the headcount; by November 2025 it reported adjusted SG&A leverage with over 40% of new code AI-generated or assisted. Customer-care agents, documented from May 2025, route and increasingly resolve requests on their own rather than only assisting staff. Walmart holds seats in the Nasdaq-100 and Dow Jones Industrial Average and in our AI Users index, under Supply Chain & Fulfilment. It carries a Closelooknet score with one module scored so far, still being built. The diary has quoted its route-planning mileage savings and included it in retail chart and sector coverage. (Company snapshot of 2026-10-25.)

Does Walmart Inc. pay a dividend?

Walmart Inc. has paid 0.73 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid twice a year, a trailing yield of 0.58% on the 2026-11-06 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.25 USD on 2026-08-21. In fiscal 2026 the company paid 7.51 bn USD in dividends and bought back 8.09 bn USD of its own shares, 105% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count fell 0.7% over the fiscal year. As of 2026-11-06; the "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Walmart Inc. recently?

The most recent analyst action on Walmart Inc. on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Jefferies on 2026-08-21 (target 120 from 150). 16 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 downgrade, 15 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

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Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Discount Stores, then Consumer Defensive. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.