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Walmart Inc. (WMT) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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The desk on WMT

What this diary said about Walmart Inc., what it holds and what would change its view — in its own words, dated. Investment diary, not advice.

What we said

What we hold

BookPositionSinceResult
Derivatives long 1 call · $100 strike · 18 Dec 2026 · bought at $37.36, now $19.73 — −47.2%

Model books as of 16 Oct 2026; wikifolio positions from the official wikifolio data, entries in euros. Results are unrealised, before any exit. A record of what the diary does, not a recommendation to do the same.

What would change our view

Next 2–4 weeks
Overbought after nine up days in twelve: a pause or pullback toward $114 is the likely next step; holding above it keeps the turn intact.
Into 19 November
The report decides whether $122 breaks. Same-store sales above 3% would confirm the trade-down story; another 2.6% would cap the stock under $122.
12 months
With the five-year channel intact and the downtrend broken, a close above $122 opens the way back to the record zone near $134; a defensive grower that also uses AI should hold its premium while growth slows.

From the Chart Pick of 16 Oct 2026, scored publicly.

Our record on WMT

Every scored call, pick and trade this diary has made on Walmart Inc., with the outcome where it is known.

Charts from the desk on WMT

The charts this diary drew or picked on Walmart Inc., as published — each dated and linked to the piece that explains it.

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for WMT, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 9 pieces · newest: Chart Pick, “Retail — the store that wins when money is tight breaks its five-month downtrend” (2026-10-16)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where WMT appears in the diary — 9 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Long reads

Dailies

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 47/100 · S&P 500 fund at 43, above its 200-day averageEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-10-16
  • Factor regime Defensive rotation — low-vol leading, regime-change watchMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): below its 50-day trend, 82th percentile of the window, -8.0% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-10-16
  • Sovereign pressure Index -0.09 · down 0.09 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-10-16
How it trades on rate days beta 0.29 to TLT · on the worst bond days it moved with the market

How it trades on rate days

How WMT has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.29 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Walmart Inc. moved 0.29% on average · correlation 0.10 · higher than 22% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.68 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −0.60% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days −2.66% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Hyperscalers and platforms · 5 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Hyperscalers and platforms

Curated competitor set — who the market prices this name against, not just who shares its sector.

Compared against WMT on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Walmart Inc.

WMT in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Walmart runs retail and wholesale stores, membership clubs and ecommerce sites worldwide, organised as three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International and Sam's Club U.S. It sells groceries, health and wellness products, home and hardline goods, electronics and financial services, and carries its own private-label lines. Walmart is based in Bentonville, Arkansas.
Where it sits in the stack
Walmart carries no seat in Rubin, our AI build-out index, so it sits outside that stack. Inside the diary's wider universe it sits in the retail and discount-store sleeve, priced as a consumer-defensive name rather than a build-out constituent.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group compares Walmart with hyperscalers and platform companies — Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Oracle and Alibaba — a set built around scale and cloud-adjacent reach rather than store format; the market also weighs it against Costco.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Walmart holds seats in the Nasdaq-100 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the diary has quoted it across the Morning 10 and Midday 10 when broad consumer prints move the tape. It does not yet carry a Closelooknet score.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether Walmart's push into digital advertising, marketplace and financial services widens its comparison with the platform names in its peer group, or whether it stays priced as a store operator.

Walmart Inc. (WMT) trades on US exchanges.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: WMT news on the tape · index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 17 analyst actions on the wire · latest: upgrade by Deutsche Bank, 2026-10-15

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for WMT from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Upgrade Deutsche Bank — Hold → Buy · target 136 Upgraded to Buy from Hold · Target set to $136 (+17.1% to spot) 2026-10-15
  • Price target Jefferies — target 120 from 150 Target cut to $120 from $150 (+15.7% to spot) 2026-08-21
  • Price target Deutsche Bank — target 113 from 120 Target cut to $113 from $120 (+9.9% to spot) 2026-08-21

17 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 upgrade, 1 downgrade, 15 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 0.62%, semi-annual · last 0.25 USD on 2026-08-21

Dividends and capital return

What WMT pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 0.73 USD per share · a 0.62% yield on the 2026-10-16 close 3 distributions, paid twice a year 2026-10-16
  • Change on the year −19.9% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 0.91 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.25 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-08-21
  • By calendar year 2024: 0.83 USD (partial) · 2025: 0.94 USD · 2026: 0.50 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2024-03-14

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-17

Quick answers

What is Walmart Inc. (WMT)?

Walmart Inc. trades as WMT on the US exchange in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-10-17.

Is WMT in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Walmart Inc. is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-10-17.

What is Walmart Inc.'s earnings print record?

Across the 10 prints Closelooknet covers, Walmart Inc. beat EPS estimates 9 times and revenue estimates 9 times; the three-day reactions split 1 up, 9 flat and 0 down (moves beyond ±3%), as of the 2026-08-19 card. The full print-record card carries the per-print history.

Where does WMT trade against its moving averages?

Recovery attempt under the 200-day: Trades +9.1% vs the 50-day and +0.8% vs the 200-day average, 12.1% below the 52-week high and +20.6% off the 52-week low; a death cross printed 58 sessions ago. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-10-16 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Walmart Inc. compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Hyperscalers and platforms), Walmart Inc. (WMT) sits 12.1% below its 52-week high, 9.1% above its 50-day average; Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) is 11.3% below, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is 2.2% below, Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) is 14.5% below. Put any of them next to WMT in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does Walmart Inc. trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Walmart Inc. had a beta of 0.29 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 22% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −0.60% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

Where has Closelooknet written about Walmart Inc.?

Walmart Inc. appears in 9 Closelooknet pieces, most recently Chart Pick: Retail — the store that wins when money is tight breaks its five-month downtrend (2026-10-16); Midday 10: Tech — the whole complex sold: chip fund −2.1%, software −4.3%; Nasdaq −1.1% while the Dow is green (2026-10-16); Morning 10: Rates — the 10-year closes at 5.11% and the 5-year hits 5%; Tokyo reopens higher, chip-equipment makers lead (2026-09-24). What Closelooknet said most recently: Said plainly: this is Walmart (Nasdaq: WMT), the world's largest retailer, with about 4,600 US stores, Sam's Club and a growing online and advertising business. (Chart Pick, 2026-10-16). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

Does Closelooknet hold Walmart Inc.?

Yes — Derivatives: long 1 call · $100 strike · 18 Dec 2026 · bought at $37.36, now $19.73, -47.2% unrealised. A record of what the diary does, not a recommendation to do the same.

What would change Closelooknet's view on Walmart Inc.?

Next 2–4 weeks: Overbought after nine up days in twelve: a pause or pullback toward $114 is the likely next step; holding above it keeps the turn intact. Into 19 November: The report decides whether $122 breaks. Same-store sales above 3% would confirm the trade-down story; another 2.6% would cap the stock under $122. 12 months: With the five-year channel intact and the downtrend broken, a close above $122 opens the way back to the record zone near $134; a defensive grower that also uses AI should hold its premium while growth slows. From the Chart Pick of 2026-10-16, scored publicly.

What does Walmart Inc. do?

Walmart runs retail and wholesale stores, membership clubs and ecommerce sites worldwide, organised as three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International and Sam's Club U.S. It sells groceries, health and wellness products, home and hardline goods, electronics and financial services, and carries its own private-label lines. Walmart is based in Bentonville, Arkansas. Closelooknet's peer group compares Walmart with hyperscalers and platform companies — Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Oracle and Alibaba — a set built around scale and cloud-adjacent reach rather than store format; the market also weighs it against Costco.

Where does Walmart Inc. sit in the AI build-out?

Walmart carries no seat in Rubin, our AI build-out index, so it sits outside that stack. Inside the diary's wider universe it sits in the retail and discount-store sleeve, priced as a consumer-defensive name rather than a build-out constituent. Walmart holds seats in the Nasdaq-100 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the diary has quoted it across the Morning 10 and Midday 10 when broad consumer prints move the tape. It does not yet carry a Closelooknet score.

Does Walmart Inc. pay a dividend?

Walmart Inc. has paid 0.73 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid twice a year, a trailing yield of 0.62% on the 2026-10-16 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.25 USD on 2026-08-21. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Walmart Inc. recently?

The most recent analyst action on Walmart Inc. on the Closelooknet wire is a upgrade by Deutsche Bank on 2026-10-15 (Hold → Buy · target 136). 17 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 upgrade, 1 downgrade, 15 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for WMT, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Discount Stores, then Consumer Defensive. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.