State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust (SPY) — Technical state
As of 2026-09-25 — re-computed nightly across the coverage universe. Closelooknet diary readings, not advice.
Uptrend stack intact
Trades +1.3% vs the 50-day and +7.5% vs the 200-day average, 1% below the 52-week high and +22.6% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes.
The moving-average stack
- vs 20-day+0.9%
- vs 50-day+1.3%
- vs 200-day+7.5%
- 52-week band1% off the high · +22.6% off the low
- Streak1 consecutive up session
- 50-day crossprice crossed up through the 50-day 6 sessions ago
- Stochastic%K 86.2 · %D 79.3 · bull cross
Continue: the SPY chart & overview · the signal board
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-25
Quick answers
What is the current Closelooknet signal on SPY?
Uptrend stack intact — Trades +1.3% vs the 50-day and +7.5% vs the 200-day average, 1% below the 52-week high and +22.6% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-09-25; the signal board re-computes across the coverage universe nightly. A research diary reading, not advice.
Is SPY above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
As of 2026-09-25, State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust trades +1.3% above its 50-day and +7.5% above its 200-day average, with the 20-day +0.9% away.
How far is SPY from its 52-week high?
1% below the 52-week high and 22.6% above the 52-week low, as of 2026-09-25.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where SPY appears in the diary — 85 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Long reads
- Earnings — Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
The CAR was almost identical at T+3 (−13.97%) and T+63 (−14.03%) — but the underlying mechanic differed: T+3 was the immediate gap-down reaction; T+63 was the SPY rally (+7.14%) that CRM didn't participate in (−6.89% absolute).
- Magnificent Seven — Without Tesla, the Six Are Beating the Market
Table as text Basket Week 1 month 3 months 2026 1 year Mag-6 (ex Tesla), equal weight +2.8% +7.9% +22.3% +14.1% +19.3% Mag-7, equal weight +2.7% +7.6% +19.0% +9.6% +14.8% Tesla +2.2% +6.2% −0.8% −17.3% −12.1% S&P 500 (SPY) +1.3% +0.7%…
- Software vs Semis — The Axis Turned
The broad-index version: SPXT / SPY over one year.
- Gold and Bitcoin — The Hedges Bear No Interest
- AI Capex — The Tell Fired Twice
The week, for the record Closelook indices (EW) Week Post-print (Wed→Fri) Markets (wk) Rubin Build-Out +0.4% −4.3% S&P 500 (SPY) −0.6% Agentic Infrastructure −2.9% −2.4% Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) −1.6% · 684.23, below the 686.37 floor Agentic…
- Sector Rotation — Three Rotations, One Week
- Earnings Season — The Bar Meets Its First Prints
- Stock Picking — The Haystack and the Needle · Closelooknet Heresy XII
On the odds: “We find that the percentage of bootstrapped mutual fund portfolios that outperform the SPY during the full thirty-year sample decreases from 47.5% at the monthly horizon to 5.5% at the 30-year horizon.” And on…
101 and glossary
- Beta Convexity
How Closelooknet Measures It Closelooknet's market-structure toolbox computes up-beta and down-beta per name against SPY as the benchmark, reporting the convexity gap alongside other structural metrics such as drawdown behavior.
- Bollinger Coiling: When Volatility Compresses Before Expanding
Coils in the macro basket — particularly in SPY, QQQ, and TLT — are disproportionately informative.
- Cascade Tracker: The 5-Domino Model of Regime Breakdown
If pairs break out-of-order (say, TLT-SPY before QQQ-SPY), it signals something unusual about the stress source — rate-driven rather than risk-appetite-driven, for example.
- Cointegration: When the Rules of the Game Change
The SPY/GLD relationship, the equity-bond correlation, the gold-dollar inverse — these are the structural assumptions that underpin portfolio construction.
- Hurst Exponent: Persistence, Mean-Reversion, or Random Walk
For a pair like SPY-GLD, the spread's Hurst tells you whether the current market is treating the relationship as a mean-reverting equilibrium (healthy) or as a trending divergence (breaking).
- Money Temperature: Measuring Regime Intensity, Not Predicting Direction
The practical value comes from cross-reading: when SPY reads 72 and TLT reads 25, that configuration has a name, a history, and actionable implications.
- Sector Relative Strength: RRG Without the Jargon
Time Horizons 21-day RRG : Tactical rotation, useful for short-term positioning 63-day RRG : Medium-term sector cycles, useful for portfolio tilts 252-day RRG : Structural rotation, useful for thematic positioning Closelooknet’s Lab…
- Stack Flip: When Price Crosses the 200-Day Moving Average
Ignoring flips in major macro instruments (SPY, QQQ, TLT, GLD) means missing the moments when regimes visibly change.
Dailies
- Magnificent Seven — The Megacaps Are Rising With the 10-Year Yield
It is up 5.5% in September while the S&P 500 fund SPY is up 0.3% and the equal-weight S&P fund RSP is down 3.8%.
- Rates — the 30-year hits its highest since 2004; Oracle and Arm sold, Meta and Intel bought, Nasdaq ends flat
- AI Credit — Oracle invokes force majeure on a New Mexico data center; the 30-year hits 5.45%
- Rates — the 10-year closes at 5.11% and the 5-year hits 5%; Tokyo reopens higher, chip-equipment makers lead
- Nasdaq - a second record close as memory jumps 5-7% and banks, card networks and software are sold
SPY closed at $773.38, still short of its 13 August high of $775.95.
- Yields — the 10-year is back above 5% on a hot PMI and a hawkish Fed; chips fall, software is bought
- Nasdaq - a record close in the worst month of a midterm year, right after the bulls gave up
- Nasdaq — a record print at 27,272, chips extend, software sold from its highs; AMD joins the trillion club