State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust (SPY) — Technical state
As of 2026-10-15 — re-computed nightly across the coverage universe. Closelooknet diary readings, not advice.
Trades +0.5% vs the 50-day and +6.6% vs the 200-day average, 1.3% below the 52-week high and +22.6% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes.
The moving-average stack
- vs 20-day+0.1%
- vs 50-day+0.5%
- vs 200-day+6.6%
- 52-week band1.3% off the high · +22.6% off the low
- Streak1 consecutive up session
- 50-day crossprice crossed up through the 50-day 20 sessions ago
- Stochastic%K 56.9 · %D 72 · bear cross
Continue: the SPY chart & overview · the signal board
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-15
Quick answers
What is the current Closelooknet signal on SPY?
Uptrend stack intact — Trades +0.5% vs the 50-day and +6.6% vs the 200-day average, 1.3% below the 52-week high and +22.6% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-10-15; the signal board re-computes across the coverage universe nightly. A research diary reading, not advice.
Is SPY above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?
As of 2026-10-15, State Street® SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust trades +0.5% above its 50-day and +6.6% above its 200-day average, with the 20-day +0.1% away.
How far is SPY from its 52-week high?
1.3% below the 52-week high and 22.6% above the 52-week low, as of 2026-10-15.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where SPY appears in the diary — 113 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Long reads
- Earnings — Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
The CAR was almost identical at T+3 (−13.97%) and T+63 (−14.03%) — but the underlying mechanic differed: T+3 was the immediate gap-down reaction; T+63 was the SPY rally (+7.14%) that CRM didn't participate in (−6.89% absolute).
- Retail — the store that wins when money is tight breaks its five-month downtrend
Against the consumer sectors of the S&P 500 Table as text Name What it is This year 3 months Since 6 Oct WMT Walmart +5.8% +3.2% +10.0% XLP S&P 500 consumer staples +11.6% +1.7% +6.0% XLY S&P 500 consumer discretionary −5.0%…
- Financials — The Early Warning Has Turned, for Now
Table as text Episode S&P peak XLF peak XLF ahead by S&P low XLF low XLF ahead by Dot-com Aug 2000 Dec 2000 −4 months Sep 2002 Sep 2002 0 Financial crisis Oct 2007 May 2007 +5 months Feb 2009 Feb 2009 0 2011 Apr 2011 Feb 2011 +2…
- Magnificent Seven — Without Tesla, the Six Are Beating the Market
Table as text Basket Week 1 month 3 months 2026 1 year Mag-6 (ex Tesla), equal weight +2.8% +7.9% +22.3% +14.1% +19.3% Mag-7, equal weight +2.7% +7.6% +19.0% +9.6% +14.8% Tesla +2.2% +6.2% −0.8% −17.3% −12.1% S&P 500 (SPY) +1.3% +0.7%…
- Software vs Semis — The Axis Turned
The broad-index version: SPXT / SPY over one year.
- Gold and Bitcoin — The Hedges Bear No Interest
- AI Capex — The Tell Fired Twice
The week, for the record Closelook indices (EW) Week Post-print (Wed→Fri) Markets (wk) Rubin Build-Out +0.4% −4.3% S&P 500 (SPY) −0.6% Agentic Infrastructure −2.9% −2.4% Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) −1.6% · 684.23, below the 686.37 floor Agentic…
- Sector Rotation — Three Rotations, One Week
101 and glossary
- Beta Convexity
How Closelooknet Measures It Closelooknet's market-structure toolbox computes up-beta and down-beta per name against SPY as the benchmark, reporting the convexity gap alongside other structural metrics such as drawdown behavior.
- Bollinger Coiling: When Volatility Compresses Before Expanding
Coils in the macro basket — particularly in SPY, QQQ, and TLT — are disproportionately informative.
- Cascade Tracker: The 5-Domino Model of Regime Breakdown
If pairs break out-of-order (say, TLT-SPY before QQQ-SPY), it signals something unusual about the stress source — rate-driven rather than risk-appetite-driven, for example.
- Cointegration: When the Rules of the Game Change
The SPY/GLD relationship, the equity-bond correlation, the gold-dollar inverse — these are the structural assumptions that underpin portfolio construction.
- Hurst Exponent: Persistence, Mean-Reversion, or Random Walk
For a pair like SPY-GLD, the spread's Hurst tells you whether the current market is treating the relationship as a mean-reverting equilibrium (healthy) or as a trending divergence (breaking).
- Money Temperature: Measuring Regime Intensity, Not Predicting Direction
The practical value comes from cross-reading: when SPY reads 72 and TLT reads 25, that configuration has a name, a history, and actionable implications.
- Sector Relative Strength: RRG Without the Jargon
Time Horizons 21-day RRG : Tactical rotation, useful for short-term positioning 63-day RRG : Medium-term sector cycles, useful for portfolio tilts 252-day RRG : Structural rotation, useful for thematic positioning Closelooknet’s Lab…
- Stack Flip: When Price Crosses the 200-Day Moving Average
Ignoring flips in major macro instruments (SPY, QQQ, TLT, GLD) means missing the moments when regimes visibly change.
Dailies
- Rotation — Out of Chips, Into Pills and Soap
- AI Trade — Kospi −8.5%, Nikkei −4.7% after hot US inflation; TSMC beats, Nasdaq-100 on support
- AI Trade — TSMC is ‘prudent’ on 2027: chip fund −2.0%, Dell −7.7%; software bought, Dow +0.9%
- AI Trade — Hot Prices, BlackRock Steps Back
- ASML — record €11.7 billion quarter and sold out into 2028; inflation at 12:30 UTC
- Chips — SOXX −3.7%, now 20% below its June high; software −2.4% as hot inflation and BlackRock weigh
Indices: S&P 500 fund SPY −0.9% to $770.69, Nasdaq-100 −1.6%, Russell 2000 −1.8%, Dow −0.1%
- Earnings — J&J −6.2% and Citi −3.8% after beats; Micron −5.1%, chip fund back under its 50-day line
Indices: S&P 500 fund SPY −0.1% to $777.20, Nasdaq-100 −0.5%, Dow −0.4%, Russell 2000 −0.6%
- Korea — Kospi −5.5% breaks its 18-month uptrend; SK Hynix and Samsung about −8% on a China memory scare