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Samsara Inc (IOT) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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The desk on IOT

What this diary said about Samsara Inc, what it holds and what would change its view — in its own words, dated. Investment diary, not advice.

What we hold

BookPositionSinceResult
AI Buildout 400 shares · average entry $27.32 — +38.9%
AI Cycle 2030 (wikifolio) ↗ 70 shares · average entry €34.45 — —

Model books as of 25 Sept 2026; wikifolio positions from the official wikifolio data, entries in euros. Results are unrealised, before any exit. A record of what the diary does, not a recommendation to do the same.

Our record on IOT

Every scored call, pick and trade this diary has made on Samsara Inc, with the outcome where it is known.

Company snapshot — Samsara Inc

IOT in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Samsara runs a cloud platform that links data from vehicles, sites and equipment fitted with its IoT devices, then applies AI, workflows and analytics on top. Its applications cover video-based driver safety, vehicle telematics for tracking, routing, fuel and maintenance, and remote site monitoring for security and incident response. Customers span transportation, construction, logistics, utilities, government and other operational industries. It is based in San Francisco.
Where it sits in the stack
Samsara carries no seat in Rubin, our AI hardware build-out index. It sits instead in the Agentic Winners 40, our index of software companies building autonomous agents into their products, within the Application Leaders sleeve.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group places it with the Application Leaders inside Agentic Winners 40 — Adobe, Intuit, Monday.com, Veeva Systems, HubSpot, Atlassian, PTC and Dassault Systemes. The market also names Trimble as a competitor in fleet and asset software.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Samsara is a constituent of the Agentic Winners 40 and carries a Closelooknet score, with momentum the strongest module and valuation the weakest. The diary has featured it in the Agentic Winners dossier and returned to it in the Morning 10 and Midday 10 after earnings moves.
What the diary watches
Whether the run of earnings beats continues and whether demand for connected-operations data keeps pace as more customers adopt agentic software on top of it.

Samsara Inc (IOT) trades on US exchanges, classified under Technology. Constituent of Agentic Winners 40.

The Closelooknet company score reads 47/100 composite (momentum 70, quality 38, valuation 10) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for IOT, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

The Street on this name 9 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Cantor Fitzgerald, 2026-09-14 · last print 2026-09-03

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for IOT from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Cantor Fitzgerald — target 45 Target set to $45 (+4.9% to spot) 2026-09-14
  • Price target Evercore ISI — target 55 Target set to $55 (+41.9% to spot) 2026-09-04
  • Price target Guggenheim — target 51 Target set to $51 (+31.6% to spot) 2026-09-04
  • Latest print EPS 0.20 against 0.16 expected — a +25.0% beat 2026-09-03

9 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 9 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Who it is priced against Agentic Winners 40 · Application Leaders · 8 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Agentic Winners 40 · Application Leaders

Compared against IOT on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Versus its index Agentic Winners 40 — the name, its sleeve and the index over day, week and month

Versus its index

The name against its Closelooknet index and its own sleeve — equal-weight, nightly closes.

Agentic Winners 40 · as of 2026-09-25

DayWeekMonth3 months
IOT−3.5%−4.0%−4.7%+21.9%
Application Leaders−0.9%−1.2%−7.0%—
Agentic Winners 40−0.7%−0.1%−5.7%—

Against the index: 3.9 pts behind on the week, 1.0 pts ahead on the month; against its Application Leaders sleeve 2.3 pts ahead on the month.

Returns from the index workers’ nightly closes; equal-weight sleeves. A relative reading from the research diary, not advice.

Dividends and capital return no distribution in twelve months · buybacks 31 m USD in FY2026

Dividends and capital return

What IOT pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Distributions No cash distribution recorded in the price series over the last three years
  • Buybacks, FY2026 31 m USD 0.1% of today's market value
  • Share count +3.1% in FY2026 315 m USD of stock-based compensation in the year
  • Capital returned 31 m USD · 15% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

How it trades on rate days beta 0.21 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How IOT has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.21 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Samsara Inc moved 0.21% on average · correlation 0.03 · higher than 21% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.61 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −0.22% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +0.61% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 62/100 · S&P 500 fund at 67, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-25
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 99th percentile of the window, +8.4% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-25
  • Sector × region Technology in US: +3.6% week · +7.5% month · +8.5% quarter · +40.9% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLK.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-09-25
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.61 · up 0.29 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-09-25

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-26

Quick answers

What is Samsara Inc (IOT)?

Samsara Inc trades as IOT on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Technology in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-09-26.

Is IOT in a Closelooknet index?

Yes — Samsara Inc is a constituent of Agentic Winners 40, as of 2026-09-26.

What is Samsara Inc's Closelooknet composite score?

47 out of 100, with momentum 70, quality 38 and valuation 10 sub-scores, as of 2026-09-26. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

What is Samsara Inc's earnings print record?

Across the 11 prints Closelooknet covers, Samsara Inc beat EPS estimates 11 times and revenue estimates 11 times; the three-day reactions split 5 up, 1 flat and 5 down (moves beyond ±3%), as of the 2026-09-02 card. The full print-record card carries the per-print history.

Where does IOT trade against its moving averages?

Stochastic turned up: Its stochastic crossed up out of oversold (%K 22.4 over %D 21.6) today — a short-term momentum-turn signal. As of 2026-09-24 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How is IOT doing against its Closelooknet index?

Over the past month Samsara Inc is −4.7% against −5.7% for the Agentic Winners 40 — 1.0 points ahead of its index, as of 2026-09-25. Its Application Leaders sleeve is −7.0% over the same month. The “Versus its index” table on this page carries the day, the week and the month for the name, its sleeve and the index.

What does Samsara Inc do?

Samsara runs a cloud platform that links data from vehicles, sites and equipment fitted with its IoT devices, then applies AI, workflows and analytics on top. Its applications cover video-based driver safety, vehicle telematics for tracking, routing, fuel and maintenance, and remote site monitoring for security and incident response. Customers span transportation, construction, logistics, utilities, government and other operational industries. Closelooknet's peer group places it with the Application Leaders inside Agentic Winners 40 — Adobe, Intuit, Monday.com, Veeva Systems, HubSpot, Atlassian, PTC and Dassault Systemes. The market also names Trimble as a competitor in fleet and asset software.

Where does Samsara Inc sit in the AI build-out?

Samsara carries no seat in Rubin, our AI hardware build-out index. It sits instead in the Agentic Winners 40, our index of software companies building autonomous agents into their products, within the Application Leaders sleeve. Samsara is a constituent of the Agentic Winners 40 and carries a Closelooknet score, with momentum the strongest module and valuation the weakest. The diary has featured it in the Agentic Winners dossier and returned to it in the Morning 10 and Midday 10 after earnings moves.

Does Samsara Inc pay a dividend?

No cash distribution shows in Samsara Inc’s price series over the last three years. In fiscal 2026 the company bought back 31 m USD of its own shares, 15% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count rose 3.1% over the fiscal year. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

How does Samsara Inc trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Samsara Inc had a beta of 0.21 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 21% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −0.22% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Samsara Inc recently?

The most recent analyst action on Samsara Inc on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Cantor Fitzgerald on 2026-09-14 (target 45). 9 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 9 target changes. Its latest earnings print on the wire, 2026-09-03: EPS 0.20 against 0.16 expected — a +25.0% beat. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

Where has Closelooknet written about Samsara Inc?

Samsara Inc appears in 9 Closelooknet pieces, most recently Midday 10: The trade flips at midday: chips fade, software bounces — Meta +6%, Cloudflare +9%, Datadog +6% while oil holds $101 and the 10-year hits 4.85% (2026-09-09); Morning 10: Samsara jumps 15%, Zscaler beats and goes nowhere, bitcoin tops $81,000 — Wall Street’s best day in a month lands the night before the jobs report (2026-09-04); Morning 10: Snowflake jumps 20%, Broadcom stalls, Dell soars 16% — the market is paying for faster growth, not for beats (2026-09-03). What Closelooknet said most recently: Zscaler and Samsara are graded at the close. (Midday 10, 2026-09-09). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for IOT, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 9 pieces · newest: Midday 10, “The trade flips at midday: chips fade, software bounces — Meta +6%, Cloudflare +9%, Datadog +6% while oil holds $101 and the 10-year hits 4.85%” (2026-09-09)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where IOT appears in the diary — 9 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Go deeper

Long reads

  • The Agentic Winners 25Dossier · $49 · 31 Mar 2026Samsara's IoT platform connects the physical fleet, warehouse, and equipment assets that operational agents need to monitor and manage.

Dailies

Related in the Closelooknet universe

same Closelooknet index seat first, then Software - Infrastructure. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.