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Constituent dispersion · breadth vs the index

AW40 — Agentic Winners 40 (EW)

38/40 covered · 95% by weight · benchmark: AW40 price · closes through 2026-07-24 ·holdings as of 2026-07-23

Concentration 12.5% in top 5 40 effective names · HHI 250
RS vs S&P 500 21d +2.94pp sector return − SPY
RS vs Nasdaq-100 21d +7.43pp sector return − QQQ
Broad advance - breadth is rising with price. Last 21 sessions — price +3.72% · A/D +10 (+0.26/name)
AW40 price
Cumulative advance / decline of constituents — rises when more names are up than down; turns before price at inflections

Divergence over time — price vs breadth, by horizon

The hero read is the 1-month picture; here the same price↔breadth divergence across 1 week / 1 month / 1 quarter, computed over the 126-session history. A/D /name is net advancers-minus-decliners per covered constituent; % beating Δ and median−ETF Δ show how participation shifted. Price rising while those fall = the move is narrowing under the surface.

HorizonPriceA/D /name% beating ΔMedian−ETF ΔRead
1 week -6.79% -2.05 -8pp -1.05pp Confirming ↓
1 month +3.72% +0.26 +8pp +1.19pp Confirming ↑
1 quarter -4.40% -2.58 +5pp +2.24pp Confirming ↓

Over the last 126 sessions: price down -18.42%, breadth down (-3.74/name) · % beating 39→50 · median−ETF -3.15pp→+0.02pp.

Stocks above their moving average — participation breadth

Of the 38 covered constituents, the share trading above each simple moving average — the classic breadth gauge. A firm index price with a low %-above-MA is a narrow, top-heavy tape. As of 2026-07-23.

5-day 34.21% 13/38 above
20-day 28.95% 11/38 above
50-day 31.58% 12/38 above
100-day 42.11% 16/38 above
150-day 24.32% 9/37 above
200-day 11.11% 4/36 above
% of constituents above their 50-day average — breadth over the last year; 50% is the participation midpoint

New highs & new lows — by horizon

How many of the 38 covered constituents closed today at a new high (or low) over each window, and the net. A shrinking net as the index holds up = fewer names leading.

HorizonNew highsNew lowsNet
5-Day 7 (18%) 10 (26%) -3
1-Month 3 (8%) 3 (8%) +0
3-Month 0 (0%) 3 (8%) -3
6-Month 0 (0%) 1 (3%) -1
52-Week 0 (0%) 1 (3%) -1
YTD 0 (0%) 1 (3%) -1

Dispersion by window

WindowETFMedianMedian − ETF Up / DownBeat / Lag±1% bandDispersion
1d -2.20% +1.83% +4.03pp 27 / 11 33 / 5 4 of 38 ±4.07%
5d -6.79% -4.69% +2.10pp 9 / 29 23 / 15 8 of 38 ±5.62%
21d +3.72% +6.31% +2.59pp 29 / 9 28 / 10 2 of 38 ±11.37%
YTD -25.54% -27.15% -1.61pp 6 / 32 18 / 20 1 of 38 ±19.95%

Median − ETF below zero means the typical name is lagging the cap-weighted index — the move is top-heavy. "Beat" counts constituents outperforming the ETF over the window. Dispersion is the cross-sectional standard deviation of constituent returns — high = a stock-picker's tape, low = pure beta.

What drove the move — contribution = weight × return

Today (1d)

  • SAP+9.30%+0.23pp
  • TEAM+8.40%+0.21pp
  • MNDY+7.93%+0.2pp
  • NOW+7.44%+0.19pp
  • DASTY+7.43%+0.19pp
  • HUBS-7.27%-0.18pp
  • TEM-7.22%-0.18pp
  • ORCL-4.21%-0.11pp
  • 4180.T-2.74%-0.07pp
  • 0268.HK-2.65%-0.07pp

This month (21d)

  • 3994.T+36.09%+0.9pp
  • 4478.T+25.46%+0.64pp
  • VEEV+15.43%+0.39pp
  • DASTY+14.82%+0.37pp
  • 4180.T+14.67%+0.37pp
  • ORCL-27.00%-0.68pp
  • TEM-17.81%-0.45pp
  • APP-15.70%-0.39pp
  • DUOL-7.50%-0.19pp
  • GOOGL-7.40%-0.18pp

Each name's contribution = its index weight × its return — the percentage points it added to (green) or subtracted from (red) the ETF's move. Computed across covered names.

Leaders & laggards (21-day)

  • 3994.T+36.09%
  • 4478.T+25.46%
  • VEEV+15.43%
  • DASTY+14.82%
  • 4180.T+14.67%
  • ORCL-27.00%
  • TEM-17.81%
  • APP-15.70%
  • DUOL-7.50%
  • GOOGL-7.40%

AW40 — constituent leadership race

$100 in each covered AW40 constituent at 2026-01-07, rebased to 100. Watch leadership change hands.

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Each covered constituent started at $100 at the window open; the bars race by total return (top 12 shown). Decision-support, not investment advice.

Constituents — 38 covered · click a column to sort

Symbol Weight Last 1d 5d 21d YTD RS rank
MSFT Microsoft 2.50% 381.70 +0.03% -3.08% +4.44% -20.89% 29
AMZN Amazon 2.50% 232.11 -0.66% -6.12% -0.92% +0.56% 18
GOOGL Alphabet 2.50% 319.74 +0.65% -7.79% -7.40% +2.23% 11
META Meta 2.50% 595.19 -1.80% -7.87% +6.73% -9.75% 53
AAPL Apple 2.50% 333.02 +3.53% -0.22% +13.63% +22.61% 76
NVDA Nvidia 2.50% 206.84 -0.92% +1.99% +3.94% +11.04% 26
PLTR Palantir 2.50% 122.92 -0.36% -7.15% +8.30% -30.85% 61
NOW ServiceNow 2.50% 98.78 +7.44% -4.32% +5.31% -35.52% 42
CRM Salesforce 2.50% 163.66 +4.29% -4.16% +7.14% -38.07% 55
WDAY Workday 2.50% 135.34 +5.84% -6.52% +14.61% -36.99% 84
SAP SAP 2.50% 160.00 +9.30% +0.60% +4.75% -34.13% 32
ORCL Oracle 2.50% 114.99 -4.21% -9.03% -27.00% -40.64% 0
PATH UiPath 2.50% 10.84 +6.27% -10.78% +5.14% -33.86% 39
ADBE Adobe 2.50% 225.11 +6.10% -5.12% +14.52% -35.68% 82
INTU Intuit 2.50% 296.33 +5.26% +1.80% +13.00% -55.04% 74
VEEV Veeva 2.50% 186.24 +3.71% -4.68% +15.43% -16.57% 92
CSGP CoStar 2.50% 27.66 +1.92% -7.12% -7.21% -58.86% 13
IOT Samsara 2.50% 33.11 +5.14% -13.60% +5.99% -6.60% 45
TEM Tempus AI 2.50% 42.69 -7.22% -18.64% -17.81% -27.71% 3
HUBS HubSpot 2.50% 190.01 -7.27% -15.39% +9.65% -52.65% 68
TEAM Atlassian 2.50% 86.88 +8.40% -6.87% +6.54% -46.42% 50
PTC PTC 2.50% 118.52 +4.84% -4.70% +4.95% -31.97% 34
DASTY Dassault Systèmes 2.50% 22.55 +7.43% +10.05% +14.82% -18.36% 89
SIEGY Siemens 2.50% 154.03 +1.19% +1.63% +0.23% +12.33% 24
0268.HK Kingdee 2.50% 6.99 -2.65% +4.33% +14.22% -47.40% 79
4478.T freee 2.50% 2405.00 +3.09% -3.02% +25.46% -19.97% 95
3994.T Money Forward 2.50% 5407.00 +5.69% +2.99% +36.09% +15.83% 97
4180.T Appier 2.50% 852.00 -2.74% -7.59% +14.67% -20.67% 87
MNDY monday.com 2.50% 77.43 +7.93% -1.60% +9.18% -47.53% 66
SHOP Shopify 2.50% 113.75 +1.56% -7.94% -0.37% -29.33% 21
APP AppLovin 2.50% 391.98 -1.72% -7.67% -15.70% -41.83% 5
RDDT Reddit 2.50% 168.73 -0.03% -6.87% +4.98% -26.60% 37
DUOL Duolingo 2.50% 122.24 +1.30% -8.67% -7.50% -30.35% 8
SPOT Spotify 2.50% 482.66 +2.91% +0.95% +6.08% -16.88% 47
NFLX Netflix 2.50% 70.09 +1.74% +1.65% -2.44% -25.25% 16
MELI MercadoLibre 2.50% 1801.44 +0.15% -0.69% +8.55% -10.57% 63
SE Sea Limited 2.50% 100.00 +0.50% -3.89% +7.82% -21.61% 58
TOST Toast 2.50% 29.04 +2.25% -3.46% +11.61% -18.22% 71

RS rank = the constituent's 21-day return percentile within the index (100 = strongest of the covered names). Weight is the index weight; returns use adjusted closes. Default sort: weight.

Other ETFs & indices

Dispersion is computed across the constituents we cover in our data lake (see coverage badge). Decision-support, not investment advice.