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Constituent dispersion · breadth vs the index

AW40 — Agentic Winners 40 (EW)

38/40 covered · 95% by weight · benchmark: AW40 price · closes through 2026-07-03 ·holdings as of 2026-07-02

Concentration 12.5% in top 5 40 effective names · HHI 250
RS vs S&P 500 21d -3.39pp sector return − SPY
RS vs Nasdaq-100 21d -0.84pp sector return − QQQ
Broad decline - breadth is falling with price. Last 21 sessions — price -5.34% · A/D -82 (-2.16/name)
AW40 price
Cumulative advance / decline of constituents — rises when more names are up than down; turns before price at inflections

Divergence over time — price vs breadth, by horizon

The hero read is the 1-month picture; here the same price↔breadth divergence across 1 week / 1 month / 1 quarter, computed over the 126-session history. A/D /name is net advancers-minus-decliners per covered constituent; % beating Δ and median−ETF Δ show how participation shifted. Price rising while those fall = the move is narrowing under the surface.

HorizonPriceA/D /name% beating ΔMedian−ETF ΔRead
1 week +10.87% +1.89 +13pp +0.49pp Confirming ↑
1 month -5.34% -2.16 -7pp -2.20pp Confirming ↓
1 quarter +4.34% -0.03 -2pp -0.96pp Weakening

Over the last 126 sessions: price down -22.72%, breadth down (-5.16/name) · % beating 39→47 · median−ETF -3.15pp→-1.40pp.

Stocks above their moving average — participation breadth

Of the 38 covered constituents, the share trading above each simple moving average — the classic breadth gauge. A firm index price with a low %-above-MA is a narrow, top-heavy tape. As of 2026-07-02.

5-day 94.74% 36/38 above
20-day 84.21% 32/38 above
50-day 47.37% 18/38 above
100-day 60.53% 23/38 above
150-day 32.43% 12/37 above
200-day 22.22% 8/36 above
% of constituents above their 50-day average — breadth over the last year; 50% is the participation midpoint

New highs & new lows — by horizon

How many of the 38 covered constituents closed today at a new high (or low) over each window, and the net. A shrinking net as the index holds up = fewer names leading.

HorizonNew highsNew lowsNet
5-Day 28 (74%) 1 (3%) +27
1-Month 6 (16%) 1 (3%) +5
3-Month 2 (5%) 0 (0%) +2
6-Month 0 (0%) 0 (0%) +0
52-Week 0 (0%) 0 (0%) +0
YTD 0 (0%) 0 (0%) +0

Dispersion by window

WindowETFMedianMedian − ETF Up / DownBeat / Lag±1% bandDispersion
1d +2.01% +1.74% -0.26pp 30 / 8 18 / 20 13 of 38 ±2.64%
5d +10.87% +10.67% -0.21pp 36 / 2 18 / 20 5 of 38 ±6.91%
21d -5.34% -6.17% -0.83pp 9 / 29 17 / 21 2 of 38 ±12.77%
YTD -22.55% -22.26% +0.29pp 7 / 31 19 / 19 2 of 38 ±19.47%

Median − ETF below zero means the typical name is lagging the cap-weighted index — the move is top-heavy. "Beat" counts constituents outperforming the ETF over the window. Dispersion is the cross-sectional standard deviation of constituent returns — high = a stock-picker's tape, low = pure beta.

What drove the move — contribution = weight × return

Today (1d)

  • IOT+5.12%+0.13pp
  • AAPL+4.84%+0.12pp
  • NFLX+4.66%+0.12pp
  • VEEV+4.62%+0.12pp
  • MNDY+4.60%+0.12pp
  • APP-6.65%-0.17pp
  • META-4.90%-0.12pp
  • TEM-2.16%-0.05pp
  • SHOP-1.78%-0.04pp
  • ORCL-1.56%-0.04pp

This month (21d)

  • TEM+21.46%+0.54pp
  • RDDT+15.10%+0.38pp
  • DUOL+14.38%+0.36pp
  • SE+10.91%+0.27pp
  • 3994.T+10.25%+0.26pp
  • ORCL-42.65%-1.07pp
  • 0268.HK-29.37%-0.73pp
  • TEAM-23.15%-0.58pp
  • HUBS-20.00%-0.5pp
  • CRM-17.08%-0.43pp

Each name's contribution = its index weight × its return — the percentage points it added to (green) or subtracted from (red) the ETF's move. Computed across covered names.

Leaders & laggards (21-day)

  • TEM+21.46%
  • RDDT+15.10%
  • DUOL+14.38%
  • SE+10.91%
  • 3994.T+10.25%
  • ORCL-42.65%
  • 0268.HK-29.37%
  • TEAM-23.15%
  • HUBS-20.00%
  • CRM-17.08%

AW40 — constituent leadership race

$100 in each covered AW40 constituent at 2026-01-07, rebased to 100. Watch leadership change hands.

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Each covered constituent started at $100 at the window open; the bars race by total return (top 12 shown). Decision-support, not investment advice.

Constituents — 38 covered · click a column to sort

Symbol Weight Last 1d 5d 21d YTD RS rank
MSFT Microsoft 2.50% 390.49 +1.62% +10.67% -11.52% -19.07% 37
AMZN Amazon 2.50% 242.67 +0.40% +6.90% -5.40% +5.13% 53
GOOGL Alphabet 2.50% 359.91 -0.36% +4.71% -0.48% +15.07% 74
META Meta 2.50% 582.90 -4.90% +7.37% -2.46% -11.62% 63
AAPL Apple 2.50% 308.63 +4.84% +12.17% -2.08% +13.63% 68
NVDA Nvidia 2.50% 194.83 -1.39% -0.46% -12.46% +4.47% 34
PLTR Palantir 2.50% 129.30 +2.84% +20.54% -15.03% -27.26% 18
NOW ServiceNow 2.50% 106.32 +0.49% +18.77% -16.71% -30.60% 13
CRM Salesforce 2.50% 166.11 +1.76% +10.60% -17.08% -37.14% 11
WDAY Workday 2.50% 135.40 +3.94% +19.01% -9.05% -36.96% 42
SAP SAP 2.50% 162.59 +2.16% +9.81% -14.79% -33.07% 21
ORCL Oracle 2.50% 140.27 -1.56% -8.00% -42.65% -27.59% 0
PATH UiPath 2.50% 11.71 +1.39% +17.93% -3.86% -28.55% 55
ADBE Adobe 2.50% 219.72 +4.14% +13.60% -16.17% -37.22% 16
INTU Intuit 2.50% 275.35 +3.10% +7.95% -14.52% -58.23% 24
VEEV Veeva 2.50% 192.74 +4.62% +21.93% +5.36% -13.66% 79
CSGP CoStar 2.50% 30.00 +2.18% +4.75% -10.87% -55.38% 39
IOT Samsara 2.50% 35.93 +5.12% +23.98% -3.83% +1.35% 58
TEM Tempus AI 2.50% 60.27 -2.16% +9.84% +21.46% +2.07% 97
HUBS HubSpot 2.50% 192.12 +2.34% +12.83% -20.00% -52.13% 8
TEAM Atlassian 2.50% 83.84 +0.81% +12.27% -23.15% -48.29% 5
PTC PTC 2.50% 124.55 +3.98% +10.66% -12.50% -28.51% 32
DASTY Dassault Systèmes 2.50% 21.34 +2.35% +7.02% -5.83% -22.74% 50
SIEGY Siemens 2.50% 158.13 +1.72% +1.85% -2.26% +15.33% 66
0268.HK Kingdee 2.50% 6.35 +2.75% +5.66% -29.37% -52.22% 3
4478.T freee 2.50% 2124.00 +0.38% +13.22% -0.61% -29.32% 71
3994.T Money Forward 2.50% 4538.00 +2.12% +13.00% +10.25% -2.78% 87
4180.T Appier 2.50% 876.00 +0.34% +21.67% -6.51% -18.44% 47
MNDY monday.com 2.50% 79.77 +4.60% +18.90% -12.83% -45.94% 29
SHOP Shopify 2.50% 119.46 -1.78% +7.02% +2.09% -25.79% 76
APP AppLovin 2.50% 527.06 -6.65% +18.19% -12.97% -21.78% 26
RDDT Reddit 2.50% 194.67 -1.56% +23.19% +15.10% -15.31% 95
DUOL Duolingo 2.50% 125.76 +3.75% +4.85% +14.38% -28.34% 92
SPOT Spotify 2.50% 485.97 +2.86% +10.14% -3.10% -16.31% 61
NFLX Netflix 2.50% 77.65 +4.66% +9.52% -6.82% -17.18% 45
MELI MercadoLibre 2.50% 1763.36 +1.22% +8.90% +5.41% -12.46% 82
SE Sea Limited 2.50% 103.30 +0.95% +16.05% +10.91% -19.02% 89
TOST Toast 2.50% 28.82 +0.38% +11.84% +9.37% -18.84% 84

RS rank = the constituent's 21-day return percentile within the index (100 = strongest of the covered names). Weight is the index weight; returns use adjusted closes. Default sort: weight.

Other ETFs & indices

Dispersion is computed across the constituents we cover in our data lake (see coverage badge). Decision-support, not investment advice.