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Constituent dispersion · breadth vs the index

AW40 — Agentic Winners 40 (EW)

38/40 covered · 95% by weight · benchmark: AW40 price · closes through 2026-10-14 ·holdings as of 2026-10-14

Concentration 12.5% in top 5 40 effective names · HHI 250
RS vs S&P 500 21d -2.00pp sector return − SPY
RS vs Nasdaq-100 21d -3.71pp sector return − QQQ
Weakening below the surface - the A/D line is falling while price holds up; leadership is narrowing. Last 21 sessions — price -0.14% · A/D -23 (-0.61/name)
AW40 price
Cumulative advance / decline of constituents — rises when more names are up than down; turns before price at inflections

Divergence over time — price vs breadth, by horizon

The hero read is the 1-month picture; here the same price↔breadth divergence across 1 week / 1 month / 1 quarter, computed over the 126-session history. A/D /name is net advancers-minus-decliners per covered constituent; % beating Δ and median−ETF Δ show how participation shifted. Price rising while those fall = the move is narrowing under the surface.

HorizonPriceA/D /name% beating ΔMedian−ETF ΔRead
1 week +0.93% +0.16 -2pp -0.61pp Improving
1 month -0.14% -0.61 +6pp +1.09pp Weakening
1 quarter +18.78% +0.76 -10pp -2.81pp Confirming ↑

Over the last 126 sessions: price up +15.77%, breadth down (-0.66/name) · % beating 47→45 · median−ETF -0.99pp→-1.04pp.

Stocks above their moving average — participation breadth

Of the 38 covered constituents, the share trading above each simple moving average — the classic breadth gauge. A firm index price with a low %-above-MA is a narrow, top-heavy tape. As of 2026-10-14.

5-day 44.74% 17/38 above
20-day 65.79% 25/38 above
50-day 52.63% 20/38 above
100-day 71.05% 27/38 above
150-day 78.95% 30/38 above
200-day 73.68% 28/38 above
% of constituents above their 50-day average — breadth over the last year; 50% is the participation midpoint

New highs & new lows — by horizon

How many of the 38 covered constituents closed today at a new high (or low) over each window, and the net. A shrinking net as the index holds up = fewer names leading.

HorizonNew highsNew lowsNet
5-Day 5 (13%) 12 (32%) -7
1-Month 2 (5%) 1 (3%) +1
3-Month 1 (3%) 1 (3%) +0
6-Month 1 (3%) 1 (3%) +0
52-Week 1 (3%) 1 (3%) +0
YTD 1 (3%) 1 (3%) +0

Dispersion by window

WindowETFMedianMedian − ETF Up / DownBeat / Lag±1% bandDispersion
1d -1.11% -1.28% -0.17pp 11 / 27 18 / 20 16 of 38 ±2.11%
5d +0.93% +1.48% +0.55pp 26 / 12 21 / 17 9 of 38 ±4.32%
21d -0.14% -1.17% -1.04pp 17 / 21 17 / 21 4 of 38 ±11.86%
YTD -6.11% -8.96% -2.86pp 17 / 21 17 / 21 0 of 38 ±26.44%

Median − ETF below zero means the typical name is lagging the cap-weighted index — the move is top-heavy. "Beat" counts constituents outperforming the ETF over the window. Dispersion is the cross-sectional standard deviation of constituent returns — high = a stock-picker's tape, low = pure beta.

What drove the move — contribution = weight × return

Today (1d)

  • MNDY+3.28%+0.08pp
  • INTU+2.98%+0.07pp
  • HUBS+2.24%+0.06pp
  • ADBE+1.86%+0.05pp
  • WDAY+1.48%+0.04pp
  • ORCL-7.07%-0.18pp
  • RDDT-4.31%-0.11pp
  • APP-3.71%-0.09pp
  • PLTR-3.69%-0.09pp
  • TOST-3.37%-0.08pp

This month (21d)

  • PTC+45.87%+1.15pp
  • SHOP+32.84%+0.82pp
  • PLTR+16.46%+0.41pp
  • VEEV+11.53%+0.29pp
  • 0268.HK+11.24%+0.28pp
  • APP-20.90%-0.52pp
  • NFLX-9.41%-0.24pp
  • DUOL-9.22%-0.23pp
  • PATH-8.22%-0.21pp
  • CRM-7.54%-0.19pp

Each name's contribution = its index weight × its return — the percentage points it added to (green) or subtracted from (red) the ETF's move. Computed across covered names.

Leaders & laggards (21-day)

  • PTC+45.87%
  • SHOP+32.84%
  • PLTR+16.46%
  • VEEV+11.53%
  • 0268.HK+11.24%
  • APP-20.90%
  • NFLX-9.41%
  • DUOL-9.22%
  • PATH-8.22%
  • CRM-7.54%

AW40 — constituent leadership race

$100 in each covered AW40 constituent at 2026-01-07, rebased to 100. Watch leadership change hands.

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Each covered constituent started at $100 at the window open; the bars race by total return (top 12 shown). Decision-support, not investment advice.

Constituents — 38 covered · click a column to sort

Symbol Weight Last 1d 5d 21d YTD RS rank
MSFT Microsoft 2.50% 533.69 -1.80% +0.74% +7.36% +10.61% 76
AMZN Amazon 2.50% 254.08 -1.74% -2.25% +2.28% +10.08% 66
GOOGL Alphabet 2.50% 347.64 -1.74% -0.82% +0.77% +11.15% 58
META Meta 2.50% 737.54 -3.27% +2.25% +10.13% +11.83% 82
AAPL Apple 2.50% 342.96 +0.50% +1.87% +3.51% +26.27% 68
NVDA Nvidia 2.50% 221.30 -3.16% -6.81% +4.30% +18.80% 74
PLTR Palantir 2.50% 200.97 -3.69% +3.53% +16.46% +13.06% 92
NOW ServiceNow 2.50% 139.98 +0.99% +1.53% -1.35% -8.62% 47
CRM Salesforce 2.50% 235.95 -0.87% +5.07% -7.54% -10.71% 11
WDAY Workday 2.50% 188.77 +1.48% +2.45% -1.00% -12.11% 50
SAP SAP 2.50% 220.49 +0.34% +4.93% +2.23% -9.23% 63
ORCL Oracle 2.50% 133.08 -7.07% -6.96% -5.18% -31.30% 34
PATH UiPath 2.50% 13.06 -1.43% -0.08% -8.22% -20.32% 8
ADBE Adobe 2.50% 240.68 +1.86% +3.40% -6.63% -31.23% 21
INTU Intuit 2.50% 310.44 +2.98% +4.93% -5.72% -52.90% 32
VEEV Veeva 2.50% 297.35 -1.42% +5.26% +11.53% +33.20% 89
CSGP CoStar 2.50% 30.11 +0.37% +9.09% -4.59% -55.22% 39
IOT Samsara 2.50% 40.80 -1.14% +0.72% -2.04% +15.09% 42
TEM Tempus AI 2.50% 68.32 +0.15% -2.89% -0.77% +15.70% 53
HUBS HubSpot 2.50% 226.23 +2.24% +2.71% -6.50% -43.63% 24
TEAM Atlassian 2.50% 204.66 -1.62% +4.53% +7.82% +26.22% 79
PTC PTC 2.50% 193.64 -0.16% +0.02% +45.87% +11.15% 97
DASTY Dassault Systèmes 2.50% 25.07 -0.63% +3.64% +3.51% -9.24% 71
SIEGY Siemens 2.50% 152.64 -0.65% +0.34% +2.18% +11.32% 61
0268.HK Kingdee 2.50% 8.37 -1.88% +13.42% +11.24% -37.06% 87
4478.T freee 2.50% 3555.00 -3.13% +1.43% -4.69% +18.30% 37
3994.T Money Forward 2.50% 6480.00 -2.14% +3.02% +10.22% +38.82% 84
4180.T Appier 2.50% 1372.00 -2.70% -2.14% -1.51% +27.75% 45
MNDY monday.com 2.50% 87.47 +3.28% +4.74% -7.00% -40.72% 16
SHOP Shopify 2.50% 172.50 -2.28% +3.90% +32.84% +7.16% 95
APP AppLovin 2.50% 262.19 -3.71% -6.79% -20.90% -61.09% 0
RDDT Reddit 2.50% 148.60 -4.31% -2.69% -6.91% -35.35% 18
DUOL Duolingo 2.50% 139.73 -0.26% -7.90% -9.22% -20.38% 5
SPOT Spotify 2.50% 523.96 -0.66% +2.15% -6.14% -9.77% 29
NFLX Netflix 2.50% 70.57 +0.16% +1.25% -9.41% -24.73% 3
MELI MercadoLibre 2.50% 1839.11 -1.97% -1.80% +0.56% -8.70% 55
SE Sea Limited 2.50% 95.31 -0.65% +0.69% -7.15% -25.29% 13
TOST Toast 2.50% 29.85 -3.37% -2.29% -6.25% -15.94% 26

RS rank = the constituent's 21-day return percentile within the index (100 = strongest of the covered names). Weight is the index weight; returns use adjusted closes. Default sort: weight.

Other ETFs & indices

Dispersion is computed across the constituents we cover in our data lake (see coverage badge). Decision-support, not investment advice.

FAQ · from the current data

AW40 dispersion — data Q&A

Is AW40's move broad or carried by a few names (21 sessions)?

As of 2026-10-14: over 21 sessions the fund returned -0.14% while its median constituent returned -1.17% — a dispersion of 11.86 pp; 45% of 38 members beat the fund. Weakening below the surface - the A/D line is falling while price holds up; leadership is narrowing.

How did AW40's members trade in the last session?

As of 2026-10-14: fund -1.11%, median member -1.28%, 11 advancers vs 27 decliners.

What does the dispersion page for AW40 measure?

It splits the fund into its members: the fund's own return against the median constituent, how many members beat the fund, advancers vs decliners, and a cumulative advance/decline line that tends to lead price. A firm fund price with a weak median and a falling A/D line is a narrow, top-heavy tape; a broad move shows the median keeping up. 38 constituents covered, re-baked nightly from the Closelooknet lake.

Is this investment advice?

No — a data surface in an investment research diary. It describes breadth inside a fund; it makes no recommendation.