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Constituent dispersion · breadth vs the index

AW40 — Agentic Winners 40 (EW)

38/40 covered · 95% by weight · benchmark: AW40 price · closes through 2026-09-24 ·holdings as of 2026-09-24

Concentration 12.5% in top 5 40 effective names · HHI 250
RS vs S&P 500 21d -1.59pp sector return − SPY
RS vs Nasdaq-100 21d -5.69pp sector return − QQQ
Broad decline - breadth is falling with price. Last 21 sessions — price -1.42% · A/D -55 (-1.45/name)
AW40 price
Cumulative advance / decline of constituents — rises when more names are up than down; turns before price at inflections

Divergence over time — price vs breadth, by horizon

The hero read is the 1-month picture; here the same price↔breadth divergence across 1 week / 1 month / 1 quarter, computed over the 126-session history. A/D /name is net advancers-minus-decliners per covered constituent; % beating Δ and median−ETF Δ show how participation shifted. Price rising while those fall = the move is narrowing under the surface.

HorizonPriceA/D /name% beating ΔMedian−ETF ΔRead
1 week -0.79% -0.47 -5pp -1.22pp Weakening
1 month -1.42% -1.45 +11pp +2.73pp Confirming ↓
1 quarter +25.59% +2.18 -5pp -1.63pp Confirming ↑

Over the last 126 sessions: price up +25.18%, breadth up (+1.32/name) · % beating 45→45 · median−ETF -1.49pp→-1.14pp.

Stocks above their moving average — participation breadth

Of the 38 covered constituents, the share trading above each simple moving average — the classic breadth gauge. A firm index price with a low %-above-MA is a narrow, top-heavy tape. As of 2026-09-24.

5-day 36.84% 14/38 above
20-day 28.95% 11/38 above
50-day 44.74% 17/38 above
100-day 65.79% 25/38 above
150-day 71.05% 27/38 above
200-day 62.16% 23/37 above
% of constituents above their 50-day average — breadth over the last year; 50% is the participation midpoint

New highs & new lows — by horizon

How many of the 38 covered constituents closed today at a new high (or low) over each window, and the net. A shrinking net as the index holds up = fewer names leading.

HorizonNew highsNew lowsNet
5-Day 7 (18%) 12 (32%) -5
1-Month 3 (8%) 7 (18%) -4
3-Month 3 (8%) 0 (0%) +3
6-Month 3 (8%) 0 (0%) +3
52-Week 1 (3%) 0 (0%) +1
YTD 3 (8%) 0 (0%) +3

Dispersion by window

WindowETFMedianMedian − ETF Up / DownBeat / Lag±1% bandDispersion
1d -0.34% -0.47% -0.13pp 15 / 23 18 / 20 19 of 38 ±2.15%
5d -0.79% -1.57% -0.78pp 13 / 25 18 / 20 12 of 38 ±5.28%
21d -1.42% -4.04% -2.62pp 14 / 24 16 / 22 3 of 38 ±12.49%
YTD -7.63% -11.51% -3.88pp 15 / 23 15 / 23 0 of 38 ±26.47%

Median − ETF below zero means the typical name is lagging the cap-weighted index — the move is top-heavy. "Beat" counts constituents outperforming the ETF over the window. Dispersion is the cross-sectional standard deviation of constituent returns — high = a stock-picker's tape, low = pure beta.

What drove the move — contribution = weight × return

Today (1d)

  • TEM+7.38%+0.18pp
  • META+4.50%+0.11pp
  • SHOP+1.98%+0.05pp
  • VEEV+1.51%+0.04pp
  • GOOGL+1.34%+0.03pp
  • ORCL-3.47%-0.09pp
  • PATH-3.37%-0.08pp
  • INTU-3.37%-0.08pp
  • 3994.T-3.36%-0.08pp
  • 4478.T-2.98%-0.07pp

This month (21d)

  • META+36.41%+0.91pp
  • TEM+19.66%+0.49pp
  • CRM+15.82%+0.4pp
  • TEAM+15.69%+0.39pp
  • 4180.T+14.02%+0.35pp
  • PATH-24.37%-0.61pp
  • INTU-22.47%-0.56pp
  • SE-18.23%-0.46pp
  • TOST-18.18%-0.45pp
  • CSGP-15.10%-0.38pp

Each name's contribution = its index weight × its return — the percentage points it added to (green) or subtracted from (red) the ETF's move. Computed across covered names.

Leaders & laggards (21-day)

  • META+36.41%
  • TEM+19.66%
  • CRM+15.82%
  • TEAM+15.69%
  • 4180.T+14.02%
  • PATH-24.37%
  • INTU-22.47%
  • SE-18.23%
  • TOST-18.18%
  • CSGP-15.10%

AW40 — constituent leadership race

$100 in each covered AW40 constituent at 2026-01-07, rebased to 100. Watch leadership change hands.

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Each covered constituent started at $100 at the window open; the bars race by total return (top 12 shown). Decision-support, not investment advice.

Constituents — 38 covered · click a column to sort

Symbol Weight Last 1d 5d 21d YTD RS rank
MSFT Microsoft 2.50% 497.93 -0.53% +0.04% +1.26% +3.19% 71
AMZN Amazon 2.50% 249.38 +0.04% -0.72% -4.47% +8.04% 47
GOOGL Alphabet 2.50% 342.36 +1.34% -1.43% -1.26% +9.46% 58
META Meta 2.50% 777.59 +4.50% +14.05% +36.41% +17.90% 97
AAPL Apple 2.50% 335.92 -0.33% -0.32% +8.40% +23.68% 76
NVDA Nvidia 2.50% 224.58 -0.41% +2.39% +5.41% +20.57% 74
PLTR Palantir 2.50% 192.59 +0.42% +9.28% +11.50% +8.35% 84
NOW ServiceNow 2.50% 137.78 -2.13% -0.50% +8.49% -10.06% 79
CRM Salesforce 2.50% 238.22 +0.27% -1.91% +15.82% -9.85% 92
WDAY Workday 2.50% 190.99 -0.72% -4.16% -1.76% -11.08% 55
SAP SAP 2.50% 209.11 -0.72% -2.13% -3.60% -13.91% 53
ORCL Oracle 2.50% 139.54 -3.47% -7.34% -3.61% -27.97% 50
PATH UiPath 2.50% 12.60 -3.37% -8.43% -24.37% -23.12% 0
ADBE Adobe 2.50% 238.93 -0.73% -5.44% -12.77% -31.73% 16
INTU Intuit 2.50% 277.13 -3.37% -11.50% -22.47% -57.96% 3
VEEV Veeva 2.50% 274.84 +1.51% +4.20% +11.37% +23.12% 82
CSGP CoStar 2.50% 27.86 -1.43% -4.93% -15.10% -58.57% 11
IOT Samsara 2.50% 39.32 +0.61% -1.70% +0.46% +10.92% 63
TEM Tempus AI 2.50% 82.24 +7.38% +2.34% +19.66% +39.27% 95
HUBS HubSpot 2.50% 225.56 -0.21% -1.75% -5.10% -43.79% 45
TEAM Atlassian 2.50% 192.61 -1.27% +0.04% +15.69% +18.79% 89
PTC PTC 2.50% 137.41 -2.13% +2.21% -9.08% -21.12% 24
DASTY Dassault Systèmes 2.50% 24.13 -0.24% +2.75% -8.73% -12.66% 26
SIEGY Siemens 2.50% 157.38 +1.19% +2.92% -5.79% +14.78% 39
0268.HK Kingdee 2.50% 7.38 -1.34% +1.51% -10.50% -44.51% 21
4478.T freee 2.50% 3750.00 -2.98% -5.18% -0.79% +24.79% 61
3994.T Money Forward 2.50% 5703.00 -3.36% -10.40% -6.51% +22.17% 34
4180.T Appier 2.50% 1488.00 -1.85% -1.78% +14.02% +38.55% 87
MNDY monday.com 2.50% 86.00 -0.53% -4.75% -7.76% -41.72% 29
SHOP Shopify 2.50% 145.16 +1.98% +12.88% -5.67% -9.82% 42
APP AppLovin 2.50% 312.47 -0.88% -2.84% +0.62% -53.63% 66
RDDT Reddit 2.50% 152.72 +0.49% -0.07% -5.99% -33.56% 37
DUOL Duolingo 2.50% 147.75 +1.21% +0.44% +1.17% -15.81% 68
SPOT Spotify 2.50% 511.38 +0.19% -3.30% -7.45% -11.94% 32
NFLX Netflix 2.50% 71.72 +0.50% -4.77% -12.78% -23.51% 13
MELI MercadoLibre 2.50% 1754.13 -2.51% -3.89% -12.16% -12.91% 18
SE Sea Limited 2.50% 100.73 -2.48% -0.53% -18.23% -21.04% 5
TOST Toast 2.50% 30.11 +1.01% -1.76% -18.18% -15.21% 8

RS rank = the constituent's 21-day return percentile within the index (100 = strongest of the covered names). Weight is the index weight; returns use adjusted closes. Default sort: weight.

Other ETFs & indices

Dispersion is computed across the constituents we cover in our data lake (see coverage badge). Decision-support, not investment advice.

FAQ · from the current data

AW40 dispersion — data Q&A

Is AW40's move broad or carried by a few names (21 sessions)?

As of 2026-09-24: over 21 sessions the fund returned -1.42% while its median constituent returned -4.04% — a dispersion of 12.49 pp; 42% of 38 members beat the fund. Broad decline - breadth is falling with price.

How did AW40's members trade in the last session?

As of 2026-09-24: fund -0.34%, median member -0.47%, 15 advancers vs 23 decliners.

What does the dispersion page for AW40 measure?

It splits the fund into its members: the fund's own return against the median constituent, how many members beat the fund, advancers vs decliners, and a cumulative advance/decline line that tends to lead price. A firm fund price with a weak median and a falling A/D line is a narrow, top-heavy tape; a broad move shows the median keeping up. 38 constituents covered, re-baked nightly from the Closelook lake.

Is this investment advice?

No — a data surface in an investment research diary. It describes breadth inside a fund; it makes no recommendation.