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Constituent dispersion · breadth vs the index

AW40 — Agentic Winners 40 (EW)

38/40 covered · 95% by weight · benchmark: AW40 price · closes through 2026-11-04 ·holdings as of 2026-11-04

Concentration 12.5% in top 5 40 effective names · HHI 250
RS vs S&P 500 21d +1.22pp sector return − SPY
RS vs Nasdaq-100 21d +7.96pp sector return − QQQ
Broad decline - breadth is falling with price. Last 21 sessions — price -1.42% · A/D -11 (-0.29/name)
AW40 price
Cumulative advance / decline of constituents — rises when more names are up than down; turns before price at inflections

Divergence over time — price vs breadth, by horizon

The hero read is the 1-month picture; here the same price↔breadth divergence across 1 week / 1 month / 1 quarter, computed over the 126-session history. A/D /name is net advancers-minus-decliners per covered constituent; % beating Δ and median−ETF Δ show how participation shifted. Price rising while those fall = the move is narrowing under the surface.

HorizonPriceA/D /name% beating ΔMedian−ETF ΔRead
1 week -3.89% -0.61 — — Confirming ↓
1 month -1.42% -0.29 — — Confirming ↓
1 quarter +3.36% -2.21 — — Weakening

Over the last 126 sessions: price up +20.75%, breadth down (-0.03/name) · % beating 47→49 · median−ETF -0.98pp→-1.64pp.

Stocks above their moving average — participation breadth

Of the 38 covered constituents, the share trading above each simple moving average — the classic breadth gauge. A firm index price with a low %-above-MA is a narrow, top-heavy tape. As of 2026-11-04.

5-day 36.84% 14/38 above
20-day 34.21% 13/38 above
50-day 44.74% 17/38 above
100-day 63.16% 24/38 above
150-day 65.79% 25/38 above
200-day 63.16% 24/38 above
% of constituents above their 50-day average — breadth over the last year; 50% is the participation midpoint

New highs & new lows — by horizon

How many of the 38 covered constituents closed today at a new high (or low) over each window, and the net. A shrinking net as the index holds up = fewer names leading.

HorizonNew highsNew lowsNet
5-Day 6 (16%) 15 (39%) -9
1-Month 4 (11%) 5 (13%) -1
3-Month 3 (8%) 0 (0%) +3
6-Month 3 (8%) 0 (0%) +3
52-Week 2 (6%) 0 (0%) +2
YTD 3 (8%) 0 (0%) +3

Dispersion by window

WindowETFMedianMedian − ETF Up / DownBeat / Lag±1% bandDispersion
1d -0.04% -0.50% -0.46pp 17 / 21 17 / 21 7 of 38 ±3.03%
5d -3.89% -2.80% +1.10pp 11 / 27 22 / 16 4 of 38 ±8.6%
21d -1.42% -0.55% +0.87pp 15 / 22 20 / 18 1 of 38 ±13.93%
YTD -8.32% -6.84% +1.48pp 15 / 23 20 / 18 1 of 38 ±29.62%

Median − ETF below zero means the typical name is lagging the cap-weighted index — the move is top-heavy. "Beat" counts constituents outperforming the ETF over the window. Dispersion is the cross-sectional standard deviation of constituent returns — high = a stock-picker's tape, low = pure beta.

What drove the move — contribution = weight × return

Today (1d)

  • APP+7.28%+0.18pp
  • ORCL+5.85%+0.15pp
  • RDDT+5.69%+0.14pp
  • NOW+2.97%+0.07pp
  • MSFT+2.74%+0.07pp
  • SHOP-8.74%-0.22pp
  • DUOL-5.37%-0.13pp
  • 0268.HK-3.50%-0.09pp
  • HUBS-3.14%-0.08pp
  • DASTY-2.38%-0.06pp

This month (21d)

  • 4478.T+30.66%+0.77pp
  • SPOT+24.23%+0.61pp
  • INTU+21.66%+0.54pp
  • 3994.T+16.67%+0.42pp
  • DASTY+16.02%+0.4pp
  • RDDT-36.08%-0.9pp
  • SE-20.73%-0.52pp
  • NOW-19.78%-0.49pp
  • GOOGL-19.18%-0.48pp
  • META-16.29%-0.41pp

Each name's contribution = its index weight × its return — the percentage points it added to (green) or subtracted from (red) the ETF's move. Computed across covered names.

Leaders & laggards (21-day)

  • 4478.T+30.66%
  • SPOT+24.23%
  • INTU+21.66%
  • 3994.T+16.67%
  • DASTY+16.02%
  • RDDT-36.08%
  • SE-20.73%
  • NOW-19.78%
  • GOOGL-19.18%
  • META-16.29%

AW40 — constituent leadership race

$100 in each covered AW40 constituent at 2026-01-07, rebased to 100. Watch leadership change hands.

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Each covered constituent started at $100 at the window open; the bars race by total return (top 12 shown). Decision-support, not investment advice.

Constituents — 38 covered · click a column to sort

Symbol Weight Last 1d 5d 21d YTD RS rank
MSFT Microsoft 2.50% 520.99 +2.74% -1.95% -0.80% +7.97% 47
AMZN Amazon 2.50% 250.69 +2.06% -0.95% -0.28% +8.61% 53
GOOGL Alphabet 2.50% 280.03 +0.37% -12.65% -19.18% -10.47% 8
META Meta 2.50% 621.03 +2.36% +0.14% -16.29% -5.84% 11
AAPL Apple 2.50% 331.90 -1.90% -4.38% -0.30% +22.20% 50
NVDA Nvidia 2.50% 206.69 +2.29% -5.16% -13.48% +10.96% 13
PLTR Palantir 2.50% 175.40 -1.65% -11.74% -7.39% -1.32% 29
NOW ServiceNow 2.50% 109.16 +2.97% -29.47% -19.78% -28.74% 5
CRM Salesforce 2.50% 222.20 -1.76% -7.76% -3.30% -15.91% 37
WDAY Workday 2.50% 197.94 -0.10% -3.66% +4.75% -7.84% 68
SAP SAP 2.50% 230.31 -1.42% -2.33% +10.86% -5.19% 74
ORCL Oracle 2.50% 126.19 +5.85% -3.32% -11.11% -34.86% 21
PATH UiPath 2.50% 13.13 -1.57% -6.61% -0.23% -19.89% 55
ADBE Adobe 2.50% 246.14 -2.12% -0.89% +3.08% -29.67% 66
INTU Intuit 2.50% 344.72 -2.10% +4.95% +21.66% -47.70% 92
VEEV Veeva 2.50% 303.21 -1.23% -3.27% +6.97% +35.83% 71
CSGP CoStar 2.50% 31.32 -1.57% -2.16% +13.23% -53.42% 84
IOT Samsara 2.50% 41.11 -1.89% -5.52% -3.02% +15.97% 39
TEM Tempus AI 2.50% 77.80 -0.87% +7.83% -6.88% +31.75% 32
HUBS HubSpot 2.50% 226.17 -3.14% -9.82% +2.52% -43.64% 63
TEAM Atlassian 2.50% 191.05 +2.12% -12.93% -2.85% +17.83% 45
PTC PTC 2.50% 194.06 -0.13% -0.29% +0.94% +11.39% 61
DASTY Dassault Systèmes 2.50% 27.95 -2.38% +1.42% +16.02% +1.19% 87
SIEGY Siemens 2.50% 150.16 +0.13% +1.27% -2.95% +9.51% 42
0268.HK Kingdee 2.50% 8.27 -3.50% -10.31% +13.22% -37.81% 79
4478.T freee 2.50% 4645.00 +0.98% +11.39% +30.66% +54.58% 97
3994.T Money Forward 2.50% 7000.00 +2.12% +4.96% +16.67% +49.96% 89
4180.T Appier 2.50% 1414.00 -2.21% -1.81% +0.00% +31.66% 58
MNDY monday.com 2.50% 93.59 -1.75% -6.05% +13.22% -36.57% 82
SHOP Shopify 2.50% 142.57 -8.74% -14.02% -10.95% -11.43% 24
APP AppLovin 2.50% 245.51 +7.28% -6.59% -12.93% -63.56% 18
RDDT Reddit 2.50% 96.15 +5.69% -29.54% -36.08% -58.17% 0
DUOL Duolingo 2.50% 128.00 -5.37% -9.42% -12.98% -27.07% 16
SPOT Spotify 2.50% 600.09 +1.02% +8.04% +24.23% +3.34% 95
NFLX Netflix 2.50% 63.42 +1.73% +1.44% -6.04% -32.36% 34
MELI MercadoLibre 2.50% 1662.16 -0.87% -1.09% -10.67% -17.48% 26
SE Sea Limited 2.50% 76.77 +1.71% +2.73% -20.73% -39.82% 3
TOST Toast 2.50% 33.53 +0.33% +5.54% +11.62% -5.58% 76

RS rank = the constituent's 21-day return percentile within the index (100 = strongest of the covered names). Weight is the index weight; returns use adjusted closes. Default sort: weight.

Other ETFs & indices

Dispersion is computed across the constituents we cover in our data lake (see coverage badge). Decision-support, not investment advice.

FAQ · from the current data

AW40 dispersion — data Q&A

Is AW40's move broad or carried by a few names (21 sessions)?

As of 2026-11-04: over 21 sessions the fund returned -1.42% while its median constituent returned -0.55% — a dispersion of 13.93 pp; 53% of 38 members beat the fund. Broad decline - breadth is falling with price.

How did AW40's members trade in the last session?

As of 2026-11-04: fund -0.04%, median member -0.50%, 17 advancers vs 21 decliners.

What does the dispersion page for AW40 measure?

It splits the fund into its members: the fund's own return against the median constituent, how many members beat the fund, advancers vs decliners, and a cumulative advance/decline line that tends to lead price. A firm fund price with a weak median and a falling A/D line is a narrow, top-heavy tape; a broad move shows the median keeping up. 38 constituents covered, re-baked nightly from the Closelooknet lake.

Is this investment advice?

No — a data surface in an investment research diary. It describes breadth inside a fund; it makes no recommendation.