NVIDIA (NVDA) — the peer cohort

Long reads

• NVIDIA 2030Dossier · $49 · 24 Mar 2026The market still prices NVIDIA as a chipmaker.
• Industrial & Physical AI: Global Dependencies 2026–2030Dossier · $29 · 6 Mar 2026On the physical AI platform layer, NVIDIA's Omniverse has become the de facto operating system for industrial digital twins — Siemens, Dassault Systèmes, Rockwell, Schaeffler, PepsiCo, and BMW all build on its libraries.
• Where to Invest in the AI Chip Constraint ChainDossier · $29 · 3 Mar 2026The market is paying a massive premium for AI chip design (Nvidia, AMD) while underpricing the physical supply chain that makes those chips real.
• Agentic Infrastructure Software: The Orchestration LayerDossier · $39 · 24 Feb 2026The release of NVIDIA's BlueField-4 DPU serves as final confirmation that the data center is being re-architected for agents.
• Who Owns the AI Chip Buildout?Dossier · $39 · 12 Feb 2026SK Hynix sole primary Nvidia HBM supplier.
• AI Economy — Three Futures for 2030, and the One the Model Leaves OutReport · 14 Sept 2026The capital stock that the extreme scenario needs — 56% above its no-AI path by 2030, 14% in the substantial case — is being ordered now, and the ordering is itself a demand shock the model does not carry: Alphabet’s…
• Google and RSI — The Loop Nobody Has ClosedReport · 13 Sept 2026
• Magnificent Seven — The Seven at the ShelfWeekly Signal · 30 Aug 2026Nvidia guided to a demand book it cannot fully supply, the market spent the week selling beats across the software tape, and the indices went nowhere: the Nasdaq 100 fund +0.42% on the week at 716.43.

101 and glossary

• ABR — Agent Beneficiary Ratio: Scoring AI Disruption Impact101Key Companies NVDA NVIDIA Natural Position — infrastructure provider CRM Salesforce Cannibalize or Die — Agentforce pivot SNOW Snowflake Natural Position — data infrastructure for agents ZEN Zendesk Terminal — agents replace tier-1 support
• AI Infrastructure Outlook 2026: Layers, Risks, and Positioning101NVIDIA Blackwell is ramping, but the stock prices in perfection.
• Inference Economics: How the Training-to-Inference Shift Changes Everything101The companies that win the training phase (NVIDIA) may not be the same ones that dominate inference.
• NVIDIA Investor's Timeline: Hopper to Blackwell to Rubin and Beyond101NVIDIA releases new GPU architectures on roughly annual cadence: Hopper (2022), Blackwell (2024-2025), Rubin (2026), and a next-generation architecture (2027+).
• Sovereign AI: The National Compute Arms Race and Its Investment Map101The investment implications span from NVIDIA (selling DGX Cloud to governments globally) to Nebius (Yandex spin-off building European sovereign cloud) to Dell and HPE (on-premises AI infrastructure for nations with data residency…
• The 6-Layer Model: How Closelooknet Maps the AI Supply Chain101Compute (Layer 4) is where NVIDIA dominates but custom ASICs are emerging.
• The Greeks: Reading the Options Dashboard101The same nominal trade — “sell a put on NVDA” — can have completely different risk profiles depending on strike, expiry, and IV environment.

Dailies

• AI Trade — builders and runners sold, users bought: chips enter a bear market, Accenture +9.9% on the weekMorning 10 · 19 Oct 2026The chip fund SOXX fell 4.1% to 493.39 (24.7% below its June high); SMH, heavier in Nvidia, is 19.3% below.
• AI Trade — TSMC is ‘prudent’ on 2027: chip fund −2.0%, Dell −7.7%; software bought, Dow +0.9%Midday 10 · 15 Oct 2026AMD −3.8%, Marvell −3.2%, Nvidia and Broadcom −1.7%.
• Chips — SOXX −3.7%, now 20% below its June high; software −2.4% as hot inflation and BlackRock weighMidday 10 · 14 Oct 2026AMD −4.9%, Applied Materials −3.2%, Broadcom and TSMC −2.7%, Nvidia and Micron −2.7%.
• Earnings — J&J −6.2% and Citi −3.8% after beats; Micron −5.1%, chip fund back under its 50-day lineMidday 10 · 13 Oct 2026Nvidia +0.5%, AMD +0.5% and Broadcom +0.3% hold up — the selling is in memory and the machine makers, not in the chip designers.
• Chips — memory and optics sold again: Lumentum −7.7%, SanDisk −6.5%, chip fund −2.6%; Meta +3.8%Midday 10 · 12 Oct 2026Chip makers down again: SOXX −2.6% to $544.90, SMH −2.1%; Marvell −4.1%, Arm −4.0%, Intel −3.6%, AMD −3.4%, Nvidia −1.5%
• AI Capex — chip index −3.4% after OpenAI's revenue comes in at $50 billion, not $70 billion; software risesMorning 10 · 9 Oct 2026The market sold the companies that depend on OpenAI's spending: the Philadelphia chip index −3.4%, the chip fund SMH −2.8% to 607.27, Broadcom −4.4% to 360.14, Micron −4.8% to 1,035.84, SanDisk −4.9%, AMD −3.9%, Nvidia −2.9% to 230.48…
• Oil — Brent +3.4% to $103.64, energy the only strong sector; chips and power generators sold, PepsiCo +1.1%Midday 10 · 8 Oct 2026Chips lower again: SMH −1.0%, AMD −1.8% to $634.21, TSMC −1.6% to $464.55, Nvidia −0.9% to $235.41
• Stocks — broadly lower after the records: Russell 2000 −1.4%, power and cooling names sold, Penguin +15.3%Midday 10 · 7 Oct 2026Nvidia holds up better than the chip funds at −0.9%.