NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — the earnings record
As of the 2026-08-26 card — updated after each print. An investment research diary, not advice.
The record at a glance
Reactions across the covered prints span -14.0% to +20.0% — the beat column and the reaction column frequently disagree, which is the whole reason the record scores them separately. The street carries est revenue ~$108.69B into the next print.
Print by print
| Date | EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | 2026-08-26 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| May 26 | 2026-05-20 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Feb 26 | 2026-02-25 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Nov 25 | 2025-11-19 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Aug 25 | 2025-08-27 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| May 25 | 2025-05-28 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Feb 25 | 2025-02-26 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Nov 24 | 2024-11-20 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Aug 24 | 2024-08-28 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| May 24 | 2024-05-22 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Feb 24 | 2024-02-21 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
The per-print reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read live on the full NVDA print-record card — free registration.
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-08-26
Quick answers
How often does NVIDIA Corporation beat earnings estimates?
Across the last 11 covered prints (as of the 2026-08-26 card), NVIDIA Corporation beat EPS estimates 11 of 11 times and revenue estimates 11 of 11 times, with 11 double beats.
How does NVDA stock react to earnings?
Measured close-of-print-day to the close three sessions later: 3 of the last 11 prints resolved up (beyond +3%), 2 flat, 6 down — reactions spanning -14.0% to +20.0%. Beat-or-miss and reaction are scored separately because they frequently disagree.
What was NVDA's biggest earnings reaction?
+20% over the three sessions after the May 24 print (2024-05-22).
When does NVIDIA Corporation report earnings next?
2026-11-18 (Window closed 31 August: +5.3% — the first paid Nvidia window since May 2024. Next print 18 November — est EPS $2.46 · est revenue ~$108.69B). The full print-record card — reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read — updates after each print; registration is free. An investment research diary, not advice.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where NVDA appears in the diary — 77 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Go deeper
- NVIDIA 2030The Operating System of Global Intelligence. Investment Thesis & Valuation Framework.Dossier · $49 one-time, or included in C+
- Industrial & Physical AI: Global Dependencies 2026–2030Simulation · Digital Twins · Robotics · Embodied AI — Who Owns the StackDossier · $29 one-time, or included in C+
Long reads
- NVIDIA 2030
The market still prices NVIDIA as a chipmaker.
- Industrial & Physical AI: Global Dependencies 2026–2030
On the physical AI platform layer, NVIDIA's Omniverse has become the de facto operating system for industrial digital twins — Siemens, Dassault Systèmes, Rockwell, Schaeffler, PepsiCo, and BMW all build on its libraries.
- Where to Invest in the AI Chip Constraint Chain
The market is paying a massive premium for AI chip design (Nvidia, AMD) while underpricing the physical supply chain that makes those chips real.
- Agentic Infrastructure Software: The Orchestration Layer
The release of NVIDIA's BlueField-4 DPU serves as final confirmation that the data center is being re-architected for agents.
- Who Owns the AI Chip Buildout?
SK Hynix sole primary Nvidia HBM supplier.
- AI Economy — Three Futures for 2030, and the One the Model Leaves Out
The capital stock that the extreme scenario needs — 56% above its no-AI path by 2030, 14% in the substantial case — is being ordered now, and the ordering is itself a demand shock the model does not carry: Alphabet’s…
- Google and RSI — The Loop Nobody Has Closed
- Magnificent Seven — The Seven at the Shelf
Nvidia guided to a demand book it cannot fully supply, the market spent the week selling beats across the software tape, and the indices went nowhere: the Nasdaq 100 fund +0.42% on the week at 716.43.
101 and glossary
- ABR — Agent Beneficiary Ratio: Scoring AI Disruption Impact
Key Companies NVDA NVIDIA Natural Position — infrastructure provider CRM Salesforce Cannibalize or Die — Agentforce pivot SNOW Snowflake Natural Position — data infrastructure for agents ZEN Zendesk Terminal — agents replace tier-1 support
- AI Infrastructure Outlook 2026: Layers, Risks, and Positioning
NVIDIA Blackwell is ramping, but the stock prices in perfection.
- Inference Economics: How the Training-to-Inference Shift Changes Everything
The companies that win the training phase (NVIDIA) may not be the same ones that dominate inference.
- NVIDIA Investor's Timeline: Hopper to Blackwell to Rubin and Beyond
NVIDIA releases new GPU architectures on roughly annual cadence: Hopper (2022), Blackwell (2024-2025), Rubin (2026), and a next-generation architecture (2027+).
- Sovereign AI: The National Compute Arms Race and Its Investment Map
The investment implications span from NVIDIA (selling DGX Cloud to governments globally) to Nebius (Yandex spin-off building European sovereign cloud) to Dell and HPE (on-premises AI infrastructure for nations with data residency…
- The 6-Layer Model: How Closelooknet Maps the AI Supply Chain
Compute (Layer 4) is where NVIDIA dominates but custom ASICs are emerging.
- The Greeks: Reading the Options Dashboard
The same nominal trade — “sell a put on NVDA” — can have completely different risk profiles depending on strike, expiry, and IV environment.
Dailies
- Stocks — broadly lower after the records: Russell 2000 −1.4%, power and cooling names sold, Penguin +15.3%
Nvidia holds up better than the chip funds at −0.9%.
- Storage — Seagate −9.2%, Western Digital −6.9% on a record day for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq
The Nasdaq Composite added 0.45% to 27,599.79, its second record close in a row, and the Nasdaq-100 fund QQQ and Nvidia set new highs too.
- AI Hardware — Not One Trade
Nvidia and Advantest closed at records; KLA is 23.1% and Kioxia 47.2% below their June levels.
- Nasdaq — record close at 27,477 while the chip funds sit 5–15% below their June peaks
Tech is carrying the market, the chips not yet: Nvidia and TSMC closed at records, but the semiconductor index is still 10% under its 22 June high and the Nasdaq-100 without tech hit a one-year low on Thursday.
- S&P 500 — record high as Marvell jumps 7.6% on its investor day; chip-machine makers slide
The custom-chip and networking names lead: Astera Labs +8.2%, Credo +5.0%, Broadcom +4.4%, AMD +3.9% to a record, Nvidia +1.2% to another.
- Brazil — stocks jump 13% after Bolsonaro leads round one; US 10-year hits 5.35%, stocks rise anyway
Asia's chip rally reached New York only at the top: TSMC follows Taipei, and Nvidia is up 1.53%.
- Jobs-day rally fades — weak payrolls lift stocks at the open, then yields turn up and the Dow goes flat
Chips lead: chip funds SOXX +2.4% and SMH +2.00%, AMD +2.83%, Broadcom +2.32%, Nvidia +1.52%; optics Coherent +4.02%, Lumentum +3.16%; Oracle +2.38%; software fund IGV flat (+0.14%)
- AI comeback — Accenture +18%, Synopsys +8%, optics +9% while all three US indices slip
AI hardware suppliers jump: Coherent $316.10 (+9.83%), Lumentum $1,057.23 (+8.85%); Arista +0.35%, Nvidia +0.35%, Broadcom −1.24%; in Tokyo, Lasertec +11.14% and Advantest +9.78%
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