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Duolingo Inc (DUOL) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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Company snapshot — Duolingo Inc

DUOL in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Duolingo runs a mobile app that teaches languages through short daily exercises, covering courses from Spanish to Japanese and Chinese. It also sells a digital exam that certifies English proficiency for study or work abroad. The company is based in Pittsburgh and reaches its users almost entirely through the app rather than desktop software.
Where it sits in the stack
Duolingo carries no seat in our Rubin build-out index; it sits instead in the Agentic Winners 40, our index of companies whose products change once AI sits inside them, in the Endpoints sleeve — the layer where a model reaches a person through an app rather than through infrastructure. Inside that sleeve Duolingo is a customer of the underlying AI models, using them to generate lessons and feedback, rather than a supplier to the stack.
Who it is priced against
Our peer group places it with other consumer platforms in the Endpoints sleeve — Applovin, Reddit, Toast, MercadoLibre, Sea, Spotify, Netflix and Shopify — grouped for how an app-based product absorbs AI rather than for language teaching. The market also names Babbel as a direct competitor in language learning.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Duolingo holds a seat in the Agentic Winners 40. It carries a Closelooknet score, but only one module has been scored so far, so the read is still being built. The diary has quoted it in the Morning 10, where it moved with software names on rate-sensitivity, and twice in the Midday 10 during single-name swings.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether Duolingo keeps trading as part of the broader software basket on rate moves, or starts moving on its own subscriber and engagement trends instead.

Duolingo Inc (DUOL) trades on US exchanges, classified under Technology. Constituent of Agentic Winners 40.

The Closelooknet company score reads 52/100 composite (momentum 59, quality 73, valuation 46) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for DUOL, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

The Street on this name 8 analyst actions on the wire · latest: upgrade by Piper Sandler, 2026-08-31

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for DUOL from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Upgrade Piper Sandler — Overweight → Hold Upgraded to Hold from Overweight 2026-08-31
  • Price target Evercore — target 210 Target set to $210 (+41.5% to spot) 2026-08-31
  • Price target Wedbush — target 150 from 139 Target raised to $150 from $139 (+2.3% to spot) 2026-08-20

8 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 3 upgrades, 3 initiations, 2 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Who it is priced against Agentic Winners 40 · Endpoints · 8 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Agentic Winners 40 · Endpoints

  • APPApplovin Corp
    day
    −0.9%
    vs 50d
    −9.7%
    off high
    −58.1%
    score
    67

    flow: getting weaker

  • RDDTReddit, Inc.
    day
    +0.5%
    vs 50d
    −4.7%
    off high
    −46.0%
    score
    62

    flow: turning up

  • TOSTToast Inc
    day
    +1.0%
    vs 50d
    −8.6%
    off high
    −34.0%
    score
    61

    flow: getting stronger

  • MELIMercadoLibre Inc.
    day
    −2.5%
    vs 50d
    −6.3%
    off high
    −31.2%
    score
    57

    flow: turning up

  • SESea Ltd
    day
    −2.5%
    vs 50d
    −9.3%
    off high
    −49.5%
    score
    55

    flow: turning up

  • SHOPShopify Inc
    day
    +2.0%
    vs 50d
    +5.5%
    off high
    −20.3%
    score
    55

    flow: turning up

  • SPOTSpotify Technology SA
    day
    +0.2%
    vs 50d
    −0.7%
    off high
    −31.4%
    score
    55

    flow: turning up

  • NFLXNetflix Inc
    day
    +0.5%
    vs 50d
    −5.1%
    off high
    −37.8%
    score
    54

    flow: turning up

Compared against DUOL on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Versus its index Agentic Winners 40 — the name, its sleeve and the index over day, week and month

Versus its index

The name against its Closelooknet index and its own sleeve — equal-weight, nightly closes.

Agentic Winners 40 · as of 2026-09-25

DayWeekMonth3 months
DUOL−2.9%+1.1%+1.9%+18.1%
Endpoints−0.8%+1.1%−7.5%—
Agentic Winners 40−0.7%−0.1%−5.7%—

Against the index: 1.2 pts ahead on the week, 7.6 pts ahead on the month; against its Endpoints sleeve 9.4 pts ahead on the month.

Returns from the index workers’ nightly closes; equal-weight sleeves. A relative reading from the research diary, not advice.

Dividends and capital return no distribution in twelve months

Dividends and capital return

What DUOL pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Distributions No cash distribution recorded in the price series over the last three years
  • Share count +2.6% in FY2025 137 m USD of stock-based compensation in the year

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

How it trades on rate days beta −0.06 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How DUOL has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year −0.06 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Duolingo Inc moved −0.06% on average · correlation −0.01 · higher than 7% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 1.31 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days +0.38% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +1.21% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 62/100 · S&P 500 fund at 67, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-25
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 99th percentile of the window, +8.4% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-25
  • Sector × region Technology in US: +3.6% week · +7.5% month · +8.5% quarter · +40.9% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLK.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-09-26
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.61 · up 0.29 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-09-25

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-26

Quick answers

What is Duolingo Inc (DUOL)?

Duolingo Inc trades as DUOL on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Technology in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-09-26.

Is DUOL in a Closelooknet index?

Yes — Duolingo Inc is a constituent of Agentic Winners 40, as of 2026-09-26.

What is Duolingo Inc's Closelooknet composite score?

52 out of 100, with momentum 59, quality 73 and valuation 46 sub-scores, as of 2026-09-26. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

Where does DUOL trade against its moving averages?

Trending: Above its 50- and 200-day — still in an uptrend. As of 2026-09-24 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How is DUOL doing against its Closelooknet index?

Over the past month Duolingo Inc is +1.9% against −5.7% for the Agentic Winners 40 — 7.6 points ahead of its index, as of 2026-09-25. Its Endpoints sleeve is −7.5% over the same month. The “Versus its index” table on this page carries the day, the week and the month for the name, its sleeve and the index.

What does Duolingo Inc do?

Duolingo runs a mobile app that teaches languages through short daily exercises, covering courses from Spanish to Japanese and Chinese. It also sells a digital exam that certifies English proficiency for study or work abroad. The company is based in Pittsburgh and reaches its users almost entirely through the app rather than desktop software. Our peer group places it with other consumer platforms in the Endpoints sleeve — Applovin, Reddit, Toast, MercadoLibre, Sea, Spotify, Netflix and Shopify — grouped for how an app-based product absorbs AI rather than for language teaching. The market also names Babbel as a direct competitor in language learning.

Where does Duolingo Inc sit in the AI build-out?

Duolingo carries no seat in our Rubin build-out index; it sits instead in the Agentic Winners 40, our index of companies whose products change once AI sits inside them, in the Endpoints sleeve — the layer where a model reaches a person through an app rather than through infrastructure. Inside that sleeve Duolingo is a customer of the underlying AI models, using them to generate lessons and feedback, rather than a supplier to the stack. Duolingo holds a seat in the Agentic Winners 40. It carries a Closelooknet score, but only one module has been scored so far, so the read is still being built. The diary has quoted it in the Morning 10, where it moved with software names on rate-sensitivity, and twice in the Midday 10 during single-name swings.

Does Duolingo Inc pay a dividend?

No cash distribution shows in Duolingo Inc’s price series over the last three years. The share count rose 2.6% over the fiscal year. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

How does Duolingo Inc trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Duolingo Inc had a beta of −0.06 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 7% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved +0.38% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Duolingo Inc recently?

The most recent analyst action on Duolingo Inc on the Closelooknet wire is a upgrade by Piper Sandler on 2026-08-31 (Overweight → Hold). 8 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 3 upgrades, 3 initiations, 2 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

Where has Closelooknet written about Duolingo Inc?

Duolingo Inc appears in 5 Closelooknet pieces, most recently Morning 10: Rates — the Fed hikes and the 10-year closes above 5%: the belly sold, the relief unwound, chips back under $505 (2026-09-17); Midday 10: Software and semis sell off together at midday — the green sits outside tech (2026-09-01); Midday 10: In-line core PCE leaves both bond lines standing as the tape flattens into a five-print evening — Nvidia the referee (2026-08-26). What Closelooknet said most recently: The equipment names were sold a third time, Applied Materials −1.4%, Lam −0.6%, KLA −0.4%, onsemi −9.0%, and the software names were marked on the discount rate: the Agentic Winners 40 −1.3%, Adobe −2.8%, Intuit −3.4%, Duolingo −3.7%, the… (Morning 10, 2026-09-17). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for DUOL, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 5 pieces · newest: Morning 10, “Rates — the Fed hikes and the 10-year closes above 5%: the belly sold, the relief unwound, chips back under $505” (2026-09-17)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where DUOL appears in the diary — 5 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Dailies

Related in the Closelooknet universe

same Closelooknet index seat first, then Software - Application. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.