SAP SE ADR (SAP) — the earnings record
As of the 2026-07-23 card — updated after each print. An investment research diary, not advice.
The record at a glance
Reactions across the covered prints span -6.0% to +10.1% — the beat column and the reaction column frequently disagree, which is the whole reason the record scores them separately. The street carries est revenue ~$11.3B into the next print.
Print by print
| Date | EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26 | 2026-04-23 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Jan 26 | 2026-01-29 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Oct 25 | 2025-10-22 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jul 25 | 2025-07-22 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Apr 25 | 2025-04-22 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jan 25 | 2025-01-28 | ✗ miss | ✓ beat |
| Oct 24 | 2024-10-21 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jul 24 | 2024-07-22 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Apr 24 | 2024-04-22 | ✗ miss | ✓ beat |
| Jan 24 | 2024-01-23 | ✗ miss | ✓ beat |
The per-print reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read live on the full SAP print-record card — free registration.
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-07-23
Quick answers
How often does SAP SE ADR beat earnings estimates?
Across the last 10 covered prints (as of the 2026-07-23 card), SAP SE ADR beat EPS estimates 7 of 10 times and revenue estimates 8 of 10 times, with 5 double beats.
How does SAP stock react to earnings?
Measured close-of-print-day to the close three sessions later: 6 of the last 10 prints resolved up (beyond +3%), 3 flat, 1 down — reactions spanning -6.0% to +10.1%. Beat-or-miss and reaction are scored separately because they frequently disagree.
What was SAP's biggest earnings reaction?
+10.1% over the three sessions after the Apr 25 print (2025-04-22).
When does SAP SE ADR report earnings next?
2026-07-23 (est EPS $2.01 · est revenue ~$11.3B). The full print-record card — reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read — updates after each print; registration is free. An investment research diary, not advice.
Mentioned on Closelook
Where SAP appears in the diary — 22 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Go deeper
Long reads
- The Agentic Winners 25
SAP generates the vast majority of its revenue from legacy ERP licence and maintenance contracts — a business model that has existed since the 1990s.
- The Software-Credit Nexus
- Agentic Application Software: The SaaSpocalypse Map
Workday (HR/payroll data) · Intuit (financial data) · Adobe (creative assets) · SAP (ERP data) At Risk Low data gravity · Low replaceability Currently protected by enterprise inertia, integration complexity, and multi-year contracts that…
- Enterprise AI — The Control Point
That right lives inside systems of record — Microsoft in identity and collaboration, Salesforce in customer relationships, ServiceNow in workflow, SAP in finance, procurement and supply chain, Oracle in data and finance, Palantir in…
- AI Capex — The Tell Fired Twice
On Friday's broken tape, SAP rose +9.3% and ServiceNow +7.4% — not on vibes, on the first attributable agent economics of the season: ServiceNow's contracted AI ACV crossed $1 billion in the quarter (net-new AI ACV +40% sequentially…
- AI Trade — The Rotation Is Inevitable. The Date Is Not.
The July print week showed the pricing has begun: the market sold record quarters from Alphabet (−8.9%, first negative-FCF quarter since the IPO, capex $44.9B against $39.1B operating cash flow) and Intel (−7.9% on its best growth since…
- Enterprise Software — The Agent Is Not the Product. The Orchestrator Is.
This is why SAP, Salesforce, Microsoft, ServiceNow, Oracle and Workday are all racing toward remarkably similar architectures — and why the same claim was made twice in a single print week in July 2026: ServiceNow framing itself as the…
- Diversification — Diversified into the Losers · Closelook Heresy XIII
One company — SAP — has dominated German net equity wealth creation for three decades, to the point where the index architecture itself had to bend around it: SAP breached the DAX's 15 percent capping limit (a limit raised…
101 and glossary
- Agentic Winners 40: Who Captures AI's Value
Tier B · Control Plane (7) — Palantir, ServiceNow, Salesforce, Workday, SAP, Oracle, UiPath.
Dailies
- From Silicon Scarcity to Software Scarcity: The Next AI Bottleneck Is Permission to Act, and the Market Graded It This Week
Context; state and memory; systems of record SNOW, Databricks, MDB, SAP, CRM, ORCL, PLTR 2 · Permit controlled action Can it act with the correct authority through real workflows?
- Enterprise AI — Rent the Brain or Build It
The falsifier is already in the record: if SAP, ServiceNow, Workday or Adobe names the same shape within two quarters, Wednesday was a template, not a transaction.
- The day after the wire, the tape breaks — Korea's sidecar night, dollar-yen back under 159.5, and the sovereign tell reads equity-led
Software held or rose — IGV −0.03%, CLOU −0.47% on the ETF side, while the large caps were green: Salesforce +2.71%, Adobe +3.58%, Intuit +4.41%, SAP +1.27%, ServiceNow +1.52%.
- The seller had a deadline — Hynix limit-up, KOSPI +16%, AWS accelerates to 37%
ServiceNow fell 6.2%, Adobe 6.6%, Salesforce 5.0%, SAP 3.6%.
- AI Capex — Two Raises, One Rule
And stacked with SAP's agent deployment and the Rubin cost curve, the demand side dates itself: the agentic year runs H2 2026 through H1 2027.
- The KOSPI Is a Semiconductor Index Now
That is the same reaction function that sold Alphabet's and Intel's beats a week ago and paid ServiceNow and SAP the same afternoon — applied one layer further down the stack.
- Kimi K3: The Gap Went Task-Specific
Friday made the same point in cash: Alphabet raised capex and was sold 7.1%, Intel printed its fastest growth since 2011 and closed down 7.9%, while SAP and ServiceNow — the two companies that called themselves the orchestrators…
- Agentic AI: The Orchestration Knock Out
The same claim was made twice in one print week: ServiceNow called itself the orchestrator of AI in the enterprise, SAP pitched the Autonomous Enterprise around Joule, n8n and its Knowledge Graph.
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