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McDonald’s Corporation (MCD) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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The desk on MCD

What this diary said about McDonald’s Corporation, what it holds and what would change its view — in its own words, dated. Investment diary, not advice.

What we said

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for MCD, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 13 pieces · newest: Daily Pulse, “Rubin surges as vol complex splits and Europe extends gains” (2026-05-22)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where MCD appears in the diary — 13 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Dailies

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 62/100 · S&P 500 fund at 67, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-25
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 99th percentile of the window, +8.4% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-25
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.61 · up 0.29 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-09-25
How it trades on rate days beta 0.38 to TLT · on the worst bond days it moved with the market

How it trades on rate days

How MCD has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.38 — tends to move with bonds for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), McDonald’s Corporation moved 0.38% on average · correlation 0.18 · higher than 38% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.27 about the same as over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −0.90% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days −0.55% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Restaurants · US · 6 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Restaurants · US

This name carries no Closelooknet score, so its cohort ranks on trend state — distance to the 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score it does not have.

Compared against MCD on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — McDonald’s Corporation

MCD in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
McDonald's owns, operates and franchises restaurants under its own brand across the United States and internationally, serving burgers, chicken sandwiches, fries, breakfast items, desserts and beverages. It runs its restaurants through company-operated, conventional franchise, developmental licence and affiliate structures, and is based in Chicago.
Where it sits in the stack
McDonald's carries no seat in Rubin, our AI build-out index; it sits in our Consumer Cyclical sleeve, within the Restaurants sector, and appears in the diary mainly as a Dow Jones Industrial Average constituent, watched for its defensive market posture rather than any place in the compute chain.
Who it is priced against
The diary has not assigned a peer group for this name; the comparison the market draws is with Yum! Brands as the other large quick-service restaurant operator.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
It is a Dow Jones Industrial Average constituent and does not carry a Closelooknet score, since it sits outside our AI-focused index. The Daily Pulse mentions it repeatedly as a defensive name whose chart tests support alongside other consumer and industrial stocks.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether the stock's chart keeps testing support in the pattern the Pattern Scanner flags, and whether its defensive standing shifts as broader market risk appetite changes.

McDonald’s Corporation (MCD) trades on US exchanges.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: MCD news on the tape · index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 11 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Baird, 2026-09-25

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for MCD from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Baird — target 250 Target set to $250 (+5.5% to spot) 2026-09-25
  • Price target Baird — target 250 from 285 Target cut to $250 from $285 (+4.9% to spot) 2026-09-24
  • Price target Oppenheimer — target 295 from 325 Target cut to $295 from $325 (+22.7% to spot) 2026-09-24

11 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 11 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 3.15%, quarterly · last 1.86 USD on 2026-09-01

Dividends and capital return

What MCD pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 7.44 USD per share · a 3.15% yield on the 2026-09-25 close 4 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-09-25
  • Change on the year +5.3% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 7.07 USD per share
  • Last distribution 1.86 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-09-01
  • By calendar year 2023: 1.67 USD (partial) · 2024: 6.80 USD · 2025: 7.16 USD · 2026: 5.58 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2023-11-30

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-26

Quick answers

What is McDonald’s Corporation (MCD)?

McDonald’s Corporation trades as MCD on the US exchange (US) in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-09-26.

Is MCD in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — McDonald’s Corporation is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-09-26.

Where does MCD trade against its moving averages?

Downtrend stack: Trades -9.8% vs the 50-day and -18.8% vs the 200-day average, 30.4% below the 52-week high and +1.1% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-09-25 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does McDonald’s Corporation trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year McDonald’s Corporation had a beta of 0.38 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it tends to move with bonds, higher than 38% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −0.90% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

Where has Closelooknet written about McDonald’s Corporation?

McDonald’s Corporation appears in 13 Closelooknet pieces, most recently Daily Pulse: Rubin surges as vol complex splits and Europe extends gains (2026-05-22); Daily Pulse: Layer-1 chips surge as Europe and US futures fade (2026-05-21); Daily Pulse: Narrow tape: Rubin leads as broad market softens across asset classes (2026-05-20). What Closelooknet said most recently: The Pattern Scanner showed 28 active signals, all top hits flagging support-confluence in defensive and industrial names — NOC, MCD, LMT, PLTR — most carrying red regime labels. (Daily Pulse, 2026-05-22). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

What does McDonald’s Corporation do?

McDonald's owns, operates and franchises restaurants under its own brand across the United States and internationally, serving burgers, chicken sandwiches, fries, breakfast items, desserts and beverages. It runs its restaurants through company-operated, conventional franchise, developmental licence and affiliate structures, and is based in Chicago. The diary has not assigned a peer group for this name; the comparison the market draws is with Yum! Brands as the other large quick-service restaurant operator.

Where does McDonald’s Corporation sit in the AI build-out?

McDonald's carries no seat in Rubin, our AI build-out index; it sits in our Consumer Cyclical sleeve, within the Restaurants sector, and appears in the diary mainly as a Dow Jones Industrial Average constituent, watched for its defensive market posture rather than any place in the compute chain. It is a Dow Jones Industrial Average constituent and does not carry a Closelooknet score, since it sits outside our AI-focused index. The Daily Pulse mentions it repeatedly as a defensive name whose chart tests support alongside other consumer and industrial stocks.

Does McDonald’s Corporation pay a dividend?

McDonald’s Corporation has paid 7.44 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 3.15% on the 2026-09-25 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 1.86 USD on 2026-09-01. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on McDonald’s Corporation recently?

The most recent analyst action on McDonald’s Corporation on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Baird on 2026-09-25 (target 250). 11 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 11 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for MCD, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Restaurants, then Consumer Cyclical. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.