Elastic NV (ESTC) — Quality & forensics
As of 2026-09-18 — refreshed nightly. Closelook readings from an investment research diary, not ratings or advice.
The Closelook module scores
- Valuation 29
- Quality 52
- Growth 55
- Balance sheet 38
- Cash quality 25
- Capital allocation 43
- Momentum 84
Scores are computed nightly across the coverage universe and read relative to it — the methodology lives in the company-scoring explainer.
Financial forensics — the academic screens
Sits in the safe zone (above 2.99). The Z-Score estimates financial-distress risk from five balance-sheet and earnings ratios.
Nine binary fundamental-strength checks across profitability, leverage and operating efficiency.
Screens reported earnings for statistical manipulation patterns — below the −1.78 manipulation-risk threshold. A screen, not an accusation.
Continue: the ESTC chart & overview · the earnings record
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-18
Quick answers
What is Elastic NV's Closelook quality reading?
The composite reads 47/100 across 7 modules, as of 2026-09-18: valuation 29, quality 52, growth 55, balance sheet 38, cash quality 25, capital allocation 43, momentum 84. Closelook scores are research diary readings, not ratings or investment advice.
What is Elastic NV's Altman Z-Score?
3.45, which sits in the safe zone (above 2.99) as of 2026-09-18. The Altman Z-Score estimates financial distress risk from five balance-sheet and earnings ratios.
What is Elastic NV's Piotroski F-Score?
5 of 9, as of 2026-09-18. The F-Score counts nine binary fundamental-strength signals across profitability, leverage and operating efficiency.
What does Elastic NV's Beneish M-Score indicate?
-2.19 — below the −1.78 manipulation-risk threshold, as of 2026-09-18. The M-Score screens reported earnings for statistical manipulation patterns; it is a screen, not an accusation.
Mentioned on Closelook
Where ESTC appears in the diary — 8 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Go deeper
- The Agentic Winners 25A Leading Indicator for the Agentic Software RotationDossier · $49 one-time, or included in C+
- Agentic Application Software: The SaaSpocalypse MapVertical agents, copilots, and which enterprise software companies survive AI disruption — and which don't.Dossier · $39 one-time, or included in C+
Long reads
- The Agentic Winners 25
Elastic is the search and retrieval backbone — its vector search capabilities power the RAG pipelines that ground agent responses in enterprise data.
- Agentic Application Software: The SaaSpocalypse Map
Long AI infrastructure from Strand 2: Datadog (DDOG — observability gravity), Cloudflare (NET — edge distribution), Snowflake (SNOW — data gravity), MongoDB (MDB — developer ecosystem), Pure Storage (PSTG — ICMS context memory), Elastic…
- Agentic Infrastructure Software: The Orchestration Layer
The hardware requires all-flash array partners (Pure Storage, NetApp, Dell) to build the physical boxes, while software platforms (Elastic, MongoDB, Snowflake) organize and query the data.
Dailies
- From Silicon Scarcity to Software Scarcity: The Next AI Bottleneck Is Permission to Act, and the Market Graded It This Week
- Great numbers, falling stocks — the market has stopped rewarding even record earnings
Marvell, Autodesk and IREN fell too; only Elastic was rewarded, and Workday finished a dollar short.
- The bar moves overnight: three beat-and-raise prints get sold after hours.
Rubrik, Autodesk and Marvell are all punished despite beating or raising, Elastic is paid +20.9% and Workday shrugs, and Friday stacks the Warsh keynote onto IEF's weekly close at 93.04.
- Daylight pays the five-print evening at scale — Salesforce +20%, Okta +27%, CrowdStrike +18%, Nvidia +7.6% — while ten of eleven sectors trade red and technology alone carries the index.
Five more prints land tonight: Rubrik — a print-record card with zero flat reactions in its history — alongside Workday, which trades +3.25% to 196.94 into its own report, Autodesk, Elastic and IREN.
- Introducing the Agentic Winners 25
25 names across 7 sectors: MAG7 Gateway (MSFT, GOOGL, AAPL), Platform (SAP, NOW, CRM, WDAY), Toll Booth (NET, DDOG, CRWD, TWLO, OKTA), Neocloud/Edge (DOCN, FSLY, QCOM), Data/Search (SNOW, MDB, ESTC), Vertical (VEEV, INTU, PTC, CSGP, IOT)…
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