Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares (ARM) — Technical state

As of 2026-09-16 — re-computed nightly across the coverage universe. Closelook diary readings, not advice.

Widest analyst gap

46.1% off its high — yet the $363 consensus implies +48.8%.

Ranked #32 on today’s Directional Flow — Top scores list (scan of 2026-09-16).

The moving-average stack

vs 20-day-1.3%
vs 50-day-7.2%
vs 200-day+18.5%
52-week band46.1% off the high · +143.9% off the low
Streak2 consecutive up sessions
Stochastic%K 32.7 · %D 44.9

Analyst consensus (context)

Target 363 (+48.8% vs the baked price) · Buy · 19 buy / 6 hold / 2 sell. Third-party consensus, shown for context — not a Closelook view.

Continue: the ARM chart & overview · quality & forensics · the signal board

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-16

Quick answers

What is the current Closelook signal on ARM?

Widest analyst gap — 46.1% off its high — yet the $363 consensus implies +48.8%. As of 2026-09-16; the signal board re-computes across the coverage universe nightly. A research diary reading, not advice.

Is ARM above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages?

As of 2026-09-16, Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares trades -7.2% below its 50-day and +18.5% above its 200-day average, with the 20-day -1.3% away.

How far is ARM from its 52-week high?

46.1% below the 52-week high and 143.9% above the 52-week low, as of 2026-09-16.

What is the analyst consensus on Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares?

Consensus target 363 (+48.8% vs the baked price), rating Buy, with 19 buy / 6 hold / 2 sell recommendations — third-party consensus data, shown for context, not a Closelook view.

Mentioned on Closelook

Where ARM appears in the diary — 23 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Go deeper

Long reads

Where to Invest in the AI Chip Constraint ChainDossier · $29 · 3 Mar 2026P/E HBM6 Next Gen ARM Holdings ARM · ~$185 Watch Not a constraint — but the IP architecture behind 99% of edge AI chips ARM licenses the processor architecture used in virtually every smartphone, IoT device, and increasingly AI edge chips.
Agentic Infrastructure Software: The Orchestration LayerDossier · $39 · 24 Feb 2026Cloudflare (NET) · Qualcomm (QCOM) · Arm Holdings (ARM) · Fastly · Akamai · Vercel · Lenovo Foundation Model Providers Layer 0 — The Upstream Dependency The upstream dependency for the entire stack.
Who Owns the AI Chip Buildout?Dossier · $39 · 12 Feb 2026Europe's real power is chokepoint leverage via ASML export controls, plus critical R&D (IMEC) and IP (ARM).
The DeepSeek Moment Moves Into Chip Design — Part IReport · 18 Jul 2026And one detail from the same session deserves rescuing from the wreckage, because almost nobody mentioned it: ARM — the third listed name whose entire business is chip-design IP — closed the day up two percent.
The Index Was Built for This — Kimi K3, Part IIIReport · 18 Jul 2026ARM — the third name in our EDA & Chip IP sector — closed up two percent.
Pattern 03 — NVIDIA Strategic Authority InvestmentReport · 12 May 2026The 16-Event Timeline (2023-07-12 → 2026-05-12) 2024 2025 2026 RXRX 23-07 ARM 23-09 APLD 24-09 NBIS 24-12 MRVL 25-03 CRWV 25-03 INTC 25-09 NOK 25-10 SNPS 25-12 LITE COHR 26-03 IREN 26-05 GLW 26-05 exit RXRX exit APLD exit ARM Tier 1 …
Nvidia Ecosystem — Wave 1: The ‘Stacking’ PeakReport · 20 Feb 2026ARM Holdings ARM 0.90 Correlation Tier I Classification 2026/27 Peak Role Architecture Royalty Why The Vera CPU inside every NVIDIA Superchip is ARM-based.

Dailies

Fed day — relief before the decision: 10-year 4.96%, Brent under $107.63, chips reclaim $505, Nasdaq-100 above $708.69Midday 10 · 16 Sept 2026
Rates — Fed day at a 5% 10-year: the hike is priced, the cycle is not; Yardeni cuts the S&P target to 7,900Morning 10 · 16 Sept 2026
AI trade — sellers of compute sold, buyers bought: chips −5.6%, software +5%, SoftBank +7% in TokyoMorning 10 · 15 Sept 2026
Rates — the 10-year hits 5.01%: Dow −0.9%, Russell −1.2%, the AI sort pauses, Oracle and Adobe hold their linesMidday 10 · 15 Sept 2026
AI trade — the pacing call splits tech: chips −5%, software +4.5%, security +12–15%, 10-year hits 5%Midday 10 · 14 Sept 2026
Stocks snap a four-day losing streak as oil slips under $100 and chips bounce 2% — despite core inflation hotter than hoped and Fed hike odds at 82%; Oracle gives back its entire after-hours jumpMidday 10 · 11 Sept 2026
Chips lead the market down as oil tops $105 and the 10-year hits 4.92%: Micron −4%, Intel −4%, Nvidia −2.5% — while software posts its first up day in six and Apple gains 3%Midday 10 · 10 Sept 2026
Global Tech 50 — Out of China, Into the Tools: Fifteen Lines in the LedgerDaily Pulse · 5 Sept 2026ASM International went from 10 to 30 ADRs, Disco from 251 to 391, BESI from 75 to 100, ARM from 35 to 50, and SK hynix came in new at 100 ADRs, the book's first position in the memory maker that was already in the derivatives book as a…