Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) — the earnings record
As of the 2026-08-11 card — updated after each print. An investment research diary, not advice.
The record at a glance
Reactions across the covered prints span -26.0% to +15.3% — the beat column and the reaction column frequently disagree, which is the whole reason the record scores them separately. The street carries est revenue ~$0.92B into the next print.
Print by print
| Date | EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | 2026-08-12 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| May 26 | 2026-05-13 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Feb 26 | 2026-02-12 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Nov 25 | 2025-11-11 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Aug 25 | 2025-08-07 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| May 25 | 2025-05-20 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Feb 25 | 2025-02-20 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Oct 24 | 2024-10-31 | ✗ miss | ✓ beat |
The per-print reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read live on the full NBIS print-record card — free registration.
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-08-11
Quick answers
How often does Nebius Group N.V. beat earnings estimates?
Across the last 8 covered prints (as of the 2026-08-11 card), Nebius Group N.V. beat EPS estimates 5 of 8 times and revenue estimates 3 of 8 times, with 2 double beats.
How does NBIS stock react to earnings?
Measured close-of-print-day to the close three sessions later: 3 of the last 8 prints resolved up (beyond +3%), 1 flat, 4 down — reactions spanning -26.0% to +15.3%. Beat-or-miss and reaction are scored separately because they frequently disagree.
What was NBIS's biggest earnings reaction?
-26% over the three sessions after the Feb 25 print (2025-02-20).
When does Nebius Group N.V. report earnings next?
2026-11-10 (Mid-November — est EPS -$0.70 · est revenue ~$0.92B). The full print-record card — reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read — updates after each print; registration is free. An investment research diary, not advice.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where NBIS appears in the diary — 30 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Long reads
- Agentic Infrastructure Software: The Orchestration Layer
Together AI · Fireworks · Anyscale (Ray Serve) · Replicate · Modal · CoreWeave · Nebius (NBIS) Data Platforms & Vector Storage Layer 2 — The Memory Layer This is the persistence bottleneck — the single most critical infrastructure gap for…
- Portfolio Construction — Build a Barbell · Closelooknet Heresy III
Live cohort as of May 2026: COHR · CRWV · GLW · INTC · IREN · LITE · MRVL · NBIS · NOK · SNPS.
- Pattern 03 — NVIDIA Strategic Authority Investment
The 16-Event Timeline (2023-07-12 → 2026-05-12) 2024 2025 2026 RXRX 23-07 ARM 23-09 APLD 24-09 NBIS 24-12 MRVL 25-03 CRWV 25-03 INTC 25-09 NOK 25-10 SNPS 25-12 LITE COHR 26-03 IREN 26-05 GLW 26-05 exit RXRX exit APLD exit ARM Tier 1 …
- Nvidia’s Equity Stakes — Follow the Wise Men, Pattern 03 Preview
Nebius has risen from $20 in late 2024 to a $200 peak earlier this month, and is now at $177.05 after a 4% pullback on Friday.
101 and glossary
- Alt-Hyperscalers: Why CoreWeave, Nebius, and Lambda Labs Matter
A new class of cloud providers — CoreWeave, Nebius (ex-Yandex), Lambda Labs, Together AI, and others — is challenging the AWS/Azure/GCP oligopoly by offering what the hyperscalers cannot or will not: bare-metal GPU access without…
- Sovereign AI: The National Compute Arms Race and Its Investment Map
The investment implications span from NVIDIA (selling DGX Cloud to governments globally) to Nebius (Yandex spin-off building European sovereign cloud) to Dell and HPE (on-premises AI infrastructure for nations with data residency…
Dailies
- Big Tech Week — Brazil ETF −15% on Lula's win, Musk calls a neocloud die-off, Kospi −1.5%; verdicts tonight
Elon Musk, announcing $40 billion of SpaceX debt for GPUs, posted that the 200-plus neocloud companies face 'guppy-level death' and consolidation as debt markets shut on them — CoreWeave and Nebius fell 2.3% in overnight trading.
- Chips — one day of bounce, then Asia sells it: Kospi −4.3%, SK Hynix −5.3%, Nasdaq futures lower
Workday gained 2.3%, the AI cloud provider Nebius 2.9%.
- Hypergrowth — Calls Bought Back After a 25% Slide
On Friday Hypergrowth wrote seven lines: it bought back short calls on ASE, Nebius and Rocket Lab after a week in which all three stocks fell 15 to 26 percent, sold 100 of its 500 ASE shares, rolled the Rocket Lab calls further out, and…
- Chips — memory and optics sold again: Lumentum −7.7%, SanDisk −6.5%, chip fund −2.6%; Meta +3.8%
AI builders and hardware: Bloom Energy −7.0%, Super Micro −5.3%, Nebius −5.0% to $210, HPE −4.1%, Cisco −3.0%
- Korea — Kospi −3.5% on its first day back as chipmakers catch up; SpaceX deal sinks T-Mobile 13%
Power up, borrowers down — Vistra +15.3%, Constellation +15.8% on the week; CoreWeave −8.4%, Nebius −9.0%
- AI Capex — chip index −3.4% after OpenAI's revenue comes in at $50 billion, not $70 billion; software rises
The chip index fell 3.4%, the Nasdaq-100 1.39%; Broadcom −4.4%, Micron −4.8%, Oracle −5.5%, the data-centre builders CoreWeave −7.8% and Nebius −7.4%, the power suppliers Vicor −7.2% and Vistra −6.4%.
- Fed — minutes point to another rate hike by year-end; Samsung earns a record $80 billion in one quarter
The selling hit the companies that power and cool AI data centres — Vicor −5.5%, nVent −3.4%, Eaton −3.1%, Vertiv −2.6% — and the data-centre operators Nebius (−5.1%) and CoreWeave (−3.6%).
- Oil — Brent +3.4% to $103.64, energy the only strong sector; chips and power generators sold, PepsiCo +1.1%
Data-centre operators slip again: CoreWeave −4.7% to $84.26, Nebius −3.6% to $228.51, Oracle −1.0%
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