Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) — the earnings record
As of the 2026-08-11 card — updated after each print. An investment research diary, not advice.
The record at a glance
Reactions across the covered prints span -26.0% to +15.3% — the beat column and the reaction column frequently disagree, which is the whole reason the record scores them separately. The street carries est revenue ~$0.92B into the next print.
Print by print
| Date | EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | 2026-08-12 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| May 26 | 2026-05-13 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Feb 26 | 2026-02-12 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Nov 25 | 2025-11-11 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Aug 25 | 2025-08-07 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| May 25 | 2025-05-20 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Feb 25 | 2025-02-20 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Oct 24 | 2024-10-31 | ✗ miss | ✓ beat |
The per-print reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read live on the full NBIS print-record card — free registration.
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-08-11
Quick answers
How often does Nebius Group N.V. beat earnings estimates?
Across the last 8 covered prints (as of the 2026-08-11 card), Nebius Group N.V. beat EPS estimates 5 of 8 times and revenue estimates 3 of 8 times, with 2 double beats.
How does NBIS stock react to earnings?
Measured close-of-print-day to the close three sessions later: 3 of the last 8 prints resolved up (beyond +3%), 1 flat, 4 down — reactions spanning -26.0% to +15.3%. Beat-or-miss and reaction are scored separately because they frequently disagree.
What was NBIS's biggest earnings reaction?
-26% over the three sessions after the Feb 25 print (2025-02-20).
When does Nebius Group N.V. report earnings next?
2026-11-10 (Mid-November — est EPS -$0.70 · est revenue ~$0.92B). The full print-record card — reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read — updates after each print; registration is free. An investment research diary, not advice.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where NBIS appears in the diary — 25 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Long reads
- Agentic Infrastructure Software: The Orchestration Layer
Together AI · Fireworks · Anyscale (Ray Serve) · Replicate · Modal · CoreWeave · Nebius (NBIS) Data Platforms & Vector Storage Layer 2 — The Memory Layer This is the persistence bottleneck — the single most critical infrastructure gap for…
- Portfolio Construction — Build a Barbell · Closelooknet Heresy III
Live cohort as of May 2026: COHR · CRWV · GLW · INTC · IREN · LITE · MRVL · NBIS · NOK · SNPS.
- Pattern 03 — NVIDIA Strategic Authority Investment
The 16-Event Timeline (2023-07-12 → 2026-05-12) 2024 2025 2026 RXRX 23-07 ARM 23-09 APLD 24-09 NBIS 24-12 MRVL 25-03 CRWV 25-03 INTC 25-09 NOK 25-10 SNPS 25-12 LITE COHR 26-03 IREN 26-05 GLW 26-05 exit RXRX exit APLD exit ARM Tier 1 …
- Nvidia’s Equity Stakes — Follow the Wise Men, Pattern 03 Preview
Nebius has risen from $20 in late 2024 to a $200 peak earlier this month, and is now at $177.05 after a 4% pullback on Friday.
101 and glossary
- Alt-Hyperscalers: Why CoreWeave, Nebius, and Lambda Labs Matter
A new class of cloud providers — CoreWeave, Nebius (ex-Yandex), Lambda Labs, Together AI, and others — is challenging the AWS/Azure/GCP oligopoly by offering what the hyperscalers cannot or will not: bare-metal GPU access without…
- Sovereign AI: The National Compute Arms Race and Its Investment Map
The investment implications span from NVIDIA (selling DGX Cloud to governments globally) to Nebius (Yandex spin-off building European sovereign cloud) to Dell and HPE (on-premises AI infrastructure for nations with data residency…
Dailies
- AI Capex — chip index −3.4% after OpenAI's revenue comes in at $50 billion, not $70 billion; software rises
The chip index fell 3.4%, the Nasdaq-100 1.39%; Broadcom −4.4%, Micron −4.8%, Oracle −5.5%, the data-centre builders CoreWeave −7.8% and Nebius −7.4%, the power suppliers Vicor −7.2% and Vistra −6.4%.
- Fed — minutes point to another rate hike by year-end; Samsung earns a record $80 billion in one quarter
The selling hit the companies that power and cool AI data centres — Vicor −5.5%, nVent −3.4%, Eaton −3.1%, Vertiv −2.6% — and the data-centre operators Nebius (−5.1%) and CoreWeave (−3.6%).
- Oil — Brent +3.4% to $103.64, energy the only strong sector; chips and power generators sold, PepsiCo +1.1%
Data-centre operators slip again: CoreWeave −4.7% to $84.26, Nebius −3.6% to $228.51, Oracle −1.0%
- Stocks — broadly lower after the records: Russell 2000 −1.4%, power and cooling names sold, Penguin +15.3%
The data-centre operators slip too: Nebius −5.8%, CoreWeave −3.6%.
- AI Credit — Oracle invokes force majeure on a New Mexico data center; the 30-year hits 5.45%
Private-credit lenders lower but calm: OBDC (-1.6%), Ares Capital (-0.91%), BXSL (-0.73%); the neoclouds mixed: Applied Digital (-2.53%), TeraWulf (-2.11%), Core Scientific (-1.57%), CoreWeave (-0.93%), Nebius $239.80 (+5.82%)
- Hypergrowth — Nebius Bought Back $13 Cheaper and Four Calls Sold Over the Book
Hypergrowth bought back the 50 Nebius shares it had sold on Friday, 13 dollars cheaper, and wrote four covered calls over names it already holds, collecting about 9,500 dollars of premium in an afternoon.
- Oil settles at $107.63, the 10-year hits 4.95% and the 30-year 5.36%, its highest since 2007: chips lead a fourth down day, Oracle beats and jumps 4% after hours, Adobe beats and slips — and Asia sells its chipmakers 3% to 7%
Our Euro-AI Sovereign 50 fell 1.5%, its chip-equipment group −4.4%, industrial automation −2.8% with Kion −5.8% and Munters −4.3%; enterprise software was the one group up, +0.4%, with OVHcloud +4.3% and Nynomic +4.6% the two best names…
- Oil knocks on $100 and Wall Street sells everything but the AI pipe: Intel +9%, Lumentum +11%, Dow −1.2% — Seoul buys the dip and the Kospi is back above 7,000
The one exception inside agentic software was the compute layer: CoreWeave +11.7%, Nebius +7.7%, IREN +5.0%, DigitalOcean +12.6%, lifting our Compute Operators sub-index 3.3% and 11.0% on the week.
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