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Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

The Closelooknet read

Assured Guaranty sells insurance that guarantees bond payments, protecting holders when issuers default on scheduled obligations. It works through an insurance arm covering public finance debt such as municipal, infrastructure, transportation and utility bonds, and structured finance exposures including mortgage-backed securities, plus an asset management arm offering investment advice.

Detail below: the desk's view, the earnings record, peers and the company snapshot; daily prices on the price-history tab. Research diary readings, not advice.

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Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for AGO, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 44/100 · S&P 500 fund at 48, above its 200-day averageEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-11-05
  • Factor regime Defensive rotation — low-vol leading, regime-change watchMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): below its 50-day trend, 73th percentile of the window, -21.7% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-11-04
  • Sovereign pressure Index -2.05 · down 2.95 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-11-05
How it trades on rate days beta 0.32 to TLT · on the worst bond days it moved with the market

How it trades on rate days

How AGO has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.32 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Assured Guaranty Ltd moved 0.32% on average · correlation 0.13 · higher than 24% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.72 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −0.85% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days −0.86% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Insurance - Specialty · United States · 4 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Insurance - Specialty · United States

This name carries no Closelooknet score, so its cohort ranks on trend state — distance to the 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score it does not have.

Compared against AGO on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Assured Guaranty Ltd

AGO in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Assured Guaranty sells insurance that guarantees bond payments, protecting holders when issuers default on scheduled obligations. It works through an insurance arm covering public finance debt such as municipal, infrastructure, transportation and utility bonds, and structured finance exposures including mortgage-backed securities, plus an asset management arm offering investment advice. It also writes specialty cover, including protection on aircraft residual values. The company is based in Hamilton, Bermuda, and trades on a US exchange.
Where it sits in the stack
Assured Guaranty is not part of Rubin, Closelooknet's index for the AI build-out. It sits in the Financial Services sector of our wider universe, in the Insurance - Specialty industry, alongside other insurers we track outside the chip-and-infrastructure chain.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group for this name has not been built. The market usually compares it with MBIA, another monoline bond insurer writing cover on similar public finance and structured obligations.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
AGO holds a seat in the Russell 1000 index. It carries no Closelooknet score yet, and the diary has not quoted it in any edition so far.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether the recent cut to the analyst price target and the run of down sessions mark a lasting change in sentiment, or a pause before shares steady.

Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) trades on US exchanges.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 2.06%, quarterly · last 0.38 USD on 2026-08-20

Dividends and capital return

What AGO pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 1.48 USD per share · a 2.06% yield on the 2026-11-05 close 4 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-11-05
  • Change on the year +11.3% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 1.33 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.38 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-08-20
  • By calendar year 2023: 0.28 USD (partial) · 2024: 1.24 USD · 2025: 1.36 USD · 2026: 1.14 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2023-11-14

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-11-06

Quick answers

What is Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO)?

Assured Guaranty Ltd trades as AGO on the US exchange (United States) in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-11-06.

Is AGO in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Assured Guaranty Ltd is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-11-06.

Where does AGO trade against its moving averages?

Assured Guaranty Ltd trades 1.0% above its 50-day and 8.6% below its 200-day moving average (2.1% above its 20-day). As of 2026-11-05 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Assured Guaranty Ltd compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Insurance - Specialty · United States), Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) sits 21.6% below its 52-week high, 1.0% above its 50-day average; AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd (AXS) is 10.1% below, First American Corporation (FAF) is 14.6% below, MGIC Investment Corp (MTG) is 7.5% below, as of 2026-11-05. Put any of them next to AGO in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does Assured Guaranty Ltd trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Assured Guaranty Ltd had a beta of 0.32 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 24% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −0.85% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. As of 2026-11-05; The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does Assured Guaranty Ltd do?

Assured Guaranty sells insurance that guarantees bond payments, protecting holders when issuers default on scheduled obligations. It works through an insurance arm covering public finance debt such as municipal, infrastructure, transportation and utility bonds, and structured finance exposures including mortgage-backed securities, plus an asset management arm offering investment advice. It also writes specialty cover, including protection on aircraft residual values. Closelooknet's peer group for this name has not been built. The market usually compares it with MBIA, another monoline bond insurer writing cover on similar public finance and structured obligations. (Company snapshot of 2026-09-17.)

Where does Assured Guaranty Ltd sit in the AI build-out?

Assured Guaranty is not part of Rubin, Closelooknet's index for the AI build-out. It sits in the Financial Services sector of our wider universe, in the Insurance - Specialty industry, alongside other insurers we track outside the chip-and-infrastructure chain. AGO holds a seat in the Russell 1000 index. It carries no Closelooknet score yet, and the diary has not quoted it in any edition so far. (Company snapshot of 2026-09-17.)

Does Assured Guaranty Ltd pay a dividend?

Assured Guaranty Ltd has paid 1.48 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 2.06% on the 2026-11-05 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.38 USD on 2026-08-20. As of 2026-11-05; the "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for AGO, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

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Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Insurance - Specialty, then Financial Services. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.