International Business Machines (IBM) — the earnings record
As of the 2026-10-13 card — updated after each print. An investment research diary, not advice.
The record at a glance
Reactions across the covered prints span -9.5% to +14.0% — the beat column and the reaction column frequently disagree, which is the whole reason the record scores them separately. The street carries Reported 21 October after the close: EPS $2.95 vs $2.86, revenue $17.10B vs ~$16.82B — a beat on both lines. Window from Wednesday’s close of 251.46: paid ≥ 259.00, sold < 243.92, scored Monday 26 October. into the next print.
Print by print
| Date | EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | 2026-10-21 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jul 26 | 2026-07-22 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Apr 26 | 2026-04-22 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jan 26 | 2026-01-28 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Oct 25 | 2025-10-22 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jul 25 | 2025-07-23 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Apr 25 | 2025-04-23 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jan 25 | 2025-01-29 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Oct 24 | 2024-10-23 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Jul 24 | 2024-07-24 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Apr 24 | 2024-04-24 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
The per-print reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read live on the full IBM print-record card — free registration.
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-13
Quick answers
How often does International Business Machines beat earnings estimates?
Across the last 11 covered prints (as of the 2026-10-13 card), International Business Machines beat EPS estimates 10 of 11 times and revenue estimates 7 of 11 times, with 7 double beats.
How does IBM stock react to earnings?
Measured close-of-print-day to the close three sessions later: 5 of the last 11 prints resolved up (beyond +3%), 1 flat, 5 down — reactions spanning -9.5% to +14.0%. Beat-or-miss and reaction are scored separately because they frequently disagree.
What was IBM's biggest earnings reaction?
+14% over the three sessions after the Jan 25 print (2025-01-29).
When does International Business Machines report earnings next?
2026-10-21 (Reported 21 October after the close: EPS $2.95 vs $2.86, revenue $17.10B vs ~$16.82B — a beat on both lines. Window from Wednesday’s close of 251.46: paid ≥ 259.00, sold < 243.92, scored Monday 26 October.). The full print-record card — reaction chart, the load-bearing metric and the behavior read — updates after each print; registration is free. An investment research diary, not advice.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where IBM appears in the diary — 32 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Go deeper
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IBM (243.29, +3.6%), named in the digest for its models partnership, is −18% on the year and −26% off its June high; the flow scan does not cover it.
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Dailies
- Earnings — five big-tech beats, none rewarded; Celestica +17% after hours, Kospi +3.1% into the Fed
Meta finished 9.6% below its pre-report close and Lam Research 8.9% below — both after double beats — while SAP (+2.5%), IBM (+0.8%) and Tesla (+1.3%) ended in the flat middle band, Tesla only because Monday's 5%+ rally pulled it back…
- Big Tech Week — Brazil ETF −15% on Lula's win, Musk calls a neocloud die-off, Kospi −1.5%; verdicts tonight
As of Friday: Lam Research −11.8% from its 260.81 entry, Meta −7.9% from 697.52, Tesla −3.7% from 386.47 (just inside sold), IBM +0.8% from 251.46 (flat), SAP +2.3% from 232.73 — Thursday's one paid report slipped below the +3% line on…
- Brazil — EWZ −20% on Lula while the chips bounce 3.5% and Tesla rallies out of its sold zone
Where the five windows stand with ninety minutes of tape left: Tesla +1.9% (flipped to flat on today's rally), SAP +2.0% (flat — the paid line at 239.71 is one percent away), IBM +0.9% (flat), Meta −9.2% and Lam −8.5% (both sold, no…
- AI Trade — the users give back half their bid as chips bounce 1%; energy hits a 52-week high
With Monday's close as the grade: SAP sits 3.2% above its entry close (just above the paid line), IBM 0.4% above (flat), Tesla 2.6% below — back inside the flat band from −3.1% on Thursday — while Meta (−7.4%, 645.99) and Lam Research…
- Chips — the washout hits 7%, Asia refuses to follow, and oil funds close at 52-week highs
Two sessions before Monday's grading, the five reaction windows have spread across the whole scale: SAP +3.4% from its entry close (just above the paid line), IBM +0.3% (the entire 4.6% after-hours drop clawed back), Tesla −3.1% (a hair…
- Asia — sea of red: Kospi −4%, SK Hynix −6.5%, Taiwan and Hong Kong follow after a sold earnings night
The trigger came overnight: four of five US reporters beat estimates and three trade lower anyway — Lam Research −7.2%, IBM −4.6%, Tesla −3.3% — while Meta (+2.2%) and SAP hold green.
- Earnings Fallout — Meta flips to −6.6%, SAP +3.8% is the night's only payment; chip ETFs down 5%
The night's other two sold prints recovered into the quiet zone: IBM trades just 0.8% lower at 249.54 after a 4.6% after-hours drop, and Tesla sits 1.5% lower at 380.68.
- Memory — Seoul Sells the Beat
IBM fell 4.6% after beating both lines, Tesla slipped 3.3% after its call.
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