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AAON Inc (AAON) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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The desk on AAON

What this diary said about AAON Inc, what it holds and what would change its view — in its own words, dated. Investment diary, not advice.

What we said

  • “The worst ten for the year are a short list of chip-design software (Synopsys −16%, Cadence −6%), two optical and mask names (Fabrinet −11%, Photronics −9%), Yaskawa −4%, and then names that are merely flat in a year like this — Qualcomm…”

    Weekly Signal: Rubin Build-Out 100 — Rubin at the Door · 6 Sept 2026

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for AAON, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Versus its index Rubin Build-Out 100 — the name, its sleeve and the index over day, week and month

Versus its index

The name against its Closelooknet index and its own sleeve — equal-weight, nightly closes.

Rubin Build-Out 100 · as of 2026-10-06

DayWeekMonth3 months
AAON+4.4%+3.5%+10.9%−18.4%
Thermal Management+2.4%+3.1%+0.2%—
Rubin Build-Out 100+0.8%+7.0%+11.0%—

Against the index: 3.5 pts behind on the week, 0.1 pts behind on the month; against its Thermal Management sleeve 10.7 pts ahead on the month.

Returns from the index workers’ nightly closes; equal-weight sleeves. A relative reading from the research diary, not advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 3 pieces · newest: Daily Pulse, “AI Hardware — Not One Trade” (2026-10-06)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where AAON appears in the diary — 3 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Long reads

  • Rubin Build-Out 100 — Rubin at the DoorWeekly Signal · 6 Sept 2026The worst ten for the year are a short list of chip-design software (Synopsys −16%, Cadence −6%), two optical and mask names (Fabrinet −11%, Photronics −9%), Yaskawa −4%, and then names that are merely flat in a year like this — Qualcomm…

Dailies

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 61/100 · S&P 500 fund at 75, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-10-06
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 98th percentile of the window, +5.7% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-10-06
  • Sector × region Industrials in US: +1.4% week · −1.8% month · −4.6% quarter · +7.0% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLI.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-10-06
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.74 · up 0.17 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-10-06
How it trades on rate days beta 0.89 to TLT · on the worst bond days it moved with the market

How it trades on rate days

How AAON has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.89 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), AAON Inc moved 0.89% on average · correlation 0.14 · higher than 83% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.84 about the same as over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −0.96% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +2.32% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Building Products & Equipment · 8 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Building Products & Equipment

Names in the same industry from the Closelooknet universe; scored names rank on their Closelooknet score, the rest on trend state.

Compared against AAON on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — AAON Inc

AAON in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
AAON designs and manufactures air conditioning and heating equipment, including rooftop units, data-centre cooling systems and cleanroom equipment, across three segments covering general HVAC, coil products and data-centre-focused cooling. It sells through independent manufacturer representatives and its own sales force to commercial, industrial, medical and data-centre customers across the United States and Canada. It is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
Where it sits in the stack
AAON sits in our Rubin Build-Out 100 (the diary's index of the AI build-out supply chain) without a named layer or sleeve in that sort; it belongs to the Industrials sector of our universe. Its cooling systems for data centres make it a customer of rack density growth rather than a supplier inside the chip-making stages themselves.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group here is Industrials, US — ZTO Express, Nordson, Sunbelt Rentals, Verisk Analytics, Allegheny Technologies, Applied Industrial Technologies, Cintas and LATAM Airlines; the market also names Trane Technologies as a comparable in air conditioning and heating equipment.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
AAON is a Rubin Build-Out 100 constituent and carries a Closelooknet score, with valuation the strongest module and momentum the weakest. The diary named it in a Weekly Signal review of the build-out and again in a Midday 10 as the session's strongest broad-tape gainer during an Industrials bid.
What the diary watches
The diary watches whether data-centre cooling demand can lift momentum back up even as the broader chart stays well below its highs.

AAON Inc (AAON) trades on US exchanges, classified under Industrials. Constituent of Rubin Build-Out 100.

The Closelooknet company score reads 44/100 composite (momentum 20, quality 41, valuation 35) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 0.34%, semi-annual · buybacks 30 m USD in FY2025

Dividends and capital return

What AAON pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 0.30 USD per share · a 0.34% yield on the 2026-10-06 close 3 distributions, paid twice a year 2026-10-06
  • Change on the year 0.0% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 0.30 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.10 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-09-04
  • By calendar year 2023: 0.0800 USD (partial) · 2024: 0.24 USD · 2025: 0.40 USD · 2026: 0.20 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2023-11-28
  • Dividends paid, FY2025 33 m USD 21% of earnings
  • Buybacks, FY2025 30 m USD 0.4% of today's market value
  • Share count −0.6% in FY2025 18 m USD of stock-based compensation in the year
  • Capital returned 63 m USD in a year of negative free cash flow dividends and buybacks together

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-07

Quick answers

What is AAON Inc (AAON)?

AAON Inc trades as AAON on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Industrials in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-10-07.

Is AAON in a Closelooknet index?

Yes — AAON Inc is a constituent of Rubin Build-Out 100, as of 2026-10-07.

What is AAON Inc's Closelooknet composite score?

44 out of 100, with momentum 20, quality 41 and valuation 35 sub-scores, as of 2026-10-07. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

Where does AAON trade against its moving averages?

+1.3% at the close: Holding 43.9% off its 52-week high. As of 2026-10-05 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How is AAON doing against its Closelooknet index?

Over the past month AAON Inc is +10.9% against +11.0% for the Rubin Build-Out 100 — 0.1 points behind its index, as of 2026-10-06. Its Thermal Management sleeve is +0.2% over the same month. The “Versus its index” table on this page carries the day, the week and the month for the name, its sleeve and the index.

How does AAON Inc compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Building Products & Equipment), AAON Inc (AAON) sits 43.9% below its 52-week high, 1.8% above its 50-day average; Carrier Global Corp (CARR) is 27.4% below, Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) is 1.0% below, NIBE Industrier AB (publ) (NIBE-B.ST) is 3.6% below. Put any of them next to AAON in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does AAON Inc trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year AAON Inc had a beta of 0.89 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 83% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −0.96% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

Where has Closelooknet written about AAON Inc?

AAON Inc appears in 3 Closelooknet pieces, most recently Daily Pulse: AI Hardware — Not One Trade (2026-10-06); Weekly Signal: Rubin Build-Out 100 — Rubin at the Door (2026-09-06); Midday 10: In-line core PCE leaves both bond lines standing as the tape flattens into a five-print evening — Nvidia the referee (2026-08-26). What Closelooknet said most recently: The worst ten for the year are a short list of chip-design software (Synopsys −16%, Cadence −6%), two optical and mask names (Fabrinet −11%, Photronics −9%), Yaskawa −4%, and then names that are merely flat in a year like this — Qualcomm… (Weekly Signal, 2026-09-06). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

What does AAON Inc do?

AAON designs and manufactures air conditioning and heating equipment, including rooftop units, data-centre cooling systems and cleanroom equipment, across three segments covering general HVAC, coil products and data-centre-focused cooling. It sells through independent manufacturer representatives and its own sales force to commercial, industrial, medical and data-centre customers across the United States and Canada. It is based in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Closelooknet's peer group here is Industrials, US — ZTO Express, Nordson, Sunbelt Rentals, Verisk Analytics, Allegheny Technologies, Applied Industrial Technologies, Cintas and LATAM Airlines; the market also names Trane Technologies as a comparable in air conditioning and heating equipment.

Where does AAON Inc sit in the AI build-out?

AAON sits in our Rubin Build-Out 100 (the diary's index of the AI build-out supply chain) without a named layer or sleeve in that sort; it belongs to the Industrials sector of our universe. Its cooling systems for data centres make it a customer of rack density growth rather than a supplier inside the chip-making stages themselves. AAON is a Rubin Build-Out 100 constituent and carries a Closelooknet score, with valuation the strongest module and momentum the weakest. The diary named it in a Weekly Signal review of the build-out and again in a Midday 10 as the session's strongest broad-tape gainer during an Industrials bid.

Does AAON Inc pay a dividend?

AAON Inc has paid 0.30 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid twice a year, a trailing yield of 0.34% on the 2026-10-06 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.10 USD on 2026-09-04. In fiscal 2025 the company paid 33 m USD in dividends and bought back 30 m USD of its own shares. The share count fell 0.6% over the fiscal year. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for AAON, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

same Closelooknet index seat first, then Building Products & Equipment. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.