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Closelook@AI Indices · Episode 4

Agentic Winners 40 — Who Gets Paid

10 October 2026 · 0:56 · Thomas Look

Forty companies in four tiers that have to show they gain from AI agents. Down 4% this year but up 36% since the 25 June low — since the June chip high the application leaders are up 50% and the control plane 41%.

Chapters

  1. 0:00 Intro
  2. 0:10 What it holds
  3. 0:20 How it did this year
  4. 0:28 This year by tier
  5. 0:37 Since the June chip high

Transcript

0:00 The builders got paid first. This index tracks who gets paid next.

0:04 Episode 4: Agentic Winners 40 — the applications.

0:10 40 companies in four tiers: megacap gateways, control plane, application leaders and endpoints.

0:15 Each name has to show it gains from AI agents, not just talk about them.

0:20 This year the index is still down 4%.

0:24 But since the 25 June low it is up 36%.

0:28 This year only the megacap gateways are clearly up, +18%.

0:32 The endpoints, the devices, are down 18%.

0:37 Since the June chip high the order flipped: application leaders +50%, control plane +41%.

0:41 The money moved from the chips to the software that uses them.

0:46 Next: HALO — growth AI can’t touch.

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Research diary, not investment advice. Figures as stated in the video, to the date shown.