—

Divergence Watch

Market Breadth — Records on a Thin Base

10 October 2026 · 1:00 · Thomas Look

20 of 26 divergences are active, 20 pointing down — risk score 64 of 100 (mega-cap concentration warning). Strongest: Nasdaq breadth. In the last month the Nasdaq 100 rose 6.0%, the equal-weight Nasdaq rose 3.7%.

Chapters

  1. 0:00 Intro
  2. 0:10 The risk score
  3. 0:20 The strongest divergences
  4. 0:30 The chart
  5. 0:44 How it could resolve

Transcript

0:00 20 of 26 warning lights are on. 20 point down, 0 point up.

0:04 Divergence Watch: where the market’s surface and its foundation disagree.

0:10 Our scanner compares 26 pairs of markets that usually move together. Risk score this week: 64 of 100.

0:15 The reading: mega-cap concentration warning.

0:20 Strongest: Nasdaq breadth — 85 of 100, 15 days running.

0:25 Next: Small-cap (82) and Breadth-momentum (82).

0:30 In the last month the Nasdaq 100 rose 6.0%, the equal-weight Nasdaq rose 3.7%.

0:37 The Nasdaq 100 made its high on 6 October. The equal-weight Nasdaq is still 2.2% below its August high.

0:44 If it resolves up: Nasdaq participation broadens.

0:48 If it resolves down: Nasdaq 100 fades after equal-weight deteriorated.

More videos

Research diary, not investment advice. Figures as stated in the video, to the date shown.