—
C+
C+ The full Closelooknet — membership. Open the C+ overview

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

The Closelooknet read

ZTO Express moves parcels and freight across China, running express delivery alongside less-than-truckload freight services, warehousing and distribution contracts, and freight forwarding. It was founded in 2002, is based in Shanghai, and listed in New York in 2016.

Detail below: the desk's view, the earnings record, peers and the company snapshot; daily prices on the price-history tab. Agents can buy the score depth per call over HTTP 402 — see the catalogue. Research diary readings, not advice.

Pick a ticker to load its detail page.

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for ZTO, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 47/100 · S&P 500 fund at 48, above its 200-day averageEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-11-06
  • Factor regime Defensive rotation — low-vol leading, regime-change watchMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): below its 50-day trend, 60th percentile of the window, -22.8% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-11-06
  • Sector × region Industrials in US: −2.8% week · −3.4% month · −11.6% quarter · −4.6% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLI.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-11-07
  • Sovereign pressure Index -1.91 · down 2.45 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-11-06
How it trades on rate days beta −0.12 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How ZTO has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year −0.12 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc moved −0.12% on average · correlation −0.05 · higher than 7% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months −0.18 about the same as over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −0.31% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days −0.71% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Integrated Freight & Logistics · US · 6 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · US

Names in the same industry from the Closelooknet universe; scored names rank on their Closelooknet score, the rest on trend state.

Compared against ZTO on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

ZTO in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
ZTO Express moves parcels and freight across China, running express delivery alongside less-than-truckload freight services, warehousing and distribution contracts, and freight forwarding. It was founded in 2002, is based in Shanghai, and listed in New York in 2016. Its customers are the merchants and manufacturers who need goods carried and stored across the country.
Where it sits in the stack
ZTO carries no seat in Rubin or Halo, our indices for the AI build-out; it sits instead in the Industrials sleeve of the diary's broader universe, grouped by sector and country rather than by any build-out layer.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group for ZTO groups it with other US-listed Industrials names by sector and country, among them Cintas, Copart and Verisk Analytics; the market also names China's other listed couriers, such as SF Holding, as a direct comparison.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
ZTO carries a Closelooknet score with valuation as its strongest module and momentum its weakest; it holds no seat in our indices and has not yet drawn a mention in the diary's editions.
What the diary watches
Whether the recent slide against its 50-day and 200-day averages steadies, since a score built on strong valuation but weak momentum can flip either way as price moves catch up with it.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) trades on US exchanges, classified under Industrials.

The Closelooknet company score reads 62/100 composite (momentum 31, quality 55, valuation 85) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 1 analyst action on the wire · latest: price target by Goldman Sachs, 2026-10-14

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for ZTO from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Goldman Sachs — target 22 Target set to $22 (+8.1% to spot) 2026-10-14

1 action on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 target change. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 1.88%, annual · buybacks 1.25 bn USD in FY2025

Dividends and capital return

What ZTO pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 0.39 USD per share · a 1.88% yield on the 2026-11-06 close 1 distribution, paid once a year 2026-11-06
  • Change on the year −40.0% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 0.65 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.39 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-04-08
  • By calendar year 2025: 0.65 USD (partial) · 2026: 0.39 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2025-04-10
  • Dividends paid, FY2025 3.76 bn USD 6% of earnings
  • Buybacks, FY2025 1.25 bn USD 8.3% of today's market value
  • Share count −2.1% in FY2025 229 m USD of stock-based compensation in the year
  • Capital returned 5.01 bn USD · 85% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-11-07

Quick answers

What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc trades as ZTO on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Industrials in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-11-07.

Is ZTO in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-11-07.

What is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc's Closelooknet composite score?

62 out of 100, with momentum 31, quality 55 and valuation 85 sub-scores, as of 2026-11-07. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

Where does ZTO trade against its moving averages?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc trades 2.8% above its 50-day and 8.5% below its 200-day moving average (2.9% above its 20-day). As of 2026-11-06 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Integrated Freight & Logistics · US), ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO) sits 19.9% below its 52-week high, 2.8% above its 50-day average; Serve Robotics Inc. Common Stock (SERV) is 80.0% below, Cryoport Inc (CYRX) is 2.2% below, United Parcel Service Inc (UPS) is 10.3% below, as of 2026-11-06. Put any of them next to ZTO in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc had a beta of −0.12 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 7% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −0.31% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. As of 2026-11-06; The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc do?

ZTO Express moves parcels and freight across China, running express delivery alongside less-than-truckload freight services, warehousing and distribution contracts, and freight forwarding. It was founded in 2002, is based in Shanghai, and listed in New York in 2016. Its customers are the merchants and manufacturers who need goods carried and stored across the country. Closelooknet's peer group for ZTO groups it with other US-listed Industrials names by sector and country, among them Cintas, Copart and Verisk Analytics; the market also names China's other listed couriers, such as SF Holding, as a direct comparison. (Company snapshot of 2026-09-17.)

Where does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc sit in the AI build-out?

ZTO carries no seat in Rubin or Halo, our indices for the AI build-out; it sits instead in the Industrials sleeve of the diary's broader universe, grouped by sector and country rather than by any build-out layer. ZTO carries a Closelooknet score with valuation as its strongest module and momentum its weakest; it holds no seat in our indices and has not yet drawn a mention in the diary's editions. (Company snapshot of 2026-09-17.)

Does ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc pay a dividend?

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc has paid 0.39 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid once a year, a trailing yield of 1.88% on the 2026-11-06 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.39 USD on 2026-04-08. In fiscal 2025 the company paid 3.76 bn USD in dividends and bought back 1.25 bn USD of its own shares, 85% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count fell 2.1% over the fiscal year. As of 2026-11-06; the "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc recently?

The most recent analyst action on ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Goldman Sachs on 2026-10-14 (target 22). 1 action on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 target change. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for ZTO, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

How to use this chart

Toolbar

  • Range — 1M to MAX on daily closes. 1D/5D switch a US stock cell to 5-minute intraday bars; index and foreign cells fall back to 1M daily with a note.
  • Grid — 1×1 up to 2×2. Cells are synchronized: pan or zoom one and the others follow the same dates; the crosshair tracks across all of them. 4 INDICES loads Rubin · HALO · AEI · AW40 side by side.
  • Type / Scale — OHLC, line or area; linear or log price axis.

Picking a series

  • Tap the box in a cell's header to browse every Closelooknet series — headline indices, sub-indices, sectors, layers of all six families — plus the constituents.
  • Or type any ticker (NVDA, 7203.T, ASML.AS …) and press Enter — it charts in the cell straight from our data lake.

Studies

  • Overlays / Oscillators rows toggle the standard set (SMA, Bollinger, RSI, MACD …) per cell.
  • Levels (stock cells) draws the structure engine's support lines — regression bands, pivot cluster, SMA-200, the active fib zone.

Drawing

  • Tap a tool (Trend, Ray, H-Line, Fib, Channel, Rect, Note), then tap the chart once per point — the shape follows your finger or cursor between taps. The chart stops panning while a tool is armed; tap the tool again to release.
  • Drawings save per symbol in this browser and travel between the terminal and the asset page.
  • Delete key removes the selected drawing · Escape cancels a half-placed one · Clear wipes the symbol.

Wave counts

  • Wave places an Elliott count: tap the origin, then each wave end. Press Enter to stop early (inside wave 3 is fine) — dotted ghost targets sketch the remaining waves at guideline ratios.
  • On stocks the scanner's machine count appears automatically in grey — it is fully editable: drag any point, double-tap a label to remove it, Delete to dismiss it for good, Adopt to bring the machine's proposal back.
  • The sequence picker switches 1-5 / A-B-C / A-E / W-X-Y-Z; 1 2 3 cycles the degree; Subdiv starts a one-degree-smaller child count inside a wave.

Sharing

  • Card exports the cell as a branded PNG — chart, drawings and levels exactly as shown.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Integrated Freight & Logistics. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.