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Vale SA ADR (VALE) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

The Closelooknet read

Vale mines and processes iron ore and nickel, alongside copper, gold, silver, cobalt and other base metals, through its Iron Ore Solutions and Vale Base Metals segments. It runs the railways, ports and ships that move this output from mines in Brazil and elsewhere to buyers worldwide, and it also generates its own hydro, solar and wind power.

Detail below: the desk's view, the earnings record, peers and the company snapshot; daily prices on the price-history tab. Agents can buy the score depth per call over HTTP 402 — see the catalogue. Research diary readings, not advice.

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The desk on VALE

What this diary said about Vale SA ADR, what it holds and what would change its view — in its own words, dated. Investment diary, not advice.

What we said

  • “One rung out sit the diversified majors — BHP and Rio Tinto in the mid-teens, while Vale at −1.6% is the laggard that tells you iron ore and the China question have not joined the party.”

    Daily Pulse: Three Ladders: Gold, Crypto, Materials · 24 Aug 2026

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for VALE, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 1 piece · newest: Daily Pulse, “Three Ladders: Gold, Crypto, Materials” (2026-08-24)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where VALE appears in the diary — 1 piece, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Dailies

  • Three Ladders: Gold, Crypto, MaterialsDaily Pulse · 24 Aug 2026One rung out sit the diversified majors — BHP and Rio Tinto in the mid-teens, while Vale at −1.6% is the laggard that tells you iron ore and the China question have not joined the party.
Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 45/100 · S&P 500 fund at 49, above its 200-day averageEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-11-03
  • Factor regime Defensive rotation — low-vol leading, regime-change watchMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): below its 50-day trend, 76th percentile of the window, -20.6% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-11-02
  • Sector × region Materials in US: +1.6% week · +6.2% month · +0.4% quarter · +2.2% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLB.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-11-03
  • Sovereign pressure Index -1.63 · down 2.22 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-11-02
How it trades on rate days beta 0.43 to TLT · on the worst bond days it fell more than the market

How it trades on rate days

How VALE has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.43 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Vale SA ADR moved 0.43% on average · correlation 0.12 · higher than 36% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months −0.11 less rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −1.04% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days −1.88% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Other Industrial Metals & Mining · US · 8 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · US

Names in the same industry from the Closelooknet universe; scored names rank on their Closelooknet score, the rest on trend state.

Compared against VALE on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Vale SA ADR

VALE in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Vale mines and processes iron ore and nickel, alongside copper, gold, silver, cobalt and other base metals, through its Iron Ore Solutions and Vale Base Metals segments. It runs the railways, ports and ships that move this output from mines in Brazil and elsewhere to buyers worldwide, and it also generates its own hydro, solar and wind power. It is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro and trades in New York as an ADR.
Where it sits in the stack
Vale sits outside the diary's index universe; it belongs to the Basic Materials sector within the diorama of scored miners the diary tracks alongside gold and diversified names, rather than any layer of the AI build-out.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group places it with gold miners scored in the same sector and country — AngloGold Ashanti, Gold Fields, Kinross Gold, Barrick, IAMGold, Agnico Eagle, Harmony Gold and Pan American Silver — a grouping built on sector match rather than what they actually dig up; the market's own comparison is with Rio Tinto.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Vale carries a Closelooknet score, strongest on valuation and weakest on momentum, and the diary's Daily Pulse named it the laggard in a three-way materials comparison against the diversified majors.
What the diary watches
Whether iron ore prices and Chinese demand turn, since the diary has flagged that question as the gap between Vale and the diversified majors it sits beside.

Vale SA ADR (VALE) trades on US exchanges, classified under Basic Materials.

The Closelooknet company score reads 43/100 composite (momentum 18, quality 49, valuation 69) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 2 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Deutsche Bank, 2026-10-16

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for VALE from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Deutsche Bank — target 15 from 16.5 Target cut to $15 from $16.5 (+13.6% to spot) 2026-10-16
  • Price target Morgan Stanley — target 15.5 from 16.5 Target cut to $15.5 from $16.5 (+13.3% to spot) 2026-10-07

2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 9.51%, semi-annual · last 0.40 USD on 2026-08-13

Dividends and capital return

What VALE pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 1.08 USD per share · a 9.51% yield on the 2026-11-02 close 2 distributions, paid twice a year 2026-11-02
  • Change on the year +49.7% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 0.72 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.40 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-08-13
  • By calendar year 2025: 1.40 USD (partial) · 2026: 0.40 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2025-03-10
  • Dividends paid, FY2025 3.57 bn USD 6% of earnings
  • Buybacks, FY2025 none reported
  • Share count +0.1% in FY2025
  • Capital returned 3.57 bn USD · 117% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-11-03

Quick answers

What is Vale SA ADR (VALE)?

Vale SA ADR trades as VALE on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Basic Materials in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-11-03.

Is VALE in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Vale SA ADR is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-11-03.

What is Vale SA ADR's Closelooknet composite score?

43 out of 100, with momentum 18, quality 49 and valuation 69 sub-scores, as of 2026-11-03. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

Where does VALE trade against its moving averages?

Vale SA ADR trades 17.9% below its 50-day and 24.0% below its 200-day moving average (10.6% below its 20-day). As of 2026-11-02 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Vale SA ADR compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Other Industrial Metals & Mining · US), Vale SA ADR (VALE) sits 35.0% below its 52-week high, 17.9% below its 50-day average; Lithium Americas Corp (LAC) is 71.8% below, MP Materials Corp (MP) is 60.5% below, Materion Corporation (MTRN) is 33.3% below, as of 2026-11-02. Put any of them next to VALE in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does Vale SA ADR trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Vale SA ADR had a beta of 0.43 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 36% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −1.04% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. As of 2026-11-02; The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

Where has Closelooknet written about Vale SA ADR?

Vale SA ADR appears in 1 Closelooknet piece as of 2026-11-03, most recently Daily Pulse: Three Ladders: Gold, Crypto, Materials (2026-08-24). What Closelooknet said most recently: One rung out sit the diversified majors — BHP and Rio Tinto in the mid-teens, while Vale at −1.6% is the laggard that tells you iron ore and the China question have not joined the party. (Daily Pulse, 2026-08-24). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

What does Vale SA ADR do?

Vale mines and processes iron ore and nickel, alongside copper, gold, silver, cobalt and other base metals, through its Iron Ore Solutions and Vale Base Metals segments. It runs the railways, ports and ships that move this output from mines in Brazil and elsewhere to buyers worldwide, and it also generates its own hydro, solar and wind power. It is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro and trades in New York as an ADR. Closelooknet's peer group places it with gold miners scored in the same sector and country — AngloGold Ashanti, Gold Fields, Kinross Gold, Barrick, IAMGold, Agnico Eagle, Harmony Gold and Pan American Silver — a grouping built on sector match rather than what they actually dig up; the market's own comparison is with Rio Tinto. (Company snapshot of 2026-09-17.)

Where does Vale SA ADR sit in the AI build-out?

Vale sits outside the diary's index universe; it belongs to the Basic Materials sector within the diorama of scored miners the diary tracks alongside gold and diversified names, rather than any layer of the AI build-out. Vale carries a Closelooknet score, strongest on valuation and weakest on momentum, and the diary's Daily Pulse named it the laggard in a three-way materials comparison against the diversified majors. (Company snapshot of 2026-09-17.)

Does Vale SA ADR pay a dividend?

Vale SA ADR has paid 1.08 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid twice a year, a trailing yield of 9.51% on the 2026-11-02 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.40 USD on 2026-08-13. In fiscal 2025 the company paid 3.57 bn USD in dividends, 117% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count rose 0.1% over the fiscal year. As of 2026-11-02; the "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Vale SA ADR recently?

The most recent analyst action on Vale SA ADR on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Deutsche Bank on 2026-10-16 (target 15 from 16.5). 2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for VALE, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

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Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Other Industrial Metals & Mining. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.