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Chips · Stock report · NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA)

NVIDIA — fell more than 3% after six of ten reports despite ten beats; 73rd of 85 chip stocks this month

· data as of October 6, 2026 close · Closelooknet research diary

6 of 10reports followed by a fall of more than 3%
73 of 85rank in our chip section, 1 month

The Closelooknet read

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) has beaten earnings and revenue estimates in all ten reports on our Print Record, yet it fell by more than 3% in the three sessions after six of them and rose by more than 3% after only two. The other two stayed within 3%. On average it moved 9.2% in either direction in the three sessions after each report. Over the past month it ranks 73rd of the 85 stocks in our chip section, even as it closed at a new 52-week high. What we watch: whether the next report lifts the gross margin above the 75.0% and 74.9% of the last two quarters, or leaves it on that line.

Where NVIDIA stands among 85 chip stocks

NVIDIA gained 3.85% over the month, 73rd of the 85 chip stocks we track. Peers moved faster: AMD (AMD) rose 35.98% and Global Unichip (GUC) 44.4%, while Broadcom (AVGO) gained 5% and Qualcomm (QCOM) 7.28%. AMD closed 2.45% from its 2 October high and Global Unichip 2.62% from its 5 October high. Broadcom sits 21.96% and Qualcomm 27.88% below their 52-week highs. NVIDIA closed at a new 52-week high, 0.14% above the previous high of $238.90 set on 5 October.

Our money-flow and quality readings

Our money-flow reading (a gauge of net buying pressure) for NVIDIA stands at 28.4 and is accelerating up: it gained 1.6 points over five sessions and 3.7 over the past month. The composite score is 67 of 100. Quality scores 95, balance sheet 89, growth 87 and momentum 83. The weaker marks are valuation at 36, capital allocation at 48 and cash quality at 19. The Piotroski score, a check of financial health, is scored 4 of 9.

What the Print Record shows

The last four reactions in the three sessions after each report were all negative: -6% in August 2025, -2.1% in November 2025, -6.7% in February 2026 and -3.9% in May 2026, each after an earnings and revenue beat. The street carries EPS of $2.09 and revenue of $91.7 billion into the next report. Our earnings-record note ties the pattern to gross margin: it peaked at 78% and has since settled at 75.0% and 74.9%.

Price trend and the Street

NVIDIA closed at $239.24, up 28.3% this year and 27.5% over twelve months. It trades 8.9% above its 50-day average of $219.77 and 18.8% above the average close of the last 200 sessions, $201.36. Its typical daily swing is about 2.4%. The analysts' average target is $339, 42% above the last close, with 60 buy, 16 hold and 3 sell ratings.

Closelooknet is a research diary. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-06

NVDA — quick answers

How does NVIDIA stock usually react to earnings?

On our Print Record, NVIDIA moved 9.2% on average in either direction in the three sessions after each of its last ten reports. It fell more than 3% six times and rose more than 3% twice, despite ten earnings beats.

Is NVIDIA at a 52-week high?

Yes. It closed at $239.24 on 6 October, just above its previous 52-week closing high of $238.90 from 5 October. Over the past month it still ranks 73rd of the 85 stocks in our chip section.

What do analysts expect from NVIDIA's next report?

The street carries EPS of $2.09 and revenue of $91.7 billion. Analysts' average target is $339.