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Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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Charts from the desk on CRCL

The charts this diary drew or picked on Circle Internet Group, Inc., as published — each dated and linked to the piece that explains it.

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for CRCL, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 2 pieces · newest: Daily Pulse, “Bitcoin and Gold — The Has-Been Breaks Out, the Darling Rolls Over” (2026-09-21)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where CRCL appears in the diary — 2 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Long reads

Dailies

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 62/100 · S&P 500 fund at 67, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-25
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 99th percentile of the window, +8.4% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-25
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.61 · up 0.29 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-09-25
How it trades on rate days beta 1.15 to TLT · on the worst bond days it fell more than the market

How it trades on rate days

How CRCL has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 1.15 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Circle Internet Group, Inc. moved 1.15% on average · correlation 0.11 · higher than 91% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 3.23 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −5.34% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +1.40% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Capital Markets · US · 8 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Capital Markets · US

This name carries no Closelooknet score, so its cohort ranks on trend state — distance to the 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score it does not have.

Compared against CRCL on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Circle Internet Group, Inc.

CRCL in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Circle runs the infrastructure behind the USDC stablecoin, covering the tokens themselves, custody and reserve services, a payments network for moving them, and an open blockchain built to carry that activity. It also issues EURC and works with tokenised funds through the same rails. The company floated in 2025 and is based in New York.
Where it sits in the stack
Circle sits outside our Rubin index, which tracks the AI hardware build-out; it belongs instead to the stablecoin and digital-payments corner of the wider universe closelook.net follows alongside chip and infrastructure names.
Who it is priced against
There is no peer group recorded for Circle in our data yet; the comparison the market draws most often is with Tether, the other large stablecoin issuer, on reserve backing and network reach.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Circle holds no seat in our index and carries no Closelooknet score yet, so neither module strength nor weakness can be read from it; the diary logs its chart structure and analyst-rating shifts as they come in.
What the diary watches
Whether USDC's share of stablecoin volume holds up against Tether and newer issuers, which would be the clearest sign of network strength or erosion.

Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL) trades on US exchanges.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 3 analyst actions on the wire · latest: upgrade by Compass Point, 2026-09-15

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for CRCL from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Upgrade Compass Point — Neutral → Buy Upgraded to Buy from Neutral 2026-09-15
  • Price target Goldman Sachs — target 81 from 71 Target raised to $81 from $71 (-7.7% to spot) 2026-08-25
  • Price target Wolfe Research — target 65 from 50 Target raised to $65 from $50 (-25.9% to spot) 2026-08-25

3 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 upgrade, 2 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-26

Quick answers

What is Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL)?

Circle Internet Group, Inc. trades as CRCL on the US exchange (US) in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-09-26.

Is CRCL in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Circle Internet Group, Inc. is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-09-26.

Where does CRCL trade against its moving averages?

Recovery attempt under the 200-day: Trades +11.8% vs the 50-day and +3.4% vs the 200-day average, 44.2% below the 52-week high and +78.4% off the 52-week low; a death cross printed 62 sessions ago. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-09-25 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Circle Internet Group, Inc. trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Circle Internet Group, Inc. had a beta of 1.15 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 91% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −5.34% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

Where has Closelooknet written about Circle Internet Group, Inc.?

Circle Internet Group, Inc. appears in 2 Closelooknet pieces, most recently Daily Pulse: Bitcoin and Gold — The Has-Been Breaks Out, the Darling Rolls Over (2026-09-21); Weekly Signal: Bitcoin — New Life for the Coins and the Stocks (2026-09-20). What Closelooknet said most recently: Friday's closes from the Closelook data lake: Table as text Name Friday close Friday Strategy (MSTR) 153.92 +16.4% Marathon (MARA) 13.24 +13.8% Coinbase (COIN) 194.25 +11.7% Robinhood (HOOD) 119.82 +9.1% Riot (RIOT) 23.75 +8.6% Hut 8… (Daily Pulse, 2026-09-21). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

What does Circle Internet Group, Inc. do?

Circle runs the infrastructure behind the USDC stablecoin, covering the tokens themselves, custody and reserve services, a payments network for moving them, and an open blockchain built to carry that activity. It also issues EURC and works with tokenised funds through the same rails. The company floated in 2025 and is based in New York. There is no peer group recorded for Circle in our data yet; the comparison the market draws most often is with Tether, the other large stablecoin issuer, on reserve backing and network reach.

Where does Circle Internet Group, Inc. sit in the AI build-out?

Circle sits outside our Rubin index, which tracks the AI hardware build-out; it belongs instead to the stablecoin and digital-payments corner of the wider universe closelook.net follows alongside chip and infrastructure names. Circle holds no seat in our index and carries no Closelooknet score yet, so neither module strength nor weakness can be read from it; the diary logs its chart structure and analyst-rating shifts as they come in.

What has Wall Street done on Circle Internet Group, Inc. recently?

The most recent analyst action on Circle Internet Group, Inc. on the Closelooknet wire is a upgrade by Compass Point on 2026-09-15 (Neutral → Buy). 3 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 upgrade, 2 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for CRCL, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Capital Markets. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.