—
C+
C+ The full Closelooknet — membership. Open the C+ overview

Warner Music Group (WMG) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

Pick a ticker to load its detail page.

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for WMG, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 57/100 · S&P 500 fund at 71, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-10-09
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 94th percentile of the window, +5.0% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-10-12
  • Sector × region Communication services in US: +0.1% week · −0.7% month · −0.8% quarter · −0.4% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLC.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-10-11
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.04 · down 0.71 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-10-09
How it trades on rate days beta 0.35 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How WMG has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.35 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Warner Music Group moved 0.35% on average · correlation 0.10 · higher than 33% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.59 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days +0.23% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +0.48% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Entertainment · US · 6 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Entertainment · US

Names in the same industry from the Closelooknet universe; scored names rank on their Closelooknet score, the rest on trend state.

Compared against WMG on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Warner Music Group

WMG in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Warner Music Group finds and develops recording artists, then markets, promotes, distributes and licenses their music worldwide through its Recorded Music segment. Its Music Publishing arm owns and administers a large catalogue of songs and scores, licensing them for use in film, television and other media. It operates through a group of record labels and works with retailers, streaming platforms and download services to get music to listeners. The company is headquartered in New York.
Where it sits in the stack
Warner Music Group has no seat in Closelooknet's index; it sits in our Communication Services sleeve, grouped by sector and country rather than by any build-out layer.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group places it with other Communication Services names from the same country, including Meta Platforms, Alphabet, NetEase and Reddit; the market's other music-rights comparison is Universal Music Group.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
It carries a Closelooknet score, with valuation reading as the strongest module and momentum as the weakest; it holds no index seat and has not yet drawn a mention in the diary's editions.
What the diary watches
Whether the balance-sheet and momentum readings recover, and whether streaming and catalogue licensing income shifts the score's weaker modules.

Warner Music Group (WMG) trades on US exchanges, classified under Communication Services.

The Closelooknet company score reads 50/100 composite (momentum 47, quality 62, valuation 59) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 1 analyst action on the wire · latest: price target by UBS, 2026-10-01

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for WMG from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target UBS — target 43 from 42 Target raised to $43 from $42 (+55.5% to spot) 2026-10-01

1 action on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 target change. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 2.69%, quarterly · buybacks 16 m USD in FY2025

Dividends and capital return

What WMG pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 0.77 USD per share · a 2.69% yield on the 2026-10-12 close 4 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-10-12
  • Change on the year +40.1% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 0.55 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.20 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-08-20
  • By calendar year 2025: 0.74 USD (partial) · 2026: 0.58 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2025-02-24
  • Dividends paid, FY2025 383 m USD 41% of earnings
  • Buybacks, FY2025 16 m USD 0.1% of today's market value
  • Share count +0.3% in FY2025 54 m USD of stock-based compensation in the year
  • Capital returned 399 m USD · 74% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-13

Quick answers

What is Warner Music Group (WMG)?

Warner Music Group trades as WMG on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Communication Services in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-10-13.

Is WMG in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Warner Music Group is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-10-13.

What is Warner Music Group's Closelooknet composite score?

50 out of 100, with momentum 47, quality 62 and valuation 59 sub-scores, as of 2026-10-13. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

Where does WMG trade against its moving averages?

Recovery attempt under the 200-day: Trades +4.6% vs the 50-day and +1.3% vs the 200-day average, 18.1% below the 52-week high and +24.3% off the 52-week low; a death cross printed 51 sessions ago. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-10-12 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Warner Music Group compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Entertainment · US), Warner Music Group (WMG) sits 18.1% below its 52-week high, 4.6% above its 50-day average; Netflix Inc (NFLX) is 39.0% below, Liberty Media Corporation Series A Liberty Formula One Common Stock (FWONA) is 12.9% below, Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group Common Stock (LLYVA) is 11.2% below. Put any of them next to WMG in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does Warner Music Group trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Warner Music Group had a beta of 0.35 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 33% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved +0.23% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does Warner Music Group do?

Warner Music Group finds and develops recording artists, then markets, promotes, distributes and licenses their music worldwide through its Recorded Music segment. Its Music Publishing arm owns and administers a large catalogue of songs and scores, licensing them for use in film, television and other media. It operates through a group of record labels and works with retailers, streaming platforms and download services to get music to listeners. Closelooknet's peer group places it with other Communication Services names from the same country, including Meta Platforms, Alphabet, NetEase and Reddit; the market's other music-rights comparison is Universal Music Group.

Where does Warner Music Group sit in the AI build-out?

Warner Music Group has no seat in Closelooknet's index; it sits in our Communication Services sleeve, grouped by sector and country rather than by any build-out layer. It carries a Closelooknet score, with valuation reading as the strongest module and momentum as the weakest; it holds no index seat and has not yet drawn a mention in the diary's editions.

Does Warner Music Group pay a dividend?

Warner Music Group has paid 0.77 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 2.69% on the 2026-10-12 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.20 USD on 2026-08-20. In fiscal 2025 the company paid 383 m USD in dividends and bought back 16 m USD of its own shares, 74% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count rose 0.3% over the fiscal year. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Warner Music Group recently?

The most recent analyst action on Warner Music Group on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by UBS on 2026-10-01 (target 43 from 42). 1 action on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 target change. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for WMG, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Entertainment. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.