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Vistra Corp. (VST) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

The Closelooknet read

Vistra runs retail electricity and gas supply alongside power generation across several US regions, organised into Retail, Texas, East, West and Asset Closure units. Its plants burn natural gas and coal, run nuclear reactors, and operate solar and battery storage, selling into wholesale markets as well as to households and businesses.

Detail below: the desk's view, the earnings record, peers and the company snapshot; daily prices on the price-history tab. Research diary readings, not advice.

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Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for VST, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 9 pieces · newest: Midday 10, “AI Builders — Chips Bounce 4%, AMD Jumps 10% and IREN 20% After a Strong Jobs Report” (2026-11-06)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where VST appears in the diary — 9 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

101 and glossary

Dailies

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 47/100 · S&P 500 fund at 48, above its 200-day averageEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-11-06
  • Factor regime Defensive rotation — low-vol leading, regime-change watchMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): below its 50-day trend, 60th percentile of the window, -22.8% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-11-06
  • Sovereign pressure Index -2.05 · down 2.95 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-11-05
How it trades on rate days beta 0.71 to TLT · on the worst bond days it fell more than the market

How it trades on rate days

How VST has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.71 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Vistra Corp. moved 0.71% on average · correlation 0.13 · higher than 67% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months −0.69 less rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −3.69% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days −0.02% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 8 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Utilities - Independent Power Producers

This name carries no Closelooknet score, so its cohort ranks on trend state — distance to the 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score it does not have.

Compared against VST on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Vistra Corp.

VST in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Vistra runs retail electricity and gas supply alongside power generation across several US regions, organised into Retail, Texas, East, West and Asset Closure units. Its plants burn natural gas and coal, run nuclear reactors, and operate solar and battery storage, selling into wholesale markets as well as to households and businesses. The company also decommissions retired plants and mines it no longer needs. It is based in Irving, Texas.
Where it sits in the stack
Vistra carries no seat in our index; it sits in the Utilities sector as an independent power producer, the sleeve of the wider AI build-out watch that supplies the electricity data centres draw on. It is a constraint on the build-out because new AI capacity needs reliable power before chips can run, and hyperscalers are turning to existing generators like Vistra for that supply.
Who it is priced against
The diary's format piece on power grouped Vistra with other generation names courted by hyperscaler demand — Constellation Energy, NuScale, Oklo and Calpine — and the market also names NRG Energy in the same group of power producers.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Vistra sits in the S&P 500 and has been quoted once in the diary, in a piece on electricity as a limiter for AI build-out; it does not carry a Closelooknet score.
What the diary watches
Whether hyperscaler demand for steady power keeps pulling utilities like Vistra into the AI story, and whether its generation mix can expand fast enough to meet that demand.

Vistra Corp. (VST) trades on US exchanges.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 4 analyst actions on the wire · latest: downgrade by KeyBanc, 2026-11-04

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for VST from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Downgrade KeyBanc — Overweight → Sector Weight Downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight 2026-11-04
  • Price target Raymond James — target 176 from 182 Target cut to $176 from $182 (+13.6% to spot) 2026-10-21
  • Initiation CIBC — at Outperform Initiated to Outperform 2026-10-15

4 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 downgrade, 1 initiation, 2 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 0.81%, quarterly · last 0.23 USD on 2026-09-21

Dividends and capital return

What VST pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 0.91 USD per share · a 0.81% yield on the 2026-11-05 close 4 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-11-05
  • Change on the year +1.3% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 0.90 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.23 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-09-21
  • By calendar year 2023: 0.21 USD (partial) · 2024: 0.88 USD · 2025: 0.90 USD · 2026: 0.68 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2023-12-19

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-11-06

Quick answers

What is Vistra Corp. (VST)?

Vistra Corp. trades as VST on the US exchange (United States) in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-11-06.

Is VST in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Vistra Corp. is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-11-06.

Where does VST trade against its moving averages?

Vistra Corp. trades 21.7% below its 50-day and 26.1% below its 200-day moving average (22.0% below its 20-day). As of 2026-11-05 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Vistra Corp. compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Utilities - Independent Power Producers), Vistra Corp. (VST) sits 42.5% below its 52-week high, 21.7% below its 50-day average; Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) is 29.7% below, Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) is 62.1% below, Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co Ltd (600674.SHG) is 5.5% below, as of 2026-11-05. Put any of them next to VST in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does Vistra Corp. trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Vistra Corp. had a beta of 0.71 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 67% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −3.69% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. As of 2026-11-05; The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

Where has Closelooknet written about Vistra Corp.?

Vistra Corp. appears in 9 Closelooknet pieces as of 2026-11-06, most recently Midday 10: AI Builders — Chips Bounce 4%, AMD Jumps 10% and IREN 20% After a Strong Jobs Report (2026-11-06); Midday 10: AI Build-Out — Chip Stocks Sink 8%, Nasdaq Drops 4% and the Fear Gauge Jumps 43% (2026-11-05); Midday 10: Midterms — Dow Jumps 2.3% and Apple Hits a Record; Data-Center Power Stocks Sink Up to 15% (2026-11-04). What Closelooknet said most recently: The connection and power names follow: Coherent rises 13.0%, Vistra 9.9%, Vertiv 3.9%. (Midday 10, 2026-11-06). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

What does Vistra Corp. do?

Vistra runs retail electricity and gas supply alongside power generation across several US regions, organised into Retail, Texas, East, West and Asset Closure units. Its plants burn natural gas and coal, run nuclear reactors, and operate solar and battery storage, selling into wholesale markets as well as to households and businesses. The company also decommissions retired plants and mines it no longer needs. The diary's format piece on power grouped Vistra with other generation names courted by hyperscaler demand — Constellation Energy, NuScale, Oklo and Calpine — and the market also names NRG Energy in the same group of power producers. (Company snapshot of 2026-09-17.)

Where does Vistra Corp. sit in the AI build-out?

Vistra carries no seat in our index; it sits in the Utilities sector as an independent power producer, the sleeve of the wider AI build-out watch that supplies the electricity data centres draw on. It is a constraint on the build-out because new AI capacity needs reliable power before chips can run, and hyperscalers are turning to existing generators like Vistra for that supply. Vistra sits in the S&P 500 and has been quoted once in the diary, in a piece on electricity as a limiter for AI build-out; it does not carry a Closelooknet score. (Company snapshot of 2026-09-17.)

Does Vistra Corp. pay a dividend?

Vistra Corp. has paid 0.91 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 0.81% on the 2026-11-05 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.23 USD on 2026-09-21. As of 2026-11-05; the "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Vistra Corp. recently?

The most recent analyst action on Vistra Corp. on the Closelooknet wire is a downgrade by KeyBanc on 2026-11-04 (Overweight → Sector Weight). 4 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 downgrade, 1 initiation, 2 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for VST, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

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Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Utilities - Independent Power Producers, then Utilities. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.