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Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for MPC, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 62/100 · S&P 500 fund at 67, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-25
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 99th percentile of the window, +8.4% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-25
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.61 · up 0.29 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-09-25
How it trades on rate days beta −1.02 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How MPC has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year −1.02 — moves strongly against bonds for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Marathon Petroleum Corp moved −1.02% on average · correlation −0.27 · higher than 2% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months −0.45 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days +0.54% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +0.66% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · US · 4 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · US

This name carries no Closelooknet score, so its cohort ranks on trend state — distance to the 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score it does not have.

Compared against MPC on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Marathon Petroleum Corp

MPC in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Marathon Petroleum runs a US downstream energy business split into refining and marketing, midstream, and renewable diesel. It turns crude and other feedstocks into fuels such as petrol and heavy fuel oil, plus propane and petrochemicals, sold through wholesale, spot and branded outlets including ARCO. Its midstream arm moves and stores crude, refined products and natural gas liquids through pipelines, terminals and barges, while its renewable diesel unit converts feedstocks into diesel sold through the same distribution network. It is based in Findlay, Ohio.
Where it sits in the stack
Marathon Petroleum sits outside our AI build-out framework; it belongs to the energy sector, in the oil and gas refining and marketing industry within the broader universe the diary follows.
Who it is priced against
The diary has no assigned peer group for this name; the market usually compares it with other large US refiners such as Valero Energy.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
It holds a seat in the S&P 500 but carries no Rubin or Halo seat, and its Closelooknet score has not yet been built; there are no diary quotes recorded for it.
What the diary watches
The diary watches how refining margins and renewable diesel volumes move together across its three segments, since a shift in either could change how the business reads as a whole.

Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) trades on US exchanges.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 5 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Jefferies, 2026-09-21

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for MPC from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Jefferies — target 413 Target set to $413 (+2.6% to spot) 2026-09-21
  • Price target Goldman Sachs — target 472 from 376 Target raised to $472 from $376 (+11.1% to spot) 2026-09-21
  • Price target Raymond James — target 445 from 350 Target raised to $445 from $350 (+9.9% to spot) 2026-09-14

5 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 5 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 1.02%, quarterly · last 1.00 USD on 2026-08-19

Dividends and capital return

What MPC pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 4.00 USD per share · a 1.02% yield on the 2026-09-25 close 4 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-09-25
  • Change on the year +9.9% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 3.64 USD per share
  • Last distribution 1.00 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-08-19
  • By calendar year 2023: 0.83 USD (partial) · 2024: 3.39 USD · 2025: 3.73 USD · 2026: 3.00 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2023-11-15

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-26

Quick answers

What is Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)?

Marathon Petroleum Corp trades as MPC on the US exchange (US) in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-09-26.

Is MPC in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Marathon Petroleum Corp is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-09-26.

Where does MPC trade against its moving averages?

Uptrend stack intact: Trades +10.4% vs the 50-day and +53.7% vs the 200-day average, 8.7% below the 52-week high and +144.2% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-09-25 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Marathon Petroleum Corp trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Marathon Petroleum Corp had a beta of −1.02 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it moves strongly against bonds, higher than 2% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved +0.54% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does Marathon Petroleum Corp do?

Marathon Petroleum runs a US downstream energy business split into refining and marketing, midstream, and renewable diesel. It turns crude and other feedstocks into fuels such as petrol and heavy fuel oil, plus propane and petrochemicals, sold through wholesale, spot and branded outlets including ARCO. Its midstream arm moves and stores crude, refined products and natural gas liquids through pipelines, terminals and barges, while its renewable diesel unit converts feedstocks into diesel sold through the same distribution network. The diary has no assigned peer group for this name; the market usually compares it with other large US refiners such as Valero Energy.

Where does Marathon Petroleum Corp sit in the AI build-out?

Marathon Petroleum sits outside our AI build-out framework; it belongs to the energy sector, in the oil and gas refining and marketing industry within the broader universe the diary follows. It holds a seat in the S&P 500 but carries no Rubin or Halo seat, and its Closelooknet score has not yet been built; there are no diary quotes recorded for it.

Does Marathon Petroleum Corp pay a dividend?

Marathon Petroleum Corp has paid 4.00 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 1.02% on the 2026-09-25 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 1.00 USD on 2026-08-19. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Marathon Petroleum Corp recently?

The most recent analyst action on Marathon Petroleum Corp on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Jefferies on 2026-09-21 (target 413). 5 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 5 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for MPC, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing, then Energy. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.