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ConocoPhillips (COP) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

The Closelooknet read

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces and sells crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids and LNG, organised across five regional segments: Alaska, the Lower 48, Canada, Europe/Middle East/North Africa, and Asia Pacific. Its portfolio mixes unconventional shale positions in North America with conventional fields, oil sands and global LNG projects.

Detail below: the desk's view, the earnings record, peers and the company snapshot; daily prices on the price-history tab. Research diary readings, not advice.

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Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for COP, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 47/100 · S&P 500 fund at 48, above its 200-day averageEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-11-06
  • Factor regime Defensive rotation — low-vol leading, regime-change watchMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): below its 50-day trend, 60th percentile of the window, -22.8% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-11-06
  • Sovereign pressure Index -1.91 · down 2.45 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-11-06
How it trades on rate days beta −1.11 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How COP has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year −1.11 — moves strongly against bonds for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), ConocoPhillips moved −1.11% on average · correlation −0.34 · higher than 1% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months −0.52 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days +1.20% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +0.98% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Oil & Gas E&P · US · 8 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Oil & Gas E&P · US

This name carries no Closelooknet score, so its cohort ranks on trend state — distance to the 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score it does not have.

Compared against COP on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — ConocoPhillips

COP in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
ConocoPhillips explores for, produces and sells crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids and LNG, organised across five regional segments: Alaska, the Lower 48, Canada, Europe/Middle East/North Africa, and Asia Pacific. Its portfolio mixes unconventional shale positions in North America with conventional fields, oil sands and global LNG projects. It sells into markets across North America, Europe, Asia and parts of Africa, and is based in Houston.
Where it sits in the stack
ConocoPhillips carries no seat in our Rubin AI-build-out index; it sits in the diary's Energy sleeve, under Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, alongside the upstream names we track outside the compute stack.
Who it is priced against
It falls outside our formal peer groupings for this name, but the market usually sets it against ExxonMobil and Chevron as large diversified upstream producers.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
It holds a seat in the S&P 500 within our coverage, but carries no Closelooknet score and appears in none of our editions so far.
What the diary watches
Whether the recent pullback in its share price stabilises against its longer trend lines, and whether the raised analyst target is followed by others revising their view.

ConocoPhillips (COP) trades on US exchanges.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: COP news on the tape · index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 8 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Mizuho, 2026-11-05

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for COP from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Mizuho — target 149 Target set to $149 (+6% to spot) 2026-11-05
  • Price target Raymond James — target 170 Target set to $170 (+10.4% to spot) 2026-11-02
  • Initiation William Blair — at Market Perform Initiated to Market Perform 2026-10-28

8 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 initiation, 7 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 2.47%, quarterly · last 0.84 USD on 2026-08-17

Dividends and capital return

What COP pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 3.36 USD per share · a 2.47% yield on the 2026-11-06 close 4 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-11-06
  • Change on the year +7.7% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 3.12 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.84 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-08-17
  • By calendar year 2023: 0.59 USD (partial) · 2024: 2.52 USD · 2025: 3.18 USD · 2026: 2.52 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2023-11-13

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-11-07

Quick answers

What is ConocoPhillips (COP)?

ConocoPhillips trades as COP on the US exchange (US) in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-11-07.

Is COP in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — ConocoPhillips is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-11-07.

Where does COP trade against its moving averages?

ConocoPhillips trades 0.5% below its 50-day and 11.5% above its 200-day moving average (5.8% below its 20-day). As of 2026-11-06 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does ConocoPhillips compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Oil & Gas E&P · US), ConocoPhillips (COP) sits 11.7% below its 52-week high, 0.5% below its 50-day average; Permian Resources Corporation (PR) is 16.6% below, LandBridge Company LLC (LB) is 28.9% below, SM Energy Co (SM) is 28.0% below, as of 2026-11-06. Put any of them next to COP in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does ConocoPhillips trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year ConocoPhillips had a beta of −1.11 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it moves strongly against bonds, higher than 1% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved +1.20% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. As of 2026-11-06; The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does ConocoPhillips do?

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces and sells crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids and LNG, organised across five regional segments: Alaska, the Lower 48, Canada, Europe/Middle East/North Africa, and Asia Pacific. Its portfolio mixes unconventional shale positions in North America with conventional fields, oil sands and global LNG projects. It sells into markets across North America, Europe, Asia and parts of Africa, and is based in Houston. It falls outside our formal peer groupings for this name, but the market usually sets it against ExxonMobil and Chevron as large diversified upstream producers. (Company snapshot of 2026-09-17.)

Where does ConocoPhillips sit in the AI build-out?

ConocoPhillips carries no seat in our Rubin AI-build-out index; it sits in the diary's Energy sleeve, under Oil & Gas Exploration & Production, alongside the upstream names we track outside the compute stack. It holds a seat in the S&P 500 within our coverage, but carries no Closelooknet score and appears in none of our editions so far. (Company snapshot of 2026-09-17.)

Does ConocoPhillips pay a dividend?

ConocoPhillips has paid 3.36 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 2.47% on the 2026-11-06 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.84 USD on 2026-08-17. As of 2026-11-06; the "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on ConocoPhillips recently?

The most recent analyst action on ConocoPhillips on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Mizuho on 2026-11-05 (target 149). 8 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 initiation, 7 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for COP, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

How to use this chart

Toolbar

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Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Oil & Gas E&P. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.