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Carrier Global Corp (CARR) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for CARR, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Versus its index Rubin Build-Out 100 — the name, its sleeve and the index over day, week and month

Versus its index

The name against its Closelooknet index and its own sleeve — equal-weight, nightly closes.

Rubin Build-Out 100 · as of 2026-10-06

DayWeekMonth3 months
CARR+0.7%+1.3%−6.0%−15.9%
Thermal Management+2.4%+3.1%+0.2%—
Rubin Build-Out 100+0.8%+7.0%+11.0%—

Against the index: 5.7 pts behind on the week, 17.0 pts behind on the month; against its Thermal Management sleeve 6.2 pts behind on the month.

Returns from the index workers’ nightly closes; equal-weight sleeves. A relative reading from the research diary, not advice.

Weather around the name 4 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sector × region …

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 61/100 · S&P 500 fund at 75, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-10-06
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 98th percentile of the window, +5.7% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-10-06
  • Sector × region Industrials in US: +1.4% week · −1.8% month · −4.6% quarter · +7.0% yearThe Sector Engine cell this name lives in, from XLI.US; the 11 × 4 matrix shows where its sector is being bought and where it is being sold. Sector Engine → 2026-10-06
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.96 · up 0.53 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-10-05
How it trades on rate days beta 0.99 to TLT · on the worst bond days it fell more than the market

How it trades on rate days

How CARR has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.99 — moves strongly with bonds for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Carrier Global Corp moved 0.99% on average · correlation 0.26 · higher than 86% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.69 less rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days −1.48% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days −0.42% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Rubin Build-Out 100 · Thermal Management · 4 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Rubin Build-Out 100 · Thermal Management

Liquid-cooling, immersion, and HVAC. As rack densities climb, thermal goes from afterthought to architectural decision.

Compared against CARR on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Carrier Global Corp

CARR in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Carrier makes climate and energy equipment: air conditioners, heat pumps, heating and ventilation systems, building energy management and automation, plus transport refrigeration for trucks, trailers and shipping containers. It sells through regional climate segments covering the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific/Middle East/Africa, and a separate transportation segment, under brands including Carrier, Viessmann, Toshiba, Automated Logic and Bryant. It is headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida.
Where it sits in the stack
In our Rubin Build-Out 100 index, Carrier sits in Layer 4, Infrastructure, within the Thermal Management sleeve alongside liquid-cooling, immersion and HVAC names. As rack densities rise, cooling stops being an afterthought and becomes an architectural decision, and Carrier is a supplier of the HVAC and climate hardware that data-centre and building operators buy to manage that heat.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group for this seat is Thermal Management within Rubin Build-Out 100, set alongside Vertiv, nVent Electric, Modine Manufacturing and Daikin; the market also names Trane Technologies as a comparable heating and cooling supplier.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Carrier holds a seat in the Rubin Build-Out 100 and carries a Closelooknet score, where capital allocation is the strongest module and quality the weakest; the diary has not yet quoted it in an edition.
What the diary watches
Whether demand for liquid cooling and immersion systems in data centres pulls spending away from the conventional HVAC equipment Carrier sells, changing its place in the thermal sleeve.

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) trades on US exchanges, classified under Industrials, and sits in Layer 4 of the build-out stack. Constituent of Rubin Build-Out 100.

The Closelooknet company score reads 43/100 composite (momentum 27, quality 35, valuation 47) across 7 modules — the full breakdown, chart structure and analog history load live above.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 2 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Goldman Sachs, 2026-09-30

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for CARR from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Goldman Sachs — target 74 from 85 Target cut to $74 from $85 (+33.6% to spot) 2026-09-30
  • Price target Wells Fargo — target 67 Target set to $67 (+22.1% to spot) 2026-09-24

2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

Dividends and capital return trailing yield 1.68%, quarterly · buybacks 2.89 bn USD in FY2025

Dividends and capital return

What CARR pays out and buys back — distributions read from the price series, money terms from the filings.

  • Trailing 12 months 0.94 USD per share · a 1.68% yield on the 2026-10-06 close 4 distributions, paid quarterly 2026-10-06
  • Change on the year +9.2% against the prior twelve months prior twelve months 0.87 USD per share
  • Last distribution 0.24 USD per share as the price series records it, within days of the ex-date 2026-07-21
  • By calendar year 2023: 0.38 USD (partial) · 2024: 0.79 USD · 2025: 0.67 USD · 2026: 0.72 USD to date first distribution recorded in the three-year window: 2023-10-26
  • Dividends paid, FY2025 772 m USD 39% of earnings
  • Buybacks, FY2025 2.89 bn USD 6.3% of today's market value
  • Share count −7.1% in FY2025 74 m USD of stock-based compensation in the year
  • Capital returned 3.66 bn USD · 216% of free cash flow dividends and buybacks together, against the year’s free cash flow

Per-share amounts are derived from the adjusted price series in the listing currency, so dates sit within days of the ex-date; filing figures come from the fundamentals feed for the last reported fiscal year. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-07

Quick answers

What is Carrier Global Corp (CARR)?

Carrier Global Corp trades as CARR on the US exchange (US) and is classified under Industrials in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-10-07.

Is CARR in a Closelooknet index?

Yes — Carrier Global Corp is a constituent of Rubin Build-Out 100, as of 2026-10-07.

What is Carrier Global Corp's Closelooknet composite score?

43 out of 100, with momentum 27, quality 35 and valuation 47 sub-scores, as of 2026-10-07. Scores are Closelooknet's own research readings, not ratings or investment advice.

Where does CARR trade against its moving averages?

Death cross: Its 50-day crossed below its 200-day 9 sessions ago — a death cross, the classic trend-turn-lower. As of 2026-10-05 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How is CARR doing against its Closelooknet index?

Over the past month Carrier Global Corp is −6.0% against +11.0% for the Rubin Build-Out 100 — 17.0 points behind its index, as of 2026-10-06. Its Thermal Management sleeve is +0.2% over the same month. The “Versus its index” table on this page carries the day, the week and the month for the name, its sleeve and the index.

How does Carrier Global Corp compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Rubin Build-Out 100 · Thermal Management), Carrier Global Corp (CARR) sits 27.4% below its 52-week high, 5.9% below its 50-day average; nVent Electric PLC (NVT) is 9.5% below, Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) is 43.4% below, Daikin (6367.T) is 21.0% below. Put any of them next to CARR in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does Carrier Global Corp trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Carrier Global Corp had a beta of 0.99 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it moves strongly with bonds, higher than 86% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved −1.48% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does Carrier Global Corp do?

Carrier makes climate and energy equipment: air conditioners, heat pumps, heating and ventilation systems, building energy management and automation, plus transport refrigeration for trucks, trailers and shipping containers. It sells through regional climate segments covering the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific/Middle East/Africa, and a separate transportation segment, under brands including Carrier, Viessmann, Toshiba, Automated Logic and Bryant. It is headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Closelooknet's peer group for this seat is Thermal Management within Rubin Build-Out 100, set alongside Vertiv, nVent Electric, Modine Manufacturing and Daikin; the market also names Trane Technologies as a comparable heating and cooling supplier.

Where does Carrier Global Corp sit in the AI build-out?

In our Rubin Build-Out 100 index, Carrier sits in Layer 4, Infrastructure, within the Thermal Management sleeve alongside liquid-cooling, immersion and HVAC names. As rack densities rise, cooling stops being an afterthought and becomes an architectural decision, and Carrier is a supplier of the HVAC and climate hardware that data-centre and building operators buy to manage that heat. Carrier holds a seat in the Rubin Build-Out 100 and carries a Closelooknet score, where capital allocation is the strongest module and quality the weakest; the diary has not yet quoted it in an edition.

Does Carrier Global Corp pay a dividend?

Carrier Global Corp has paid 0.94 USD per share over the last twelve months, paid quarterly, a trailing yield of 1.68% on the 2026-10-06 close; the last distribution recorded in the price series was 0.24 USD on 2026-07-21. In fiscal 2025 the company paid 772 m USD in dividends and bought back 2.89 bn USD of its own shares, 216% of that year’s free cash flow. The share count fell 7.1% over the fiscal year. The "Dividends and capital return" block on this page carries the lines.

What has Wall Street done on Carrier Global Corp recently?

The most recent analyst action on Carrier Global Corp on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Goldman Sachs on 2026-09-30 (target 74 from 85). 2 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 2 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for CARR, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

same Closelooknet index seat first, then Building Products & Equipment. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.