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The Trading Day · Thursday, October 15, 2026

AI Trade — Kospi −8.5%, Nikkei −4.7% after hot US inflation; TSMC beats, Nasdaq-100 on support

Asia sold the AI hardware trade hard overnight. The Kospi fell 8.5% to about 5,500 and trading was halted for 20 minutes; SK Hynix lost about 11% and Samsung about 10%. The Nikkei dropped 4.7% and Taiwan 3.4%, as reported, after hotter US consumer prices on Wednesday revived the fear of another rate hike.

The Morning 10

AI Trade — Kospi −8.5%, Nikkei −4.7% after hot US inflation; TSMC beats, Nasdaq-100 on support

  1. 1 Nasdaq-100 — QQQ −2.0% to 728.95 and sitting on a major support line
  2. 2 Korea — Kospi −8.5% to about 5,500, trading halted; SK Hynix −11%, Samsung −10%
  3. 3 Tokyo and Taiwan — Nikkei −4.7%, Taiex −3.4%; China −2%, India +1.4%
  4. 4 TSMC — record profit NT$763 billion, +68.7%, the sixth record quarter in a row
  5. 5 TSMC margins — gross 66.4%, operating 58.7%; the newest 2nm chips 8% of sales
  6. 6 Wall Street — hot inflation: S&P 500 −1.1%, Nasdaq −1.9%, chip fund −4.5%
  7. 7 AI servers — Barclays sees no enterprise AI wave: Dell −11.3%, HPE −8.3%, NetApp −7.0%
  8. 8 AI indices — Rubin −9.9% on the week, Agentic Winners +0.9%
  9. 9 US data — retail sales and producer prices at 12:30 UTC
  10. 10 Anthropic — revenue $16.8 billion in the third quarter, +45% on the quarter, and profitable on an adjusted basis

The full Morning 10 →

Daily Pulse — AI Trade — Show-Me Quarter for 2027

Two clocks are running on the AI trade. The short one says sell: Kospi −8.5% with a trading halt, the chip fund 20% below its June high, and Barclays saying companies put only about 5% of their IT budgets into AI — the fear of 2000's empty fibre. The long one says intact: TSMC posted a sixth record quarter and ASML is sold out into 2028.

The full Pulse →

Print-record cards of the day

  • DDOG — Datadog: EPS beats 10/10 · revenue 10/10 · reactions 4 up / 2 flat / 4 down · next print 2026-11-04
  • NET — Cloudflare: EPS beats 9/10 · revenue 10/10 · reactions 5 up / 2 flat / 3 down · next print 2026-11-05
  • FROG — JFrog: EPS beats 10/10 · revenue 7/10 · reactions 6 up / 0 flat / 4 down · next print 2026-11-05
  • DT — Dynatrace: EPS beats 10/10 · revenue 10/10 · reactions 1 up / 8 flat / 1 down · next print 2026-11-04
  • DOCN — DigitalOcean: EPS beats 10/10 · revenue 6/10 · reactions 7 up / 0 flat / 3 down · next print 2026-11-04

The permanent record of one trading day on Closelooknet — an investment research diary, not advice. Today's live view is the homepage.