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The Trading Day · Wednesday, October 14, 2026

ASML — record €11.7 billion quarter and sold out into 2028; inflation at 12:30 UTC

ASML is the story this morning. The Dutch maker of chip-printing machines reported record third-quarter sales of €11.66 billion, up 55% on the year, raised the bottom of its full-year range to €44–45 billion, and said its planned output for 2027 and 2028 will not fully cover what customers want, as reported. Some customers are already asking about 2029 and 2030.

The Morning 10

ASML — record €11.7 billion quarter and sold out into 2028; inflation at 12:30 UTC

  1. 1 ASML — record €11.7 billion quarter, full-year range lifted to €44–45 billion
  2. 2 ASML — supply short of demand in 2027 and 2028; some customers already ask about 2029
  3. 3 Chip equipment — Applied Materials −6.7%, KLA −3.2%, Lam −2.7% the day before ASML
  4. 4 Inflation — September consumer prices at 12:30 UTC; the street expects 3.6% on the year
  5. 5 Banks — Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and BlackRock report before the open after Citi's −5.6%
  6. 6 Korea — Kospi steadies at about 6,040 after Tuesday's −5.5%; SK Hynix −1%, Samsung +0.9%
  7. 7 Tokyo and Taiwan — Nikkei +0.6%, SoftBank +2.5%, Kioxia −2.5%; Taiex +0.6%, China's CSI 300 −0.9%
  8. 8 Wall Street — S&P 500 flat at 7,805; Oracle +4.2%, Meta +2.6%, energy fund +1.8%
  9. 9 AI indices — Rubin −9.0% on the week, Agentic Winners +2.1%
  10. 10 Oil, dollar and futures — Brent $106, dollar −0.4%; S&P 500 futures +0.1%

The full Morning 10 →

The Midday 10

Chips — SOXX −3.7%, now 20% below its June high; software −2.4% as hot inflation and BlackRock weigh

  • 1 Chip fund SOXX −3.7% to $523.67 — 20.1% below its 22 June high, a bear market by the usual definition
  • 2 Software joins the selling: IGV −2.4% to $108.29, cloud fund CLOU −2.6%, Palantir −2.1%
  • 3 Oracle −7.5% to $132.53, giving back Tuesday's +4.2% and more

All ten lines →

Daily Pulse — AI Trade — Hot Prices, BlackRock Steps Back

September consumer prices rose 3.7% on the year, above the 3.6% expected, and the core rate rose to 2.6% from 2.4% — the 10-year yield climbed to about 5.26% and another Fed hike on 28 October is back in play. BlackRock’s research arm cut US stocks to neutral and moved short-dated Treasuries to overweight for the first time in about six years, citing the swings in AI spending.

The full Pulse →

On the tape

The permanent record of one trading day on Closelooknet — an investment research diary, not advice. Today's live view is the homepage.