GOOGL PEAD reversal: T+3 ↓SHORT faded — T+5 closes -0.49%
T+3 said ↓SHORT at -4.7% CAR; T+5 reverses to -0.49%. The market re-priced the print.
─ Timeline ─ Print 2026-07-22 Alphabet T-1 close 347.15 (baseline) T+3 close 326.56 CAR -4.7% → ↓SHORT T+5 close 2026-07-29 336.71 CAR -0.49%
─ Verdict ─ T+5 CAR (-0.49%) lands on the opposite side of the entry band from T+3 (-4.7%). The post-earnings drift faded inside two extra sessions — typical signature of a print that hit consensus algorithms hard then gave back as positioning normalised. Our read: the reversal outweighs the T+3 direction — we no longer treat that initial reading as the live signal.
─ Conviction ─ Original conviction 27/100 invalidated. T+5 closes against the signal — the print did not produce a sustained move.
─ Original T+3 signal ─ See earnings card: /tape/c-earnings-googl-2026-07-22/
─ Closelook frame ─ Indices: AW25 · NDX
→ closelook.net/indices/stock/?t=GOOGL