ASML.AS · PEAD → 21

ASML reported Q3 2026 EPS of €11.82 on 2026-10-14, beating the €10.76 consensus by €1.06 (+9.9%).

Print-day reaction was a modest +1.2% versus the prior close, a contained positive move given the magnitude of the EPS beat. The overnight gap to the T+1 open erased the gain and then some, falling -5.0%, signalling meaningful after-hours and pre-market selling pressure. Over the following two trading days (T+1 close through T+3 close) the stock partially recovered, drifting +2.2%, clawing back roughly half the overnight gap but not fully closing it. Cumulative abnormal return of +0.58% versus SPY.US sits well inside the ±3% neutral band, leaving PEAD direction at none with low conviction of 21; the window runs through 2027-01-11.