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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for OLLI, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 55/100 · S&P 500 fund at 55, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-09-28
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 98th percentile of the window, +8.7% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-09-28
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.81 · up 0.46 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-09-28
How it trades on rate days beta 0.81 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How OLLI has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.81 — moves strongly with bonds for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg moved 0.81% on average · correlation 0.18 · higher than 77% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 1.05 more rate-sensitive lately than over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days +0.21% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +2.22% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Discount Stores · United States · 4 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Discount Stores · United States

This name carries no Closelooknet score, so its cohort ranks on trend state — distance to the 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score it does not have.

Compared against OLLI on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg

OLLI in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Ollie's Bargain Outlet operates discount stores across the United States, selling closeout merchandise and excess inventory bought below usual wholesale cost. It stocks health and beauty items, food, housewares, home and garden goods, toys, books, clothing and general merchandise under its own and licensed brand names. It sources irregular and surplus stock from manufacturers and other retailers, then resells it at reduced prices. The company is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.
Where it sits in the stack
Ollie's sits in the Discount Stores sleeve of the diary's US retail universe, within the broader Consumer Defensive sector; it holds no seat in Closelooknet's own build-out indices.
Who it is priced against
Its cohort in Closelooknet's peer group is Discount Stores in the United States, alongside Target, BJ's Wholesale, Dollar General and Dollar Tree; Big Lots is the closeout-retail name the wider market also names beside it.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Ollie's is a Russell 1000 constituent but carries no Closelooknet score, so the diary ranks its cohort on trend state rather than on a score it does not have; it has not been quoted in any edition so far.
What the diary watches
How the stock trades against its 50- and 200-day averages as the diary watches whether closeout demand holds up while the shares sit well below their prior high.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI) trades on US exchanges.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-20. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 5 analyst actions on the wire · latest: price target by Craig-Hallum, 2026-09-03

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for OLLI from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target Craig-Hallum — target 120 from 130 Target cut to $120 from $130 (+66.1% to spot) 2026-09-03
  • Price target Truist — target 85 from 80 Target raised to $85 from $80 (+17.6% to spot) 2026-09-03
  • Price target Morgan Stanley — target 98 from 108 Target cut to $98 from $108 (+39% to spot) 2026-09-03

5 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 5 target changes. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-29

Quick answers

What is Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI)?

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg trades as OLLI on the US exchange (United States) in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-09-29.

Is OLLI in a Closelooknet index?

Not currently — Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg is tracked in the Closelooknet research universe but is not a constituent of a Closelooknet functional index as of 2026-09-29.

Where does OLLI trade against its moving averages?

Recovery attempt under the 200-day: Trades +13.8% vs the 50-day and -4.9% vs the 200-day average, 36.6% below the 52-week high and +41.9% off the 52-week low. Computed from daily closes. As of 2026-09-28 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How does Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg had a beta of 0.81 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it moves strongly with bonds, higher than 77% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved +0.21% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

What does Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg do?

Ollie's Bargain Outlet operates discount stores across the United States, selling closeout merchandise and excess inventory bought below usual wholesale cost. It stocks health and beauty items, food, housewares, home and garden goods, toys, books, clothing and general merchandise under its own and licensed brand names. It sources irregular and surplus stock from manufacturers and other retailers, then resells it at reduced prices. Its cohort in Closelooknet's peer group is Discount Stores in the United States, alongside Target, BJ's Wholesale, Dollar General and Dollar Tree; Big Lots is the closeout-retail name the wider market also names beside it.

Where does Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg sit in the AI build-out?

Ollie's sits in the Discount Stores sleeve of the diary's US retail universe, within the broader Consumer Defensive sector; it holds no seat in Closelooknet's own build-out indices. Ollie's is a Russell 1000 constituent but carries no Closelooknet score, so the diary ranks its cohort on trend state rather than on a score it does not have; it has not been quoted in any edition so far.

What has Wall Street done on Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg recently?

The most recent analyst action on Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by Craig-Hallum on 2026-09-03 (target 120 from 130). 5 actions on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 5 target changes. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for OLLI, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

then Discount Stores, then Consumer Defensive. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.