The Morning 10
Oil knocks on $100 and Wall Street sells everything but the AI pipe: Intel +9%, Lumentum +11%, Dow −1.2% — Seoul buys the dip and the Kospi is back above 7,000
- 1 Wall Street reopens and sells: Dow −1.2% to 52,786, S&P −0.6%, Nasdaq −0.3% — Amgen −10%, Stryker −9%, Salesforce −4%, only six Dow stocks up
- 2 The pipe rally: Lumentum +11.0%, Corning +7.6% on 80 million miles of Verizon fibre, Coherent +7.1%, Nokia +6.2%, Intel +9.1% on another CPU price rise, Qualcomm +3.2% on a $60 billion Amazon deal
- 3 Software sold again: Shopify −7.6%, UiPath −7.8%, Atlassian −6.9%, ServiceNow −5.0%, Workday −4.9%, Zscaler −4.6%, Intuit −4.1% — Agentic Winners 40 −2.8%
- 4 Oil: Brent $99.05, up for a fourth day and within a dollar of $100 — US strikes five Iranian tankers, Iran says it hit two US vessels and eight tankers, Houthis strike Saudi refineries
- 5 Bonds: 10-year 4.81%, highest close since October 2023, 30-year 5.26%, hike odds 60% — China producer prices +3.8%, the most in months, PPI Thursday, CPI Friday
- 6 Asia buys the chips again: Kospi 7,038 (+1.2%), SK hynix +3.1%, Nikkei −0.3% with Advantest −3.3% and SoftBank +3.2% on a $10–20 billion bond plan, Lenovo recovers 5%
- 7 Our indices on Tuesday’s closes: Rubin +0.1% (US members +2.2%, Japan −4.1%, DC Power +5.1%, Wafer −5.0%), Agentic Winners −2.8%, HALO −0.5% on Amgen and Stryker, Compute Operators +3.3%
- 8 Metals: gold $4,430 after a second down day, copper at a record $14,728 a tonne on the LME, silver $67, Ivanhoe +12.8%, Freeport +5.3%
- 9 Bitcoin $78,956 holds above the $78,000 line, yen 153.4 at a seven-month high, won 1,336, dollar 98.7 — S&P futures +0.1%, Dow futures flat
- 10 Today’s close grades Zscaler (161.94 vs a 177.80 entry, ‘sold’ on current prices) and Samsara (40.15 vs 38.75, ‘paid’); Oracle Thursday after the close with three new price targets; Adobe, ECB and PPI Thursday, CPI Friday