IBM PEAD continuation: T+3 ↑LONG confirmed at T+5 (CAR +10.09%)
T+3 said ↑LONG at +3.97% CAR; T+5 extends to +10.09%. Drift survived the classical post-earnings window.
─ Timeline ─ Print 2026-07-22 INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP T-1 close 210.50 (baseline) T+3 close 216.28 CAR +3.97% → ↑LONG T+5 close 2026-07-29 226.44 CAR +10.09%
─ Verdict ─ T+5 CAR (+10.09%) extends past the T+3 reading. Drift magnitude grew by +6.11% between T+3 and T+5 — the classical PEAD continuation signature. Hold-through window unchanged: T+63 from print date.
─ Conviction ─ Original conviction 20/100 strengthens after T+5 confirmation. The drift signal is doing what PEAD says it should.
─ Original T+3 signal ─ See earnings card: /tape/c-earnings-ibm-2026-07-22/
─ Closelook frame ─ Indices: NDX
→ closelook.net/indices/stock/?t=IBM