ARM PEAD reversal: T+3 ↓SHORT faded — T+5 closes -0.29%
T+3 said ↓SHORT at -7.78% CAR; T+5 reverses to -0.29%. The market re-priced the print.
AI-generated — produced automatically by Closelooknet’s systems under this site’s editorial policy.
─ Timeline ─ Print 2026-11-04 ARM Holdings T-1 close 202.49 (baseline) T+3 close 186.30 CAR -7.78% → ↓SHORT T+5 close 2026-11-11 203.36 CAR -0.29%
─ Verdict ─ T+5 CAR (-0.29%) lands on the opposite side of the entry band from T+3 (-7.78%). The post-earnings drift faded inside two extra sessions — typical signature of a print that hit consensus algorithms hard then gave back as positioning normalised. Our read: the reversal outweighs the T+3 direction — we no longer treat that initial reading as the live signal.
─ Conviction ─ Original conviction 58/100 invalidated. T+5 closes against the signal — the print did not produce a sustained move.
─ Original T+3 signal ─ See earnings card: /tape/c-earnings-arm-2026-11-04/
─ Closelooknet frame ─ Indices: Rubin · Euro-AI
→ closelook.net/indices/stock/arm/