B2 AH
AMAT PEAD reversal: T+3 ↓SHORT faded — T+5 closes -1.42%
T+3 said ↓SHORT at -4.11% CAR; T+5 reverses to -1.42%. The market re-priced the print.
─ Timeline ─ Print 2026-05-13 Applied Materials T-1 close 431.20 (baseline) T+3 close 413.57 CAR -4.11% → ↓SHORT T+5 close 2026-05-20 426.85 CAR -1.42%
─ Verdict ─ T+5 CAR (-1.42%) lands on the opposite side of the entry band from T+3 (-4.11%). The post-earnings drift faded inside two extra sessions — typical signature of a print that hit consensus algorithms hard then gave back as positioning normalised. Recommend: re-evaluate the position; do not anchor on the T+3 direction.
─ Conviction ─ Original conviction 21/100 invalidated. T+5 closes against the signal — the print did not produce a sustained move.
─ Original T+3 signal ─ See earnings card: /tape/c-earnings-amat-2026-05-13/
─ Closelook frame ─ Indices: Rubin · NDX
→ closelook.net/indices/stock/?t=AMAT