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Closelook Records · Analyst / strategist

Tom Lee — Fundstrat / FSInsight

C Fundstrat Global Advisors (public research & media calls) ↗ Fundstrat founded 2014; JPMorgan chief equity strategist before that

Media and research calls carry no platform-computed track record: targets are public and datable, but there is no NAV, no fill, and no standard scoring convention for revised targets — self-reported by construction. The GRNY ETF (since Nov 2024) is the first NAV-verifiable slice of the record.

Asset focusUS equities — S&P 500 index targets, plus bitcoin and thematic calls
StylePublished year-ahead and mid-year index targets, revised intra-year; high media cadence (CNBC) — since 2024 also co-manager of the Granny Shots ETF (GRNY)
StandingOne of the highest-reach equity strategists in US financial media

The record, as shown at the source

MetricValueAs ofSource
Record format Dated public index targets + media appearances; no composite track record 22 Oct 2026 FSInsight ↗
Reputation base Among the most bullish — and most often right — S&P strategists of the 2023–2025 bull run 22 Oct 2026 FSInsight / public record ↗

Figures are quoted exactly as the named source showed them on the stated date; they move daily — verify at the source before relying on them.

37 /100

Closelook Rating v1 — Mixed

Scored on the NAV-verified series (GRNY, 2024-11-07 → 2026-11-11), not the person. Evidence length dampens short windows; the verifiability basis caps the score at 100. Published-method opinion over sourced facts — the full formula. A diary lens, not advice.

The Closelook battery computed · v1

Computed by Closelooknet from GRNY daily adjusted closes, 2024-11-07 → 2026-11-11 (2y window) — not the platform's figures. v1 — daily adjusted closes; Sharpe/Sortino with rf = 0; annualisation ×√252; monthly stats from month-end closes.

MetricValue
CAGR (window)+14.5%
Total return (window)+31%
Trailing 1y+3.1%
Volatility (ann.)22.6%
Sharpe (rf = 0)0.64
Sortino (rf = 0)0.92
Max drawdown-24.2% (2025-01-23 → 2025-04-08)
Calmar0.60
Winning months54% of 24
Best month+11.7% (Apr 2026)
Worst month-6.9% (Mar 2025)
Excess CAGR vs S&P 500 (SPY)+0.6% (SPY: +13.9%)
Beta vs SPY1.25
Correlation vs SPY0.93

Battery computed 2026-11-12. The quick-view rating above is built from these components — formula.

Fund holdings — Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF (GRNY)

$4.3B net assets across 44 positions, reported for 2026-07-31 and filed 2026-09-28 on Form N-PORT. Against 2026-04-30: 6 new, 3 exited, 9 added, 25 trimmed. Form N-PORT portfolio holdings as filed with the SEC; one month per quarter becomes public, about 60 days after the period end. Long and short positions as reported.

#HoldingValueWeight
1Arista Networks Inc$0.1B2.9%
2General Electric Co$0.1B2.8%
3JPMorgan Chase & Co$0.1B2.7%
4Packaging Corp of America$0.1B2.7%
5PNC Financial Services Group I$0.1B2.6%
6Eli Lilly & Co$0.1B2.6%
7Robinhood Markets Inc$0.1B2.6%
8Bank of New York Mellon Corp/T$0.1B2.6%
9Microsoft Corp$0.1B2.5%
10Monster Beverage Corp$0.1B2.5%

From the fund's filing at SEC EDGAR.

The Closelook read

The best-known bull of the post-2022 cycle. His S&P targets are public and datable — which makes them gradable call by call, even though no composite track record exists.

Strategist records are the hardest class in the catalogue: a target published in January and raised twice by September has no agreed score. Our approach is the same as for every entry here — date the call, source it, grade the verifiability, and track resolution in the Famous Calls Record rather than averaging the unaverageable. Lee's grade C is a statement about the record format, not the quality of the calls; the Granny Shots ETF now gives one slice of his process a daily NAV.

In the Famous Calls Record

  • Open S&P 500 closed at 7619.38 on 2026-11-11 — it needs +5.0% to reach the target. the entry →

Standings are computed nightly from closes under each entry's stated rule (as of 2026-11-12); the written verdict on the entry page is editorial.

Entry updated 22 Oct 2026 · All records · Famous Calls Record