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Constituent dispersion · breadth vs the index

AW25 — Agentic Winners 25 (EW)

25/25 covered · 100% by weight · benchmark: AW25 price · closes through 2026-06-18 ·holdings as of 2026-06-18

Concentration 20% in top 5 25 effective names · HHI 400
RS vs S&P 500 21d -0.07pp sector return − SPY
RS vs Nasdaq-100 21d -3.87pp sector return − QQQ
Weakening below the surface - the A/D line is falling while price holds up; leadership is narrowing. Last 21 sessions — price +1.7% · A/D -62 (-2.48/name)
AW25 price
Cumulative advance / decline of constituents — rises when more names are up than down; turns before price at inflections

Divergence over time — price vs breadth, by horizon

The hero read is the 1-month picture; here the same price↔breadth divergence across 1 week / 1 month / 1 quarter, computed over the 126-session history. A/D /name is net advancers-minus-decliners per covered constituent; % beating Δ and median−ETF Δ show how participation shifted. Price rising while those fall = the move is narrowing under the surface.

HorizonPriceA/D /name% beating ΔMedian−ETF ΔRead
1 week -2.77% -1.2 -4pp -0.81pp Confirming ↓
1 month +1.70% -2.48 +8pp +6.64pp Weakening

Over the last 56 sessions: price up +16.13%, breadth up (+0.64/name) · % beating 40→44 · median−ETF -5.64pp→-2.28pp.

Stocks above their moving average — participation breadth

Of the 25 covered constituents, the share trading above each simple moving average — the classic breadth gauge. A firm index price with a low %-above-MA is a narrow, top-heavy tape. As of 2026-06-18.

5-day 20% 5/25 above
20-day 16% 4/25 above
50-day 52% 13/25 above
100-day 52% 13/25 above
150-day 45.83% 11/24 above
200-day 50% 12/24 above
% of constituents above their 50-day average — breadth over the last year; 50% is the participation midpoint

New highs & new lows — by horizon

How many of the 25 covered constituents closed today at a new high (or low) over each window, and the net. A shrinking net as the index holds up = fewer names leading.

HorizonNew highsNew lowsNet
5-Day 1 (4%) 12 (48%) -11
1-Month 0 (0%) 7 (28%) -7
3-Month 0 (0%) 4 (16%) -4
6-Month 0 (0%) 4 (17%) -4
52-Week 0 (0%) 4 (17%) -4
YTD 0 (0%) 4 (16%) -4

Dispersion by window

WindowETFMedianMedian − ETF Up / DownBeat / Lag±1% bandDispersion
1d -0.14% -0.77% -0.63pp 10 / 15 10 / 15 13 of 25 ±2.17%
5d -2.77% -3.07% -0.30pp 4 / 21 11 / 14 6 of 25 ±4.53%
21d +1.70% -0.58% -2.28pp 11 / 14 11 / 14 0 of 25 ±15.95%
YTD +1.68% -21.04% -22.72pp 10 / 14 10 / 14 0 of 24 ±64.75%

Median − ETF below zero means the typical name is lagging the cap-weighted index — the move is top-heavy. "Beat" counts constituents outperforming the ETF over the window. Dispersion is the cross-sectional standard deviation of constituent returns — high = a stock-picker's tape, low = pure beta.

What drove the move — contribution = weight × return

Today (1d)

  • QCOM+6.17%+0.25pp
  • OKTA+4.23%+0.17pp
  • FSLY+2.81%+0.11pp
  • GOOGL+1.17%+0.05pp
  • SHOP+0.70%+0.03pp
  • WDAY-4.02%-0.16pp
  • DOCN-2.55%-0.1pp
  • SAP-2.25%-0.09pp
  • CRM-2.09%-0.08pp
  • PTC-1.87%-0.07pp

This month (21d)

  • OKTA+37.47%+1.5pp
  • SNOW+37.00%+1.48pp
  • QCOM+15.59%+0.62pp
  • DOCN+15.50%+0.62pp
  • CRWD+11.02%+0.44pp
  • INTU-33.20%-1.33pp
  • PTC-20.97%-0.84pp
  • CRM-15.41%-0.62pp
  • SAP-13.19%-0.53pp
  • CSGP-10.89%-0.44pp

Each name's contribution = its index weight × its return — the percentage points it added to (green) or subtracted from (red) the ETF's move. Computed across covered names.

Leaders & laggards (21-day)

  • OKTA+37.47%
  • SNOW+37.00%
  • QCOM+15.59%
  • DOCN+15.50%
  • CRWD+11.02%
  • INTU-33.20%
  • PTC-20.97%
  • CRM-15.41%
  • SAP-13.19%
  • CSGP-10.89%

AW25 — constituent leadership race

$100 in each covered AW25 constituent at 2026-03-31, rebased to 100. Watch leadership change hands.

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Each covered constituent started at $100 at the window open; the bars race by total return (top 12 shown). Decision-support, not investment advice.

Constituents — 25 covered · click a column to sort

Symbol Weight Last 1d 5d 21d YTD RS rank
SAP SAP 4.00% 155.22 -2.25% -5.15% -13.19% -36.10% 12
MSFT MSFT 4.00% 379.40 +0.13% -2.80% -8.91% -21.37% 24
GOOGL GOOGL 4.00% 368.03 +1.17% +2.87% -5.06% +17.66% 36
AAPL AAPL 4.00% 298.01 +0.70% +0.81% -0.32% +9.72% 52
NOW NOW 4.00% 95.04 -0.46% -7.80% -6.67% -37.96% 28
CRM CRM 4.00% 151.78 -2.09% -8.81% -15.41% -42.56% 8
WDAY WDAY 4.00% 116.93 -4.02% -10.42% -9.59% -45.56% 20
NET NET 4.00% 224.06 -1.24% -1.49% +8.38% +13.65% 68
DDOG DDOG 4.00% 223.00 -1.60% -4.80% +3.65% +63.98% 60
CRWD CRWD 4.00% 684.86 +0.28% -0.96% +11.02% +46.10% 80
TWLO TWLO 4.00% 186.17 -1.03% -9.90% -4.99% +30.88% 44
OKTA OKTA 4.00% 117.81 +4.23% +0.26% +37.47% +36.24% 96
DOCN DOCN 4.00% 173.27 -2.55% -0.85% +15.50% +260.08% 84
FSLY FSLY 4.00% 17.90 +2.81% -5.19% +9.41% 72
QCOM QCOM 4.00% 226.11 +6.17% +11.41% +15.59% +33.04% 88
SNOW SNOW 4.00% 232.29 -0.95% -3.37% +37.00% +5.89% 92
MDB MDB 4.00% 332.75 -0.58% -6.11% -0.58% -20.72% 48
ESTC ESTC 4.00% 58.97 +0.70% -2.08% +9.77% -21.83% 76
VEEV VEEV 4.00% 153.30 -1.00% -5.11% -6.13% -31.33% 32
INTU INTU 4.00% 267.00 -0.77% -3.58% -33.20% -59.49% 0
PTC PTC 4.00% 114.75 -1.87% -3.07% -20.97% -34.13% 4
CSGP CSGP 4.00% 30.12 -1.12% -7.75% -10.89% -55.21% 16
IOT IOT 4.00% 31.69 +0.28% -1.77% +2.92% -10.61% 56
SHOP SHOP 4.00% 108.85 +0.70% -1.47% +7.76% -32.38% 64
PLTR PLTR 4.00% 128.47 -1.65% -1.99% -5.02% -27.72% 40

RS rank = the constituent's 21-day return percentile within the index (100 = strongest of the covered names). Weight is the index weight; returns use adjusted closes. Default sort: weight.

Other ETFs & indices

Dispersion is computed across the constituents we cover in our data lake (see coverage badge). Decision-support, not investment advice.