Daily Pulse · · 08:30 CET · market · DXY
King Dollar Cracks: Decade-Long Trend Snaps
The regime change may finally be here. For over a decade, $DXY traded within a massive ascending channel that defined the post-GFC era. That structural support has now given way.
After rejecting 115 in late 2022, the dollar has steadily eroded, finally slicing through the primary trendline support held since 2011. This is not a technical glitch — it's a fundamental shift.
Currently testing the 200-period WMA at 97.07. The Slow Stochastic is deep in the oversold cellar at 12.93 — short-term bounce overdue — but the Coppock Curve has plunged to −13.09, signaling a more secular bear cycle.
Historically, a weakening dollar acts as a tailwind for commodities and emerging markets. With the RSI at 41.98 and Supertrend resistance at 105.57, the path of least resistance remains lower.
If $DXY fails to reclaim the broken channel and loses the 200-MA, the "King Dollar" era may officially be in the history books.