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Daily Pulse · · 08:30 NY · market

Temperature 62 — Euro-AI leads broad multi-week rally

Closelook AI Buildout sub-sector indices grid — 18 equal-weighted sub-indices ranked by 1-month return. Memory (HBM & NAND) leads at +73.31%, followed by Advanced Packaging & Bonding +57.34%, Advanced Materials +53.05%, Power Semiconductors +46.75%, High-Speed Interconnects +44.30%, Foundry & Integration +42.06%, Substrates & Interposers +41.91%, Architects (Chip Design) +38.77%, Deposition Etch & Process +35.29%, EDA & Chip IP +31.71%, Testing & Metrology +31.47%, Thermal Management +29.46%, Grid & Power Infrastructure +26.09%, Photomasks & Mask Infrastructure +23.20%, Fab Subsystems +21.55%, Lithography +17.21%, Wafer Processing +15.85%, with Gases, Chemicals & Consumables at +3.19% as the only laggard.
Closelook AI Buildout sub-sector indices grid — 18 equal-weighted sub-indices ranked by 1-month return. Memory (HBM & NAND) leads at +73.31%, followed by Advanced Packaging & Bonding +57.34%, Advanced Materials +53.05%, Power Semiconductors +46.75%, High-Speed Interconnects +44.30%, Foundry & Integration +42.06%, Substrates & Interposers +41.91%, Architects (Chip Design) +38.77%, Deposition Etch & Process +35.29%, EDA & Chip IP +31.71%, Testing & Metrology +31.47%, Thermal Management +29.46%, Grid & Power Infrastructure +26.09%, Photomasks & Mask Infrastructure +23.20%, Fab Subsystems +21.55%, Lithography +17.21%, Wafer Processing +15.85%, with Gases, Chemicals & Consumables at +3.19% as the only laggard.
neutral Temperature 62/100

Mixed / transitional

Index moves

Index1D1W
Rubin 100 +0.36% +8.56%
HALO 100 +1.79% +3.04%
Euro-AI 50 +3.15% +9.63%
AW25 +2.15% +7.91%

Pattern alerts

  • AZN support-confluence NEUTRAL
  • NOC support-confluence NEUTRAL
  • JNJ support-confluence NEUTRAL
  • MCD support-confluence WARNING
  • NOW support-confluence WARNING

Cointegration

0 active pairs, 7 breaks.

🟡 Temperature 62 — risk-on but uneven. Eight instruments, four up hard, the rest mixed.

Euro-AI 50 led the tape: +3.15% on the day, +9.63% on the week, +23.12% on the month. The one-month figure points to sustained accumulation in European AI-exposed names, not a single-session catalyst. AW25 added 2.15% today, +7.91% on the week. HALO 100 rose 1.79%. Rubin 100 added just 0.36% intraday — though its +38.82% one-month return remains the most striking number in the complex, and the clearest sign of how much of the infrastructure build-out has already repriced.

The Pattern Scanner logged 25 active signals, with the top five all clustering around support-confluence reads. AZN, JNJ and NOW are flagged in yellow or green regimes — defensives and high-quality software finding floors. NOC and MCD carry red regime labels at their confluence levels: names testing support under deteriorating conditions rather than staging recoveries. Modal pattern is support-confluence, not breakout — the tape is consolidating, not extending.

Cointegration shows zero active pairs against seven recent breaks. Relationships that held through prior regimes are dissolving faster than new ones are being established — a structural sign of sector correlations rotating, not just compressing.

Forward attention sits on Euro-AI 50 holding into Friday's close: its one-week +9.63% is stretched relative to the one-month pace and is the natural place for profit-taking to land. The cointegration break count is the quieter signal — if new pairs fail to form over the next several sessions, mean-reversion strategies lose their statistical anchor.